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Jimmy Graham - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Jimmy Graham
CHI

TE CHI

#53 Tight End

27 Projected Points

ADP: 18.4
Bye: 10
Experience: 11 Yr(s)
Age: 34
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 259
40 Time: 4.53

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#53 Tight End

27 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
18.4 16 154 2 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

18.9

DS Projection

27

Consensus

38 other sites
54.8

High Ceiling

54

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Graham drew 14.8% of Chicago’s total pass attempts through the first 9 games last season, dominating Cole Kmet’s 2.2% share. Over the final 8 contests, though, Graham fell to 8.75% target share. Kmet leaped to 15.2%.
  • Graham averaged just 2.9 targets per game over that late-season span, which including the playoff loss at New Orleans.
  • The veteran remained a key cog in and around the end zone, though. Eight of his 21 targets over the final 7 regular-season games came in the red zone, according to Pro Football Reference. Four of those came inside the 10-yard line.
  • For the year, Graham tied for 4th-most end-zone targets among TEs, with 11. Kmet drew just a single end-zone look, tying for 54th at the position.
  • The Bears could have saved $7 million in cap space this offseason by releasing Graham, who heads into the final year of his contract and will turn 35 in November. As of this writing, at least, they have elected to keep him.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We all laughed when the Bears swooped in to give Graham a sizable 2-year deal 6 days after the Packers released him last March. Even though his playing time and target share dwindled over the 2nd half of last season, it seems like Chicago is still holding on. Rather than make Graham a fantasy option, though, the decision’s greatest impact will be to lower Cole Kmet’s 2021 ceiling.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Bears on Monday reached a 2-year, $16 million deal with TE Jimmy Graham, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Graham is a surprising addition at a somewhat surprising cost. His playing time and production fell off late last season, and he'll turn 34 midway through the coming campaign. Chicago also still has TE Trey Burton under contract, though he could be a cut candidate. The Bears' TE corps looks like a situation to avoid for 2020.

View all Jimmy Graham Shark Bites »

The Packers have released TE Jimmy Graham, saving $8 million against the 2020 salary cap. It was an easy decision with Graham just about out of gas. The 33-year-old's 38 catches and 447 yards this past season were both his lowest marks since his 2010 rookie campaign. He ranked 23rd in yards per route run and 26th in Pro Football Focus' receiving grades among 27 TEs that saw 50+ targets. We'll see where Graham lands on the free-agent market, but he's unlikely to have a fantasy impact. In Green Bay, meanwhile, the door is open for 2019 third-round TE Jace Sternberger to capture the lead job. Highlight him as an upside target in the later rounds of early best-ball drafts.

View all Jimmy Graham Shark Bites »

Packers TE Jimmy Graham (ankle) only got in a limited practice on Friday but isn’t listed on the final Week 7 injury report. This looks like a case of Green Bay getting the veteran TE some rest during the week. Graham should theoretically play a big role against the Raiders on Sunday with all of the Packers’ WR injuries — although he managed just 2 catches on 5 targets last week.

View all Jimmy Graham Shark Bites »

Packers TE Jimmy Graham (ankle) missed his 2nd straight practice on Thursday. The team has been managing his practice reps all season, but this is the 1st time he's sat out 2 straight practices since Week 3. He ended up playing a season-low 41% of the offensive snaps and posting a goose egg that Sunday. We'll get another update on Graham tomorrow, but he's shaping up as a shaky Week 7 play.

View all Jimmy Graham Shark Bites »

Packers TE Jimmy Graham (groin) is active for today’s game against the Broncos. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, so it’s tough to believe he’s anywhere close to 100%. Avoid Graham in Week 3 fantasy lineups.

View all Jimmy Graham Shark Bites »

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