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Player Profile

Justin Jefferson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJustin Jefferson's Basic Stats

Justin Jefferson
MIN

WR MIN

#2 Wide Receiver

218.9 Projected Points

ADP: 1.2
Bye: 13
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 195
40 Time: 4.43
Speed Score: 104.90
Burst Score (Rank): 126.80 (79%)

Justin Jefferson's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7.4 105.6 0.7 14.9
Weekly Writeup
The league's worst defense so far, by DVOA, awaits this unstoppable force.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7.3 103.6 0.6 14.1

Justin Jefferson's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#2 Wide Receiver

212.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.2 116.1 1557.1 9.3 3.9 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJustin Jefferson's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

BREAKING NEWS – Jefferson is arguably the best wideout in the league, fresh off a dominant and historic 2022 season.

Let’s make this one easy for everyone; if you want to win your fantasy football league in 2023, you should try and roster Jefferson.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Jefferson is arguably the best WR in the NFL. He concluded 2022 as the WR1 overall.
  • He logged nine top-5 weekly finishes, with three other games inside the top 24. Jefferson added five games outside the top 40, probably just to prove he’s human.
  • Jefferson led the Vikings in target share (28.6%), air yards share (38.4%), and weighted opportunity rating (0.67).
  • All those numbers stayed nearly identical after TE T.J. Hockenson arrived via trade vs. before.
  • Among 30 WRs who saw 100+ targets last season, Jefferson ranked third in PFF receiving grade, second in yards per route run (2.62), and first in targets (176) and yards after catch (632).

What to Expect in 2023
  • Jefferson became the youngest player in NFL history to lead the league in catches (128) and receiving yards (1,809) in 2022.
  • Since entering the league in 2020, Jefferson ranks third in catches (324), first in receiving yards (4.825), ninth in receiving TDs (25), and second in total PPR points (973.3) among all WRs.
  • Even with the addition of 2023 first-round pick WR Jordan Addison, Jefferson figures to be among the league leaders in every relevant statistical category. The Vikings ranked fifth in pass rate last year and third in pass attempts. We see no reason to expect a 2023 shift in philosophy.
View WR Fantasy Rankings »

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Jefferson, WR MIN

23 hours ago

Just another big Justin Jefferson day

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson delivered 7 receptions for 149 yards and his first TD of the season in Sunday's loss to the Chargers. He entered the game with the league lead in receiving yards. Jefferson's receptions and yards against the Chargers actually marked season lows for him through three games. That's how good he is. K.J. Osborn ran the second-most routes among WRs but drew just 3 targets. His lone catch went for a 36-yard TD. Jordan Addison caught six of 8 targets for 52 yards. Minnesota gets non-scary matchups the next three weeks: Panthers, Chiefs, and Bears.

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Related Players K.J. Osborn, Jordan Addison

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson suffered an apparent right knee injury late in Sunday's game vs. the Chargers. Jefferson was able to walk off the field under his own power. We'll update his status as soon as we know more.

Update: Jefferson was reportedly cramping and has already returned to the game. Exhale!

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Vikings WR Jordan Addison scored his first career TD in Week 1. Kirk Cousins found the rookie deep for a 39-yard score on 3rd and 11. Addison’s 6 targets matched K.J. Osborn’s total and was predictably behind Justin Jefferson’s tally (12). Still, you have to view Addison’s debut as a success. The 21-year-old should prove useful as a matchup-based WR3 going forward. We expect the Vikings to remain a pass heavy squad in 2023.

View all Jordan Addison Shark Bites »

Related Players Justin Jefferson

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson reported for this week's mandatory minicamp, according to ESPN's Kevin Seifert. Jefferson skipped voluntary workouts earlier this offseason, presumably because he's looking for a new contract. We'll see if he and the Vikings can come to an agreement before the start of the season.

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Justin Jefferson, WR MIN
Dynasty MVP 193.3
Position Rank #1 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
605
989
1,803
Dynasty Write-up
Jefferson kicked off his career with three straight seasons of 1,400+ yards. The only question here is his long-term QB.

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