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Darrell Henderson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Darrell Henderson
LAR

RB LAR

#23 Running Back

159 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 11
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 5'8"
Weight: 208
40 Time: 4.53

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

0

DS Projection

11.2

Consensus

38 other sites
10

Med Ceiling

16.2

Rest of
Season

12.8

Week 14 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
65 0.4 2.5 17.2 0.1 11.2
Weekly Writeup
Henderson was officially active for Sunday's win over the Jaguars after returning for a limited Friday practice. But he didn't play at all. We'll watch his practice participation this week and hope for word from HC Sean McVay on how much Henderson might play.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
67 0.6 2.7 19 0.1 12.8
Week 12
The 'how' for his production has shifted over the past 3 weeks, but Henderson continues to produce. He gained 55 yards on his 16 carries. He also caught all 4 of his targets for 18 yards and TD.

With negative game scripts becoming a trend for the Rams, Henderson has seen 4 or more targets in each of the past 3 games, seeing 14 over that span.

Going forward, Henderson remains a viable weekly option who can produce on all 3 downs. There will be better days from a rushing perspective. If he can maintain the work in the passing game, Henderson has tremendous upside in this offense.
Week 10
Henderson got game-scripted out of Monday night’s loss to the 49ers. The Rams went down 14-0 in the 1st quarter and wound up running just 54 offensive plays -- their 2nd lowest total of the season.

Henderson carried a season-low 5 times for 31 yards. He saw 6 targets (14.6% share) but mustered just 10 yards on 4 catches. RB Sony Michel finished with 4 carries and 2 targets. But Henderson played 73% of the offensive snaps and ran a route on 74% of pass plays.

Henderson remains the clear lead back in Los Angeles and just needs the offense to bounce back. The Rams get a well-timed Week 11 bye to figure things out. We’d expect them to rebound the rest of the way but will continue to monitor the offense sans Robert Woods.
Week 9
The Rams trailed throughout most of the game and leaned heavily on the passing game trying to get back into contention. Henderson looked great in the 1st half running hard and picking up big gains on almost every carry. There weren’t many opportunities for Henderson to do anything on the ground in the 2nd half due to the large deficit. He finished the night with 11 carries for 55 yards and 3 catches (on 4 targets) for 3 yards.

Henderson is still averaging 5.8 yards per carry over the last two games and should have better game scripts moving forward. We have Henderson ranked as our RB13 this week against a 49ers defense that just surrendered 138 rushing yards and 3 rushing TDs to RBs last week against the Cardinals.
Week 8
Henderson didn’t have a lot of carries, but he fully took advantage of the light boxes he faced on his way to posting more than 6 yards per carry. He was fortunate on his 2nd TD when Cooper Kupp stepped out of bounds before crossing the goal line on the prior play, which allowed Henderson to get an easy score on the next play. With the Rams blowing out the Texans by the middle of the 3rd quarter, the team wisely started going to their bench, which resulted in Sony Michel and Buddy Howell seeing the same number of carries that Henderson saw earlier in the game.

