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Kenneth Walker III - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKenneth Walker III's Basic Stats

Kenneth Walker III
ADP: N/A
Bye: 5
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.1
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 211
40 Time: 4.38
Burst Score (Rank): 118.80 (50%)

Kenneth Walker III's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
50.6 0.3 1.5 11.7 0.1 8.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
56.6 0.5 1.3 11.3 0.1 9.9

Kenneth Walker III's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#15 Running Back

158.8 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 232.5 906 8 2 1.9 20.6 180.2 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKenneth Walker III's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Walker’s rookie season matched his college profile: Excellent rushing, underwhelming receiving.

He scored as a top-18 RB in points per game across fantasy formats – and ranked top 8 in 11 healthy games without Rashaad Penny.

But Walker faces new competition from RB Zach Charbonnet. The second-round rookie looks like the early favorite to handle the majority of passing-down work. We’ll see how many carries he siphons.

Walker seemingly has a wide range of outcomes in 2023. He’s worth considering at RB2-level prices. But any more expensive than that and he becomes a risky pick.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Walker posted a 228-1,050-9 rushing line and 27-165-0 receiving line in 15 games as a rookie.
  • He finished 18th among RBs in PPR points per game and 14th in non-PPR.
  • Walker needed hernia surgery in mid-August and missed Week 1. He spent the next four games in a timeshare with Rashaad Penny, totaling 23 carries and 7 targets.
  • Penny went down with a season-ending injury in Week 5, paving the way for Walker to take over.
  • In 11 healthy games the rest of the way – omitting Week 13 when he left early and including the Wild Card loss – Walker averaged:
    • 19.7 carries
    • 84.6 rushing yards
    • 0.82 rushing TDs
    • 2.5 targets
    • 2.0 catches
    • 14.0 receiving yards
    • 0 receiving TDs
  • His scoring average in those 11 games would have ranked seventh among RBs in PPR points per game and sixth in non-PPR points per game.
  • Among 48 RBs with 90+ carries last year, Walker ranked:
    • 11th in Pro Football Focus rushing grades
    • 13th in elusive rating
    • 16th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ rush yards over expected
  • But Walker ranked second-worst in Football Outsiders’ Success Rate, which measures run-to-run consistency. That means Walker had a boom-or-bust rushing profile last year, breaking off plenty of big runs but also having a lot of runs go nowhere.
  • Walker drew 7.5% of Seahawks targets in his 11 healthy games as lead back.
  • Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets last year, Walker ranked:
    • 35th in yards per target
    • 42nd in yards per route run
    • 33rd in PFF receiving grade

What to Expect in 2023
  • The Seahawks let RB Rashaad Penny walk in free agency.
  • But Walker faces new competition in rookie RB Zach Charbonnet.
    • Seattle grabbed Charbonnet with the 52nd overall pick of this spring’s draft. That’s 11 picks later than Walker was selected last year.
    • Charbonnet spent his first two college seasons at Michigan before transferring to UCLA and operating as the Bruins’ lead back the last two years.
    • Across those two seasons, he totaled 2,496 yards and 27 TDs on 6.3 yards per carry.
    • Charbonnet also racked up 61 receptions for 518 yards.
    • Here’s how Charbonnet and Walker stacked up in their final college seasons in key rushing and receiving metrics:


  • Shortly after the draft, HC Pete Carroll called Charbonnet a “complement” to Walker and highlighted the rookie’s ability in the passing game. Charbonnet looks like the early favorite for passing-down snaps this season.
  • Walker returns to the same offense this year piloted by OC Shane Waldron and QB Geno Smith.
  • Last year’s Seahawks offensive line ranked:
    • 18th in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades
    • 30th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards
    • 24th in ESPN’s Run Block Win Rate
  • Seattle didn’t make any significant additions to the O-line this offseason. But OTs Charles Cross and Abraham Lucas both turned in solid rookie seasons last year and are candidates to take steps forward in 2023.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Kenneth Walker III, RB SEA

6 hours ago

Ken Walker & Zach Charbonnet active

Seahawks RBs Ken Walker (oblique) and Zach Charbonnet (knee) are active for today’s game vs. the 49ers. Both put in full practices on Friday, so we’re expecting them to be somewhat close to 100%. Walker figures to resume his role as lead back, but his projection takes a hit with QB Drew lock under center.

View all Kenneth Walker III Shark Bites »

Seahawks RBs Ken Walker (oblique) and Zach Charbonnet (knee) are both expected to play vs. the 49ers this afternoon, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. That's been our expectation after both guys were full participants in Friday's practice. Walker figures to return as Seattle's lead back, but he sits lower than usual in the Week 14 RB rankings in a tough matchup and with QB Drew Lock likely at the controls.

View all Kenneth Walker III Shark Bites »

Seahawks RBs Ken Walker (oblique) and Zach Charbonnet (knee) are listed as questionable for this weekend's game vs. the 49ers. They both put in full practices on Friday. "Both of those guys looked pretty good," HC Pete Carroll said afterward. "They looked pretty good. We've got to see what happens tomorrow, see how they feel and all that, but both guys worked today." We're tentatively expecting both Walker and Charbonnet to play on Sunday. In that case, Walker would likely return to his role as primary early-down back, with Charbonnet replacing him for the majority of passing downs.

View all Kenneth Walker III Shark Bites »

Seahawks RBs Ken Walker (oblique) and Zach Charbonnet (knee) were both limited in Thursday's practice. That gives both guys a shot to play vs. the 49ers this weekend. We'll see what they do on Friday and how they're listed on the final injury report.

View all Kenneth Walker III Shark Bites »

Seahawks RBs Ken Walker (oblique) and Zach Charbonnet (knee) were sidelined for Wednesday's practice. Walker has missed the last two games with this oblique injury. Charbonnet suffered what HC Pete Carroll called a bruised knee late in last Thursday night's loss to the Cowboys. Both guys are seemingly in danger of missing Sunday's game vs. the 49ers. Their absences would leave Seattle with RBs DeeJay Dallas and Kenny McIntosh.

View all Kenneth Walker III Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Kenneth Walker III, RB SEA
Dynasty MVP 130.5
Position Rank #11 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
430
680
1,123
Dynasty Write-up
Walker saw boosted touches as a rookie, partly due to Rashaad Penny’s season-ending injury. Regardless, the MSU product showed he belongs as Seattle's lead back. Well -- at least until April's draft. The Seahawks selected UCLA RB Zach Charbonnet in Round 2, signaling a future timeshare.
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