Preseason Player Analysis
What You Need to Know:
- Shenault was the 42nd overall pick of last year’s draft after compiling 1,775 receiving yards and 276 rushing yards over his final 2 seasons at Colorado.
- He goes 6’1, 227 pounds and led his WR class with 44 missed tackles forced across 2018 and 2019.
- Shenault posted a 58-600-5 receiving line in 14 games as a rookie. He added 91 yards on 18 carries to finish 49th among WRs in PPR points per game and 54th in non-PPR.
- Shenault topped 3 catches in just 3 of his first 10 games. But he caught 5 or 6 balls in each of the final 4 games. Shenault was WR18 in PPR points over that span.
- Shenault led Jacksonville’s top 4 WRs (beating D.J. Chark, Keelan Cole and Chris Conley) with 1.55 yards per route run. That mark ranked 54th among 84 WRs with 50+ targets and 7th among 12 rookie WRs with 50+ targets.
- Shenault ranked 48th among those 84 WRs and 6th among the 12 rookies in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
- Durability is a concern for Shenault. He missed 2 games last season with a hamstring injury and 4 games over his final 2 seasons at Colorado. Shenault had foot, shoulder and core-muscle surgeries during his college career.
- The Jaguars spent the #1 overall pick of this year’s draft on QB Trevor Lawrence. He should be a big upgrade over the 2020 triumvirate of Gardner Minshew, Mike Glennon and Jake Luton that landed Jacksonville 21st in passing yards, 19th in TDs, 28th in completion rate and 28th in yards per attempt.
- Shenault will face tougher target competition this year with D.J. Chark back, Marvin Jones signed in free agency and Travis Etienne added in the draft. Etienne, who figures to be a big part of the short-range passing game, might be the biggest threat to Shenault’s volume.
- Shenault will be working under a remade coaching staff, featuring HC Urban Meyer and OC Darrell Bevell.
- This will be Meyer’s 1st NFL stint after over 30 years in the college ranks. He most recently served as Ohio State's HC from 2012-2018, leading the Buckeyes to an 83-9 record and 1 national championship. He also won 2 titles among 6 seasons as Florida's HC and spent 2 years before that as HC at Utah.
- Meyer is an offensive-minded coach. He deployed a spread offense for much of his time in college and prioritizes speed.
- Bevell has 14 seasons of experience as an NFL OC. He spent the past 2 years in Detroit, where the Lions ranked near the middle of the pack in total yards and points. Bevell's units were better during his Seattle tenure from 2011 to 2017, with 5 of those 7 squads finishing top 11 in points. His offenses have generally leaned toward the run, with 10 of the 14 ranking among the top half of the league in rush attempts. Only 4 of them have finished top-16 in pass attempts.
- Meyer said at his introductory press conference that Bevell will call plays but “adapt” to Meyer’s vision.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Shenault turned in a promising rookie season, posting good-not-great efficiency marks and finishing strong. A 2nd-year leap with a QB upgrade in Trevor Lawrence is a distinct possibility.
The concerns are his injury history and role in new HC Urban Meyer’s offense. We’ll monitor Shenault closely this summer, but he looks like a WR3 target with upside.