Even though he dealt with an early-season injury, Henderson came into this game seeing at least 82% of the snaps in 3 of the last 4 games with a low-water mark of 66% during that span, so he has one of the best snap shares among all RBs in the league. Facing many light defensive fronts, he’s posted at least 18 touches and 95 total yards in the majority of his games. As a result, there are very few scenarios in which fantasy managers should consider sitting him, as he’s a borderline RB1 each week.
Week 7
There are a few good and bad things to takeaway from Henderson’s performance. First, let’s discuss the bad. Henderson was only able to muster 64 total yards on 18 touches vs. a Lions D that prior to Week 7 allowed the most fantasy points to RBs on the year. The good was the usage. Henderson since his injury has slowly regained his workhorse role. In Week 7 he saw 18 of 20 RB touches. This elite usage in a high-octane offense should lead to monster weeks going forward.
In Week 8, the Rams take on the Texans. This game should lead to a lot of usage for Henderson as the Rams should be able to handle business. All Henderson owners need to get Sony Michel on their rosters as Henderson’s injury history and Michel’s workhorse usage when Henderson was out makes him a must own handcuff for the 2nd half.
Week 6
Henderson scored twice — one on the ground and one through the air — in the Week 6 blowout win over the Giants. He totaled 107 scrimmage yards on 23 touches (21 carries). His TD catch was notable as he beat the secondary on the outside and QB Matthew Stafford threw a dime from 25 yards out for his first receiving TD this year.
Henderson was the clear workhorse from the backfield as he out-touched RB Sony Michel 23-9, and even more so as Michel saw most of his action with the game in hand in the 2nd half. Henderson now has 6 TDs on the season as he has paid off fantasy owners with consistent production. He should continue rolling this week with a juicy matchup at home against the Lions.
Week 5
Henderson has looked the part of a borderline RB1 this season. In the 4 games Henderson has played, he hasn’t finished lower than RB18 on the week. Week 5 was no different as Henderson cruised to 17-82-1 rushing line, finishing as the RB16. Sony Michel did see extensive work, getting 11 carries of his own, but a lot of that production came when Henderson got banged up in the first half.
Henderson’s injury history is alarming, which makes grabbing Michel a major priority for Henderson owners. Michel did take over as the workhorse back when Henderson went down earlier this season.
In Week 6 Henderson is a must start for fantasy owners as they take on the reeling Giants D that has allowed the 4th most rushing yards to RBs this season.
Week 4
Despite playing through a rib injury, Henderson got workhorse usage in the Week 4 loss to the Cardinals. We’ll never know if that was the plan prior to RB Sony Michel’s 2nd-quarter fumble. But Michel didn’t record a touch after that gaffe.

Henderson ended up playing 90% of the offensive snaps, running a route on 79% of pass plays, handling 14 of 17 RB carries and garnering 6 targets (14.6% share). Elite usage.

And this Rams running game was gashing the Cardinals. Henderson tallied 89 yards on his 14 totes -- a big 6.4 yards per carry. The only reason he didn’t have a bigger day is that the Rams fell way behind and were forced to abandon the run.

We’ll see if Michel works his way back into the mix, but Henderson sure looks like a workhorse back. He’s racked up 30 carries and 7 targets in his 2 full games this season.

He gets fine matchups vs. the Seahawks and Giants the next 2 weeks. Then comes a dreamy stretch: vs. Detroit, at Houston, vs. Tennessee.
Week 2
Henderson operated as the Rams’ workhorse for the 2nd straight game before exiting early in the 4th quarter with a rib injury. He garnered all 13 RB carries and all 5 RB targets over that time.

And Henderson looked good. He seems more comfortable in the scheme this season and is running with good burst and power. He took those 13 carries vs. the Colts for 53 yards and a score. Henderson added 29 yards on 3 receptions.

Now we’ll see about the injury, which is reportedly to Henderson’s rib cartilage. HC Sean McVay didn’t rule Henderson out for Week 3 when asked on Monday. These rib injuries tend to be pain management issues, so this might come down to a game-time decision. Stay tuned to Shark Bites for updates.

