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Kyler Murray - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKyler Murray's Basic Stats

Kyler Murray
ADP: 7.7
Bye: 11
Experience: 5
Age: 26.9
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 207
40 Time: 4.49

Kyler Murray's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
239.7 1.41 0.7 34.6 19.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
227 1.4 0.7 28.5 18

Kyler Murray's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#11 Quarterback

290.5 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
7.7 325.5/492 3595.5 21.15 10.5 90 519 4.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKyler Murray's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Murray ranked sixth among QBs in fantasy points per game over the final nine weeks of last season. That’s even more impressive when you consider that he was returning from a December 2022 ACL tear and working in a brand new offense.

Murray has enjoyed a healthy 2023 offseason, is back in OC Drew Petzing’s offense, and got a major weaponry upgrade with the arrival of stud rookie WR Marvin Harrison Jr.

He’s a good bet for top-12 fantasy production with upside into the top-5 QBs.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Murray missed the first nine games of last season working back from his December 2022 ACL tear.
  • He ranked eighth among QBs in total fantasy points from Week 10 on and sixth in fantasy points per game.
  • Murray finished as a top-12 fantasy QB in four of his eight outings, including a pair of top-six finishes.
  • Despite coming off that serious knee injury, Murray racked up 44 carries for 244 yards and three TDs. All three marks ranked top-six among QBs over the final nine weeks of last season.
    • Murray went from 26.5 rushing yards per game in four outings before his Week 14 bye to 34.5 rushing yards per game in four outings post-bye.
  • He ranked just 21st among 30 qualifying QBs in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
  • Murray’s 6.7 yards per pass attempt was the second-lowest mark of his five-year career, ahead of only his 6.1 in 2022. It ranked 21st among 30 qualifiers.
  • Murray also underwhelmed in the TD department, with a 3.7% TD rate that ranked 20th among 30 qualifiers.
  • He was playing in a new offense under first-time OC Drew Petzing.
  • Murray only had a healthy WR Marquise Brown for three of his eight games. WR Michael Wilson missed three games with Murray. Greg Dortch led Cardinals WRs in targets over Murray’s eight games.
  • Here’s where Murray ranked in fantasy points per game in his first four seasons:
    • 2019: 11th
    • 2020: 4th
    • 2021: 5th
    • 2022: 10th
  • Murray ranks fifth among QBs in fantasy points per game since arriving in 2019 (behind Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, and Dak Prescott).

What to Expect in 2024

  • Murray will be back in the same offense under OC Drew Petzing. It’ll be his first healthy offseason in the system after spending last offseason rehabbing his torn ACL.
  • WR Marquise Brown left in free agency, but the Cardinals spent the fourth overall pick of this year’s draft on WR Marvin Harrison Jr. The 6’3, 209-pounder topped 1,200 receiving yards with 14 TDs in each of his final two seasons at Ohio State. He’s one of the cleanest WR prospects to arrive in recent memory and should immediately be an upgrade over Brown as Murray’s No. 1 WR.
  • The Cardinals also added WR Zay Jones this offseason. He struggled with injuries last year but caught 82 balls for 823 yards in 2022.
  • RB James Conner, WR Michael Wilson, WR Greg Dortch, and TE Trey McBride return from last year’s squad. McBride is coming off a breakout season, tallying 825 yards and ranking second among 33 qualifying TEs in yards per route run.
  • Murray should again add lots of fantasy value with his legs. He’s averaged over 30 rushing yards per game in all five of his NFL seasons. His career 37.7 rushing yards per game ranks fourth among QBs since 2019.
  • The 2023 Cardinals ranked:
    • 17th in Pro Football Focus pass-blocking grade
    • 19th in ESPN’s pass-block win rate
  • OT Paris Johnson, C Hjalte Froholdt, and G Will Hernandez return as projected starters. Johnson played RT last year but is expected to move to LT this season. He ranked 48th among 73 qualifying OTs in Pro Football Focus’ 2023 pass-blocking grades but is a candidate to take a step forward this year after going sixth overall in last year’s draft.
  • The Cardinals signed OT Jonah Williams to a two-year, $30 million deal. He ranked 60th in PFF pass-blocking grades last season.
  • Free-agent signee Evan Brown is expected to start at the other guard spot. He’s been a below-average pass blocker for the Lions and Seahawks over the last two seasons.

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Zay Jones, WR ARI

3:57pm EDT 5/10/24

Cardinals add Zay Jones

The Cardinals are signing former Jaguars WR Zay Jones, according to multiple reports. NFL Network reports that it's a one-year deal worth "up to" $4.5 million.

View Full Story »

The Arizona Cardinals spent the fifth pick of the NFL Draft on WR Marvin Harrison Jr. Harrison has looked like a top-5 pick for a while now. The son of the longtime Colt and NFL Hall of Famer, Junior arrived at Ohio State as a four-star recruit. He broke out as a true sophomore in 2022, racking up 77 catches for 1,263 yards, and 14 TDs. He ranked third among 286 qualifying WRs in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and seventh in yards per route. Harrison’s raw production took a slight step back this past year (67-1,211-14), but he set new career highs in share of receiving yards (35.7%), share of receiving TDs (53.9%), and yards per route (3.44). That rate was a better mark than Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson ever managed at Ohio State. Harrison won the 2023 Biletnikoff Award as the top WR in college football. He’s a big-bodied 6’3, 209-pounder but moves like a much smaller man. Harrison consistently creates separation with fluid route running and a high football IQ. And when he’s not “open,” he can win with top-notch ball skills. Harrison looks ready to make an immediate impact in the NFL and ultimately boasts top-5 fantasy upside. He arrives to an offense needing a lead WR. Harrison's arrival boosts the fantasy upside of QB Kyler Murray.

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Cardinals HC Jonathan Gannon said Tuesday that there's "no doubt" Kyler Murray is his team's QB going forward. "'Number 1' is our franchise quarterback," Gannon added. Things can change over the course of the offseason. But the 4-12 Cardinals are currently slated to pick fourth in this spring's draft, so they'd need to move up to land USC's Caleb Williams or North Carolina's Drake Maye. Murray's 2023 numbers don't jump off the page, but his play has been encouraging considering he's coming off a torn ACL and learning a brand new offense. He had his best outing of the season in the Week 17 win over the Eagles. We'll see how Murray finishes the campaign in Sunday's finale vs. the Seahawks.

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Cardinals QB Kyler Murray completed 25 of 31 passes for 232 yards with 3 TDs and 1 INT in Week 17 vs. the Eagles. He added 24 yards on 5 carries. Murray ranks 12th in fantasy points per game among QBs through Week 17, a solid-to-strong level for a mobile QB coming off an ACL tear. His connection with TE Trey McBride proved stellar and presents a solid building block for the Cardinals moving into 2024. HC Jonathan Gannon has since said Murray will "no doubt" remain Arizona's starter. With $53.1 million in projected cap space and three of the top-35 picks in the NFL Draft (as of now), the Cardinals could rebuild the offense quickly around their QB.

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Cardinals QB Kyler Murray (illness) is active for today’s game vs. the Eagles. He only got in a limited practice on Friday this week, but there’s been nothing to suggest that he’ll be limited today.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Kyler Murray, QB ARI
Dynasty MVP 261.7
Position Rank #23 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
831
1,342
2,391
Dynasty Write-up
Murray tore his ACL in Week 14 of 2022, then returned in Week 10 of 2023 and immediately looked healthy. HC Jonathan Gannon called Murray the Cardinals' "franchise quarterback" way back in January. Consider Kyler an offseason winner following the selection of WR Marvin Harrison Jr.
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