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Justin Jefferson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJustin Jefferson's Basic Stats

Justin Jefferson
Bye: 7
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.8
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 202
40 Time: 4.43
Speed Score: 104.90
Burst Score (Rank): 126.80 (79%)

Justin Jefferson's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.8 95.5 0.6 13.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.2 96.4 0.7 13.8

Justin Jefferson's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#2 Wide Receiver

226.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 108.7 1596.5 10.8 4 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJustin Jefferson's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Jefferson built off his historic rookie season to post 108-1,616-10 in year 2. He ranked as the WR4 in PPR.
  • He saw an elite 28.8% target share. Only 3 WRs topped his 167 targets.
  • Jefferson appeared in all 17 games after playing all 16 as a rookie.
  • He hit 4+ catches in all but 2 games. He finished as a top-15 WR 9 times; the WR1 twice.
  • With Adam Thielen sidelined for 4 games, Jefferson posted 20.5, 14.7, 11.8 and 22.1 PPR points. The game with 11.8 (at Green Bay) was with Sean Mannion under center.
  • Compared to other top-tier talents, Jefferson fared well. Among 37 WRs with 100+ targets, he sat 3rd in PFF receiving grade, 5th in yards per route run and 7th in yards per catch.
  • Jefferson spoke up about the 2021 offense and the direction it's going under new HC Kevin O’Connell (formerly with the Rams): “We had an old-style offense last year,” Jefferson said. “It’s 2022. You get into a new age and move to a new generation. Adding new things to the offense allows us to be more comfortable with the offense and work in different areas of the fields.”
  • According to ESPN’s Courtney Cronin, the new-look offense will have “a heavy dose of pre-snap motion and movement, reliance on three-receiver sets, a zone run game and play-action concepts.” Basically — a lot of what the Rams do under Sean McVay.
  • Jefferson should step into a Cooper Kupp-like role, affording a similar ceiling.
  • Kirk Cousins returns for his 3rd season alongside Jefferson. That continuity is key — and it wasn’t always a given, as Cousins’ name routinely came up in offseason trade rumors.
  • Vikings WR Justin Jefferson said he's "so excited" about new HC Kevin O'Connell's offense. "Our offensive style, it's not a run-first offense anymore," Jefferson said.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Only 23, it’s wild to think that we might not have seen Jefferson’s best season just yet.

What we have seen is a nice jump in production from year 1 to year 2. He’s poised to dominate targets again with a QB he’s already established with. And now, he’ll play under what’s almost certainly an upgraded coaching staff.

The LSU product shouldn’t last beyond the middle of Round 1 in 12-team PPR setups.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Jefferson, WR MIN

8:24am EST 11/25/22

Jefferson delivers another big one

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson amassed 139 yards and a TD on 9 catches in Thursday night's win over the Patriots. WR Adam Thielen trailed him by just 1 target and matched Jefferson's 9 catches, tallying 61 yards and a TD. TE T.J. Hockenson snagged the other of Kirk Cousins' 3 scoring tosses, totaling a 5-43-1 receiving line among 6 targets. The Minnesota passing game gets a tougher draw against the Jets in Week 13.

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Vikings QB Kirk Cousins managed only 12-of-23 passing for 105 yards in Sunday's beatdown at the hands of the Cowboys. He took 7 sacks and lost a fumble in the 40-3 defeat, giving way to Nick Mullens for late mop-up duty. TE T.J. Hockenson led Minnesota pass-catchers with just 5 catches and 34 yards. WR Justin Jefferson checked in just behind with a 3-33 line on 5 targets. WRs Adam Thielen and K.J. Osborn were the only other Vikings to catch more than 1 pass. (They each caught 2.) Minnesota gets challenging matchups the next 2 weeks as well, against the Patriots and Jets. The 1st of those comes on Thanksgiving night.

View all Kirk Cousins Shark Bites »

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson is dealing with a "mild" case of turf toe, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. Jefferson was limited in practice this week and "will need to be managed going forward," per Pelissero. But the injury "isn't expected to impact the Vikings' superstar receiver much" in today's game vs. the Cowboys. Turf toe can be a debilitating injury, so this is certainly worth keeping a close eye on. But Jefferson should stay glued into Week 11 fantasy lineups.

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson (toe) is not listed on the final Week 11 injury report. He was limited in the first 2 practices of the week but was a full-go on Friday. Jefferson should be ready for his usual role vs. the Cowboys this weekend.

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Justin Jefferson, WR MIN
Dynasty MVP 224.0
Position Rank #2 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Former college teammate Ja'Marr Chase edged the near-record rookie production we saw from Jefferson the year before. But the Vikings' new lead wideout spent 2021 showing his debut was no fluke. Jefferson became the 1st player in NFL history to amass 3,000 receiving yards over his 1st 2 seasons. No one else has collected more than 2,755.

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