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J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJ.J. McCarthy's Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
ADP: 15.8
Bye: 6
Experience: 0
Age: 21.3
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 219
Agility Score (Rank): 11.05 (90%)

J.J. McCarthy's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

J.J. McCarthy's 2024 Projections & Outlook


#29 Quarterback

228.5 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
15.8 306.6/495.6 3465 20.3 11.2 42 182 4.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJ.J. McCarthy's Preseason Player Analysis

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Sam Darnold, QB MIN

5:26pm EDT 6/9/24

Get ready for Sam Darnold to start Week 1?

In recapping the Vikings' just-completed minicamp, The Athletic's Alec Lewis says QB Sam Darnold "looked calm, confident and prepared for what is likely to be another starting opportunity." Lewis also highlighted the inconsistency in rookie QB J.J. McCarthy's performance, adding that it should be expected for the first-round pick. Lewis added that Darnold took every first-team rep in the minicamp and that McCarthy didn't work with starters when the Vikings split into "starters" and "developmental" groups. Minnesota signed Darnold to a one-year, $10 million contract before the draft, with $8.75 million of that fully guaranteed. That doesn't lock in Darnold as the starter for any portion of the coming season. But it's enough money to suggest that we shouldn't be surprised if he opens the year behind center.

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The Vikings are signing WR Justin Jefferson to a four-year extension, according to NFL Network. The $140 million deal includes $110 million in guarantees and will make him the highest-paid non-QB in the league.

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The Vikings selected Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy in Round 1 of the NFL Draft. McCarthy won 27 of 28 starts over the past two seasons, but a run-heavy Michigan squad limited the raw production. He averaged only 23.4 passes per game from 2022-2023. He hit 300 yards three times over that stretch. Of course, counting stats make up a small piece of the overall evaluation. Look to the efficiency, and McCarthy thrived – particularly in 2023. He posted an elite yards per attempt (9.0) and adjusted completion rate (80.0%). Running a pro-style system under HC Jim Harbaugh, McCarthy also excelled on throws over the middle of the field. The plus athlete showed his movement skills at the NFL Combine with a 91st percentile 3-cone (6.82) and 72nd percentile shuttle (4.23). He tallied ten rushing TDs for his career. The 6’2, 215-pounder isn’t the most physically imposing QB, but his tape doesn’t give us any arm strength concerns. And he avoided missing time due to an injury. It’s also worth remembering that this Michigan offense wasn’t loaded like the ones Jayden Daniels and Michael Penix Jr. played with. Ultimately, the selection of McCarthy is a bet on traits, athleticism, and high character. He’s certainly matched with a bright offensive mind in HC Kevin O'Connell. Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson supply an excellent trio of weapons. McCarthy projects as the Week 1 starter over Sam Darnold, but it's far from a lock. The Michigan product looks no better than a low-end QB2 for redraft.

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Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy came in at nearly 6’3 and 219 pounds at the NFL Combine. It’s a win for the 21-year-old, who Michigan listed at 202 pounds. McCarthy averaged only 22.1 attempts per game in 2023, as former HC Jim Harbaugh leaned on an excellent defense and run game. While McCarthy wasn’t a big-time college producer, he displayed the live arm and athletic traits of a first-round talent. NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah compared him to former Chief and 49er Alex Smith. Keep in mind that McCarthy is far from a finished product, so 2024 fantasy contributions are unlikely.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

J.J. McCarthy, QB MIN
Dynasty MVP 199.0
Position Rank #43 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
McCarthy wasn’t asked to carry a Michigan squad led by a strong defense and run game. Still, the two-year starter flashed a power arm and the ability to execute pro-style concepts under HC Jim Harbaugh. McCarthy isn’t short on athletic traits, either. 2024 might be a developmental year, but the 21-year-old should have a real chance to emerge in fantasy by 2025. The Vikings supply a dream landing spot.
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