|ADP||Rush Atts||Rush Yds||Rush TDs||100||Fum||Rec||Rec Yds||Rec TDs|
What You Need to Know:
-Baltimore spent a Round 2 pick (55th overall) on Dobbins last year. It marked their most significant use of RB draft capital since selecting Ray Rice 55th overall in 2008.
-Dobbins was slowly eased into the offense; he didn’t exceed 12 touches until Week 8.
-A banged up and ineffective Mark Ingram (11 games played) helped open up touches for the rookie. Ingram signed with Houston this offseason.
-Dobbins only missed 1 game all year — and it was a stint on the COVID-19 list.
-Dobbins and Gus Edwards both averaged ~9 carries per game. The pair each tallied 25 red zone carries.
-Dobbins’ workload picked up down the stretch. He saw double digit touches in 11 of the final 12 games, including the postseason. He maxed out at 17 touches.
-Of course, Lamar Jackson held down both guy’s ceilings. LJax rushed 159 times — 30 times in the red zone.
-Dobbins notched an eye-popping 6.0 YPC and certainly passed the eye test. That mark led all RBs with 30+ attempts.
-He notched a very strong 3.35 yards after contact per attempt mark. He’s a stout back at 5’10, 214 pounds.
-The issue was in the passing game. Even with zero depth at WR, Dobbins saw only 24 targets (6.1%) for the run-heavy Ravens. Gus Edwards, Mark Ingram and Justice Hill combined for 26 targets.
-One potential reason for Dobbins’ lowly receiving totals — drops. He mishandled 6 passes last year.
-With OC Greg Roman returning for year 3, Baltimore will remain committed to the ground game. Yet offseason investments in Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace show a willingness to open up the passing game. Roman has indicated he’ll go in that direction with recent offseason comments.
-The Ravens lost mauling RT Orlando Brown in free agency. Still, this unit — led by LT Ronnie Stanley — profiles as a team strength.
-Baltimore re-signed Edwards to a 1-year deal over the spring. After an impressive 2020, Edwards’ presence could limit Dobbins to a ~60/40 split. Jackson will remain a frustrating threat to steal high-value touches, too.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Just evaluating Dobbins the player, there’s not much to dislike. As a rookie, he combined plus power and elusiveness to produce a Nick Chubb-like debut. Really impressive stuff.
While the threat of Lamar Jackson’s legs helped open up space, the same setup remains in place for year 2. The downside is that Gus Edwards figures to continue keeping Dobbins out of a workhorse role. And that’ll continue to put an emphasis on high efficiency.
Unless his receiving usage changes drastically, Dobbins figures to be a volatile asset from week to week. He’s not cheap in summer drafts, either, with an ADP in late Round 2.