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Kirk Cousins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Kirk Cousins


#14 Quarterback

365 Projected Points

ADP: 14.7
Bye: 7
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 32
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 214
40 Time: 4.84

2021 Projections & Outlook


#14 Quarterback

365 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
14.7 380/559 4556 33 12 120

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Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Over his 3 seasons as Minnesota starter, Cousins ranks 9th among QBs in total fantasy points. He drops to 17th in points per game, however.
  • Cousins ranks 8th over that span in TD rate (5.8%), 13th in yards per pass attempt (7.77) and 17th in passing yards per game.
  • A decline in passing volume has factored into his total production over the past 2 years. Cousins ranked just 24th in pass attempts in 2019, and then 15th last season.
  • Minnesota still ranked 6th most run-heavy in the league last season. Over the past 2 years, the Vikings sported the league’s 3rd-lowest situation-neutral, early-down pass rate (46.8%). Only the Titans and Ravens checked in lower.
  • Cousins has made up for that with efficiency. Minnesota has ranked 8th in the league over that span in expected points added (EPA) per dropback, according to
  • Cousins ranked 6th in the NFL in TD rate in 2019 (5.9%) and 7th in yards per pass attempt (8.1). With Stefon Diggs swapped out for Justin Jefferson last season and Adam Thielen healthier (15 games vs. 10 in 2019), Cousins climbed to 5th (6.8%) and 2nd (8.3).
  • OC Gary Kubiak retired after the 2020 season. But his replacement is son Klint Kubiak, who spent the past 2 years as Minnesota’s QBs coach. He also previously worked under HC Mike Zimmer in 2014, Zimmer’s 1st year leading the Vikings.
  • Kevin Stefanski “brought [Klint] Kubiak back” to coach the QBs after becoming OC late in 2018, according to the team website.
  • Zimmer said back in February: "I'm happy to keep consistency of the scheme and the staff on the offensive side of the ball for 2021. I believe in the system and the coaches we have.” Kubiak added that the scheme will need to “evolve,” but it seems we should expect a similarly run-leaning approach.
  • The only significant change among Minnesota pass-catchers this offseason has been Kyle Rudolph’s release. The Vikings got a preview of that, though, when Rudolph missed last year’s final 4 games. Irv Smith and Tyler Conklin mean no downgrade in the TE talent available to Cousins -- and probably an upgrade, given the ages of the 3 players.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Cousins has been wonderfully efficient in Minnesota, especially over the past 2 seasons. His TD rate is likely to come down from last year’s 6.8%, but scheme continuity and the team’s pass-catching talent should minimize any dip there. The main limitation comes in passing volume, which lowers Cousins’ fantasy ceiling. But he’s a solid buy in the middle of QB2 range, regardless of format.


Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Vikings were hoping to land QB Justin Fields at pick 14 and even considered trading up for him, according to ESPN's Courtney Cronin. The Bears ended up making the move for Fields, while the Vikings added QB Kellen Mond with pick 66. Minnesota is clearly looking at their long-term QB situation, with Kirk Cousins turning 33 in August and, more importantly, set to count $45 million against the cap in 2022, the final year of his deal. Mond won't threaten Cousins' job this season. But if he shows well throughout the year, Minnesota might opt to roll with Mond the following year.

View all Kirk Cousins Shark Bites »

The Vikings have agreed to a 2-year extension with QB Kirk Cousins. The contract alters Cousins' 2020 cap hit and adds 2 more years beyond that at $96 million total, according to Ian Rapoport. The new pact figures to keep Cousins leading the Minnesota offense at least through 2021. (We'll see about the final season on the new contract.) Cousins fell from QB11 to QB19 in total fantasy points in his 2nd Vikings season. But he actually tallied more fantasy points per pass attempt in 2019 (0.65 vs. 0.55).

View all Kirk Cousins Shark Bites »

The Associated Press reports that the Vikings will name Gary Kubiak their new OC. Kubiak spent 2019 on the Minnesota staff as an offensive adviser and assistant to HC Mike Zimmer. The move gives Minnesota continuity from the scheme that helped usher in RB Dalvin Cook's 2019 breakout while deploying 1 of the league's most run-heavy approaches. We'd expect plenty more running under an OC who has historically liked his RBs. QB Kirk Cousins, meanwhile, finished 2019 low in QB2 territory, reaching 2 TD passes in just 7 of 15 games. Expect him to remain in QB2 territory in our 2020 fantasy football rankings, and approach Cousins as a platoon option in the double-digit rounds of early best-ball drafting. He and Minnesota's WRs do, at least, present a nice week-to-week ceiling.

View all Kirk Cousins Shark Bites »

ESPN's Courtney Cronin reports that the Vikings are "leaning heavily" toward resting the "bulk" of their starters in Sunday's game against the Bears. Minnesota is locked into the NFC's #6 seed. Cronin mentions QB Kirk Cousins as 1 starter who isn't expected to play. RB Dalvin Cook (shoulder) is almost certain to be inactive. And we'd bank on WRs Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen getting the day off, too. QB Sean Mannion will get the start for the Vikings, making this an offense to try to avoid in Week 17 fantasy lineups. The Bears DST is a strong play.

View all Kirk Cousins Shark Bites »

Vikings QB Kirk Cousins admitted on Thursday that he's not sure how much or even if he'll play against the Bears this weekend. Minnesota is locked in as the NFC's #6 seed after Monday night's loss to the Packers. Cousins and his WRs are shaky Week 17 fantasy plays that we'd try to avoid. We're not expecting RBs Dalvin Cook (shoulder) and Alexander Mattison (ankle) to play vs. Chicago.

View all Kirk Cousins Shark Bites »

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