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Kyler Murray - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKyler Murray's Basic Stats

Kyler Murray
Bye: 13
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25.4
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 207
40 Time: 4.49

Kyler Murray's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Kyler Murray's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#3 Quarterback

362.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 405.7/601 4607.5 25.3 12.6 108 596 3.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKyler Murray's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • Murray has opened his career with QB8, QB3 and QB10 fantasy finishes.
  • He’s averaged the 7th most fantasy points per game among QBs over the past 3 seasons, behind Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Patrick Mahomes, Deshaun Watson, Josh Allen and Dak Prescott.
  • Murray ranks 3rd among QBs in carries, 2nd in rushing yards and 2nd in rushing TDs over the last 3 seasons.
    • Only Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen have scored more rushing fantasy points than Murray over that span.
  • Murray has ranked 7th, 5th and 4th among QBs in carries inside the 10 over the last 3 years.
  • Murray has improved his completion rate, adjusted completion rate, yards per attempt, adjusted yards per attempt and Pro Football Focus passing grade in each of his 3 NFL seasons.
  • Here’s where Murray ranked in those 5 metrics among 31 qualifying QBs last year:
    • Completion rate - 2nd
    • Adjusted completion rate - 6th
    • Yards per attempt - 4th
    • Adjusted yards per attempt - 8th
    • PFF passing grade - 3rd
  • Murray was especially excellent throwing deep last year. He ranked 1st in PFF grade and 2nd in adjusted completion rate on passes 20+ yards downfield.
    • Murray ranked 5th and 9th in PFF’s deep passing grades in his first 2 seasons.
  • Murray missed 3 games last year with a left ankle sprain. He played all 16 games the previous 2 seasons but dealt with hamstring, shoulder and leg injuries.
  • The Cardinals lost WR Christian Kirk and RB Chase Edmonds in free agency this offseason.
    • Those 2 combined for 26.4% of Arizona’s targets, 28.9% of the receptions, 28.0% of the receiving yards and 18.5% of the receiving TDs last year.
  • Murray will also be without WR DeAndre Hopkins for the first 6 games of the season after he was suspended for violating the league’s performance-enhancing drug policy.
  • The Cardinals return RB James Conner, WRs Rondale Moore and A.J. Green and TE Zach Ertz.
  • They swung a trade during the 1st round of this spring’s draft for WR Marquise Brown.
    • Murray and Brown played together at Oklahoma in 2017 and 2018. Brown posted 57-1,095-7 and 75-1,318-10 lines those 2 years.
    • Brown’s speed should be a nice fit with Murray’s deep-ball prowess.
  • HC Kliff Kingsbury returns for his 4th season with Murray and the Cardinals.
    • Kingsbury has been a pass-leaning play caller, with Arizona ranking 5th, 12th and 4th situation-neutral pass rate over the last 3 years.
  • The 2021 Cardinals ranked 16th in PFF’s pass-blocking grades and 15th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Sack Rate.
    • The only significant addition Arizona made on the line this offseason was G Will Hernandez, who ranked 46th among 68 qualifiers in PFF’s 2021 pass-blocking grades.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Murray has finished as a top 10 fantasy QB in each of his first 3 NFL seasons, averaging the 7th most points per game at the position over that stretch. He’s been 1 of the most productive rushing QBs in the league and has consistently improved as a passer. He turns just 25 in August.

Losing WR DeAndre Hopkins to a PED suspension for the first 6 games of the season hurts. But the Cardinals traded for Murray’s former college teammate, Marquise Brown, and return Rondale Moore, A.J. Green, Zach Ertz and James Conner. There’s plenty of firepower here.

Murray should be 1 of the first 5 QBs off the board in fantasy drafts. He’s 1 of a handful of guys with the potential to lead the position in fantasy points.

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Kyler Murray, QB ARI

9:38am EST 1/29/23

Murray could miss a large chunk of 2023?

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that Cardinals QB Kyler Murray won't rush his return to the field and will focus on getting back to 100% following the ACL and meniscus tears in his right knee. "Do not be surprised if we don't see him to start the season, or maybe even by the midway point," Rapoport said Sunday morning. We'll obviously be tracking Murray's recovery throughout the offseason. This latest news should give you hesitation in best-ball drafts, though. It's tough to like the Cardinals QB inside the position's top 12 in the earliest drafts. On top of the knee, Murray also faces the challenge of learning a new system when Arizona selects its next coach. And WR DeAndre Hopkins has been discussed as a trade candidate.

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The Arizona Cardinals have fired HC Kliff Kingsbury. He went 28-37-1 across 4 NFL seasons that included 1 playoff trip: last year's loss to the Rams in the Wild Card round. The Cardinals sank to 4th in the division this season with a 4-13 record. Worse for fantasy football purposes, the offense sank from 8th in yards and 11th in points to 22nd and 21st, respectively, the worst marks of Kingsbury's stint in each category. QB Kyler Murray's Week 14 ACL tear didn't help, but his performance also fell way off vs. the previous 2 seasons before that. Kingsbury looked like a questionable choice from the start after a 6-year run as Texas Tech's HC that included a 35-40 overall record and just 2 seasons of .500 or better -- despite having 3 years of Patrick Mahomes at QB. We'll see about Arizona's next move, as well as Murray's recovery. The franchise will also be replacing GM Steve Keim, who announced Monday that he's stepping away to "focus on his health."

View all Kyler Murray Shark Bites »

Cardinals HC Kliff Kingsbury conceded Wednesday that QB Kyler Murray (knee) "probably" won't be ready for the start of the 2023 season. Murray underwent surgery Tuesday to reconstruct his ACL and repair meniscus damage in his right knee. We're just about 8 months from the start of the 2023 campaign; this is an injury that usually takes 9+ months to return from. Early fantasy drafters should be operating under the assumption that Murray misses at least the first few games. The PUP list, which would cost him the first 6 games, is a real possibility. Kingsbury also said that QB Colt McCoy isn't playing this weekend to protect him from injury, suggesting that he might be Plan A to replace Murray early next season. McCoy is signed for 2023 with a reasonable $5 million cap hit.

View all Kyler Murray Shark Bites »

Cardinals QB Kyler Murray (knee) is expected to be ready for the start of the 2023 season, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Murray is reportedly working with a 6-8 month timeline to return -- which is shorter than usual for a torn ACL. Murray is set to undergo surgery after Christmas. Doctors don't believe there's damage to any of Murray's other ligaments, but NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that there's
associated meniscus damage that will be repaired. We'll keep you updated on Murray's progress throughout the offseason.

View all Kyler Murray Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Kyler Murray, QB ARI
Dynasty MVP 401.2
Position Rank #2 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Murray tore his ACL in Week 14, making his status for Week 1 of 2023 a question mark. On the positive side: Murray turns only 26 next August, while the Cardinals have moved on from stale HC Kliff Kingsbury.

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