Of course, a Week 3 matchup vs. a dominant Bucs run defense would make Henderson a shaky fantasy play even at 100%. But that’s followed by a nice stretch of opponents: Cardinals, Seahawks, Giants, Lions, Texans and Titans.
Week 1
Any doubts about Henderson’s role in this offense following a trade for Sony Michel should be put to bed, for now. Henderson out-touched Michel 17 to 1 in a game in which the Rams led from start to finish. Henderson was his typical self, running hard and hitting holes in a hurry. He played 49 of 52 total snaps and looked like he had juice all game. Henderson even caught 1 pass for 17 yards. Henderson finished with 16 carries for 70 yards and a TD on a 1-yard plunge late in the third quarter.
We have Henderson at RB16 this week against the Colts’ strong front 7. However, the usually tough Colts front just gave up 140 rushing yards to the Seahawks in Week 1. With Stafford at QB now causing defenses to respect the pass, Henderson could be in for a big season this year if McVay continues to let him have the majority of the touches. If Henderson continues to see 94% of the snaps, it could be a career year in this offense. We have Henderson ranked at RB20 the rest of the way.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Henderson opened last season as the Rams’ #3 RB behind Cam Akers and Malcolm Brown, playing just 5 snaps in Week 1.
  • Akers suffered a rib injury in Week 2, and Henderson took over as lead back. From Week 2 to 7, he averaged 14 carries and 2.2 targets per game.
    • He averaged 4.8 yards per carry during that stretch, scored 4 times and ranked as a top 15 RB across fantasy scoring formats.
  • From Week 8 to 15, though, Henderson averaged just 5.6 carries and 1.6 targets per game to Akers’ 14 carries and 1.3 targets. Akers out-carried Henderson in 5 of those 7 games, including in each of the final 3 by a total margin of 65 to 6.
  • In his last 3 games alongside Akers, Henderson registered snap rates of 21%, 11% and 12%.
  • Henderson missed the regular-season finale and both playoff games with a high-ankle sprain. In those games, Akers carried 21, 28 and 18 times.
  • Henderson beat Akers in yards per carry, Elusive Rating, Pro Football Focus rushing grade and Football Outsiders DVOA last year.
  • All indications from the Rams coaching staff and beat writers suggest Akers will enter the 2021 campaign as the clear lead back.
  • Brown is gone, leaving behind 101 carries and a RB-high 33 targets from a year ago.
  • The Rams have finished top 10 in rushing TDs in all 4 seasons under HC Sean McVay, who returns for 2021. They’ve also ranked top 10 in rushing attempts and yards in 3 of those 4 seasons.
  • Henderson was the 70th overall pick of the 2019 NFL Draft; Akers the 52nd overall pick of the 2020 draft.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Henderson finished last season on the sidelines with an ankle injury, while Cam Akers played a workhorse role. Akers looks like the favorite to lead the backfield in 2021 -- but don’t consider him locked into that job. He saw extensive work in only 6 games as a rookie last year and actually got beat by Henderson in most advanced rushing metrics.

Henderson has a chance at seeing enough work to be a fringe fantasy play this season. And, at worst, he’s a high-end handcuff.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Rams RB Darrell Henderson (thigh) is active for today’s game vs. the Jaguars. Fox’s Jay Glazer reported earlier that Henderson would be "available" but not the "feature back." We’ll see exactly how much he ends up playing, but we’re projecting RB Sony Michel to lead the backfield in touches.

View all Darrell Henderson Shark Bites »

Fox Sports' Jay Glazer reports that the Rams expect RB Darrell Henderson (thigh) to be "available" for today's game vs. the Jaguars. Glazer adds, though, that Henderson isn't expected to be the "feature back." It's unclear exactly how much Henderson will play. It's a tough situation to decipher. We're still betting on RB Sony Michel leading the backfield in touches today, making him the better fantasy bet.

View all Darrell Henderson Shark Bites »

The Rams will test RB Darrell Henderson's injured thigh before today's game vs. the Jaguars, but the team is "not optimistic" about his chances of playing, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Henderson got in just a limited practice on Friday, and the Rams shouldn't feel any need to push him in an easily winnable game. We won't get Los Angeles' inactives until a little after 2:30 pm ET, but fantasy owners should assume at this point that Henderson won't play. That'd leave Sony Michel as the Rams' lead back and a RB1 in fantasy lineups. Mekhi Sargent is the only other RB on the roster.

Update: NFL Network's Ian Rapoport tweets that Henderson is "hopeful" to play today but "may not have a full workload." We'll look for further updates.

View all Darrell Henderson Shark Bites »

Rams RB Darrell Henderson (thigh) is questionable for this weekend's game vs. the Jaguars. He only got in a limited practice on Friday. HC Sean McVay expressed optimism about Henderson's status early in the week but called him a game-time decision on Friday. Rams-Jags doesn't kick off until 4:05 pm ET on Sunday, but we'll look for an update on Henderson that morning. If he ends up sitting, Sony Michel will be a RB1.

View all Darrell Henderson Shark Bites »

Rams RB Darrell Henderson (thigh) missed practice again on Thursday. HC Sean McVay has been optimistic about Henderson's status for this weekend's game vs. the Jaguars, but he shouldn't be considered a lock to play. We'll get another update tomorrow.

View all Darrell Henderson Shark Bites »

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