Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Michael Thomas - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Michael Thomas
NO

WR NO

#55 Wide Receiver

85 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 212
40 Time: 4.52

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.3 55 0.4 7.9

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • After finishing as the clear WR1 in 2019, 2020 was a forgettable year for Thomas. He tallied 55-40-438-0 in only 7 appearances.
  • He wasn’t healthy at all during the season. It started with a Week 1 high ankle sprain. He missed the next 4 games before sitting out Week 5 for disciplinary reasons. (Thomas fought with a teammate at practice.)
  • Then came a hamstring tweak at practice. He sat out the next 2 games.
  • Thomas, 27, stayed on the field until Week 14, when another ankle injury shut him down for the regular season. He returned to record 5-73-1 in 2 postseason games (all in the Wild Card Round vs. Chicago).
  • Thomas underwent early offseason ankle surgery. HC Sean Payton said the team is still monitoring the ankle, while Thomas (as of June) is still getting treatment.
  • Taysom Hill started 4 games in place of an injured Drew Brees. In those, Thomas saw a 32.4% target share. His per game averages: 9.25 targets, 7.5 catches, 85.7 yards, 0 TD.
  • From catch rate to yards after catch to yards per route run, Thomas’ numbers slumped across the small sample. Clearly, injuries played a huge role.
  • The Saints will hold a QB competition between Jameis Winston and Hill in training camp. While Hill started each game in place of Drew Brees last year, our money is on Winston as the Week 1 starter. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport has called Winston the favorite.
  • Thomas, who’s dominated on slant routes with Brees, will almost certainly see an accuracy downgrade. Per Larry Holder of The Athletic: Winston’s catchable ball percentage on slants dropped from 80% in ’18 to 61.1% in ’19.
  • Winston, who underwent lasik eye surgery last offseason, at least has a full year in HC Sean Payton’s system.
  • No matter who’s under center, Thomas projects for high volume. Our numbers have him at 159 targets — 5th-most league-wide.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Only 27, Thomas is coming off a tough-luck 2020. A declining Drew Brees, a slew of injuries and a suspension ruined any hope of repeating a sterling 2019.

2021 brings some questions under center. But there’s no doubt Thomas will be fed in year 6 with Sean Payton. If Thomas’ Round 3 ADP holds, he’ll be a strong target thorough the summer.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Saints WR Michael Thomas (ankle) is expected to be placed on the reserve PUP list, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. That'd keep Thomas out for at least the first 6 weeks of the season. New Orleans does have a Week 6 bye, so it's possible that Thomas only misses 5 games. None of this comes as a surprise after NFL Network's Ian Rapoport pinpointed Week 7 as Thomas' earliest potential return back in July.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears that Saints WR Michael Thomas (ankle) will debut in Week 7 this season "if everything goes perfect." Thomas elected not to undergo surgery on that ankle immediately after the season, evidently hoping it'd heal with rest and rehab. But he ended up having "major surgery" in early June, per Rapoport, and will need at least 4 months to recover. Thomas is expected to open the season on the PUP list, with the hope that he'll be ready to go following the Saints' Week 6 bye. And that sounds like the best-case scenario. He'll also miss a ton of valuable practice reps with QBs Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill. Thomas has gone from a value pick in Round 3 of fantasy drafts to a guy that you're probably better off just passing on unless you can land him super late.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

Saints WR Michael Thomas is expected to miss the beginning of the regular season after June ankle surgery, according to NFL Network's ian Rapoport. Thomas reportedly needed ligaments repaired in the ankle, stemming from last September's injury. "It simply never recovered," Rapoport reports. Doctors reportedly recommend a 4-month recovery. From a June surgery date, that would stretch into October -- potentially costing Thomas half the season. We'll keep an eye out for more details. For now, at least, the Saints' top wideout becomes no more than a late-round fantasy pick. Tre'Quan Smith, Marquez Callaway and other Saints pass-catchers obviously stand to see their opportunities increase. We'll also see whether New Orleans dips into the trade market for WR help. NFL Network's Mike Garafolo reports that the team has been "nosing around" available free agents at the position.

Update: The Athletic reports that Thomas "may miss up to five games."

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

Saints HC Sean Payton admitted that the team is still monitoring the ankle injury that cost WR Michael Thomas 9 games last year. “We still monitor it, pay attention to it, scan it, and all those things," Payton said. "He’s getting treatment and doing the things necessary. So, so far, so good.” It's slightly concerning that the issue isn't completely behind Thomas. But he's participating in minicamp, so the Saints obviously aren't too worried. Thomas remains a nice value pick in the 3rd round of fantasy drafts.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

Saints WR Michael Thomas will "likely" have surgery this offseason to repair a torn deltoid and other injured ligaments in his ankle, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Thomas hurt that ankle in Week 1, didn't return until Week 9 and played the rest of the way with pain medication, per Schefter. It's safe to say that Thomas was never at full strength after the opener. Assuming better health, he'll be a prime 2021 bounce-back candidate.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play