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J.K. Dobbins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

J.K. Dobbins
BAL

RB BAL

# Running Back

N/A Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 8
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 209
40 Time: 4.39

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Baltimore spent a Round 2 pick (55th overall) on Dobbins last year. It marked their most significant use of RB draft capital since selecting Ray Rice 55th overall in 2008.
  • Dobbins was slowly eased into the offense; he didn’t exceed 12 touches until Week 8.
  • A banged up and ineffective Mark Ingram (11 games played) helped open up touches for the rookie. Ingram signed with Houston this offseason.
  • Dobbins only missed 1 game all year — and it was a stint on the COVID-19 list.
  • Dobbins and Gus Edwards both averaged ~9 carries per game. The pair each tallied 25 red zone carries.
  • Dobbins’ workload picked up down the stretch. He saw double digit touches in 11 of the final 12 games, including the postseason. He maxed out at 17 touches.
  • Of course, Lamar Jackson held down both guy’s ceilings. LJax rushed 159 times — 30 times in the red zone.
  • Dobbins notched an eye-popping 6.0 YPC and certainly passed the eye test. That mark led all RBs with 30+ attempts.
  • He notched a very strong 3.35 yards after contact per attempt mark. He’s a stout back at 5’10, 214 pounds.
  • The issue was in the passing game. Even with zero depth at WR, Dobbins saw only 24 targets (6.1%) for the run-heavy Ravens. Gus Edwards, Mark Ingram and Justice Hill combined for 26 targets.
  • One potential reason for Dobbins’ lowly receiving totals — drops. He mishandled 6 passes last year.
  • With OC Greg Roman returning for year 3, Baltimore will remain committed to the ground game. Yet offseason investments in Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace show a willingness to open up the passing game. Roman has indicated he’ll go in that direction with recent offseason comments.
  • The Ravens lost mauling RT Orlando Brown in free agency. Still, this unit — led by LT Ronnie Stanley — profiles as a team strength.
  • Baltimore re-signed Edwards to a 1-year deal over the spring. After an impressive 2020, Edwards’ presence could limit Dobbins to a ~60/40 split. Jackson will remain a frustrating threat to steal high-value touches, too.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Just evaluating Dobbins the player, there’s not much to dislike. As a rookie, he combined plus power and elusiveness to produce a Nick Chubb-like debut. Really impressive stuff.

While the threat of Lamar Jackson’s legs helped open up space, the same setup remains in place for year 2. The downside is that Gus Edwards figures to continue keeping Dobbins out of a workhorse role. And that’ll continue to put an emphasis on high efficiency.

Unless his receiving usage changes drastically, Dobbins figures to be a volatile asset from week to week. He’s not cheap in summer drafts, either, with an ADP in late Round 2.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

According to multiple reports, the Ravens are assuming RB J.K. Dobbins will miss the season because of the left knee injury he suffered Saturday night. The 2nd-year back is having an MRI to confirm the diagnosis today, but NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that the team believes Dobbins tore the ACL. His loss obviously boosts Gus Edwards, Justice Hill and Ty'Son Williams. Don't be surprised, though, if Baltimore adds another RB as rosters get trimmed down around the league.

Update: Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, Dobbins is officially out for the season with an ACL tear.

View all J.K. Dobbins Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Jeff Zrebiec confirms that Ravens RB J.K. Dobbins has a "potentially serious" knee injury. "At this point, anything short of Dobbins being declared out for the season Sunday would have to be considered a win for the Ravens," Zrebiec adds. It's speculation based on reactions from Dobbins, Ravens players and Ravens coaches on Saturday -- but this doesn't look good. We should get a more concrete diagnosis on Dobbins after he gets his MRI on Sunday. If you're drafting in the meantime, we wouldn't consider him until the double-digit rounds.

View all J.K. Dobbins Shark Bites »

"The belief among Ravens powers that be is that the [J.K.] Dobbins knee injury is indeed serious," insider Michael Silver tweeted on Saturday night. That's the only update we've seen on Dobbins since he had to be helped off the field and carted back to the locker room after hurting his left knee in Baltimore's final preseason game. Stay tuned.

View all J.K. Dobbins Shark Bites »

Ravens RB J.K. Dobbins injured his left knee in Saturday's preseason game. He was in obvious pain and needed assistance to get off the field and into the medical tent. He was eventually carted back to the locker room. We'll update Dobbins' status as soon as we know more.

View all J.K. Dobbins Shark Bites »

Ravens OC Greg Roman believes RB J.K. Dobbins can be a "viable weapon in the passing game ... That's something we're working on diligently every day -- a threat out of the backfield." We don't doubt that Dobbins can be an asset as a pass-catcher. He tallied 71 receptions over 3 seasons at Ohio State. The question is whether the Ravens will actually get him more action in that department. Dobbins saw just 24 targets last year -- and Ravens RBs combined for just 50. That number checked in at 51 back in 2019, QB Lamar Jackson's first full season as starter. For perspective, 17 RBs topped 51 targets by themselves last year. So file this under "believe it when we see it." If Dobbins truly did take on a significant passing-game role this season, though, he'd be a strong bet for a RB1 finish.

View all J.K. Dobbins Shark Bites »

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