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J.K. Dobbins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJ.K. Dobbins's Basic Stats

J.K. Dobbins
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.9
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 212
40 Time: 4.37
SPARQx (Rank): 142.70 (99%)

J.K. Dobbins's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
25.7 0.3 1.1 7.2 0 4.9

J.K. Dobbins's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#22 Running Back

167.7 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 194.7 908.2 9 2 1 27.3 207 0.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJ.K. Dobbins's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Dobbins tore his left ACL last Aug. 28.
  • The team has said the recovery is going well. HC John Harbaugh said in late March that Dobbins and Gus Edwards (who also tore an ACL) “may or may not” open training camp on the PUP list. But he added that they would likely be cautious with both players leading up to the regular season.
  • As a 2020 rookie, Dobbins ranked 12th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade among 64 RBs with 70+ carries. He also ranked 11th among that group in elusive rating. Dobbins trailed Edwards (5th) in the 1st category but easily beat him in the 2nd.
  • Dobbins closed out 2020 leading the backfield in carries, though not far ahead of Edwards. He garnered just 13.8% of carries over the 1st 6 games in a backfield led by Mark Ingram. Dobbins then drew 31.5% for his 9 healthy games after the Week 7 bye. Edwards got 25.1% over the same span. Dobbins reached 40% carry share just twice all season.
  • He also matched exactly Edwards’ post-bye target total (4.5% of the team total) for their 9 shared games. Dobbins’ receiving role nearly disappeared down the stretch. He tallied only 2 total targets over the final 5 games.
  • Dobbins led all 3 of his Ohio State backfields in receptions (as well as carries). He averaged 9.1 yards per catch for his college career and totaled 5 TD catches.
  • In Lamar Jackson’s 3 starting seasons, Baltimore has ranked 30th, 25th and 31st in RB target share, sending 15.6% or less to the whole position each year.
  • This study of 312 NFL players who suffered ACL tears between 2013 and 2018 found that they missed more games and dipped in performance. RBs saw the largest decrease in performance, measured by Pro Football Reference approximate value.
  • Ravens RB J.K. Dobbins (knee) passed his physical and was activated from the PUP list. ESPN's Adam Schefter tweeted that Dobbins is now "on track" to play Week 1, while NFL Network's Ian Rapoport said Dobbins has "a chance" for the opener.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

It’s easy to get excited about Dobbins as a player, if you watch him. But there’s a lot working against him. Before the ACL tear, he resided in a committee backfield alongside the league’s highest-volume rushing QB. His team ranks near the bottom of the league in RB target share. And then there’s the knee recovery. Even without any setbacks this summer, Dobbins still faces that extra challenge vs. others at his position. Fantasy drafters have gotten a little more apprehensive compared with early draft season, but he’s still going 21st among RBs in FFPC best-ball drafting as of this writing – in the middle of Round 4. That’s not late enough to make up for the risk. It’s right in the middle of what’s become viewed as the RB “dead zone.” And Dobbins sure looks like a potential zombie.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

J.K. Dobbins, RB BAL

3:07pm EST 11/28/22

Dobbins to practice "in some degree" this week

Ravens RB J.K. Dobbins (knee) will practice "in some degree" this week, HC John Harbaugh said Monday. Dobbins has been sidelined since Week 6 and underwent arthroscopic knee surgery in late October. It doesn't necessarily sound like he'll be ready to play vs. the Broncos on Sunday, but we'll keep an eye on his status throughout the week.

View all J.K. Dobbins Shark Bites »

The Ravens placed RB J.K. Dobbins (knee) on IR, knocking him out for at least the next 4 games. He's expected to be sidelined for 4-6 weeks after undergoing arthroscopic surgery on his knee, so landing on IR has no impact to his rest-of-season fantasy value. Dobbins is not a must-stash in shallower fantasy leagues. He probably won't be a starting option until December at the earliest.

View all J.K. Dobbins Shark Bites »

Ravens RB J.K. Dobbins will be having arthroscopic surgery on his left knee next week. ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that he'll miss the ensuing 4-6 weeks. That should leave this week's backfield to Kenyan Drake and Justice Hill, who put in full practices all week coming off his hamstring injury. Gus Edwards should be back soon as well and gains upside with Dobbins' status. All 3 Baltimore RBs are worth stashing where possible on fantasy football rosters.

View all J.K. Dobbins Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

J.K. Dobbins, RB BAL
Dynasty MVP 121.1
Position Rank #31 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
498
657
657
Dynasty Write-up
We'll track Dobbins' recovery from his late-August ACL tear, but he seems on track to be ready for the start of the 2022 season. Dobbins ripped off 6.0 yards per carry as a rookie in 2020 and is only 23 years old.

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