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Michael Thomas - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Michael Thomas
NO

WR NO

#55 Wide Receiver

85 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 212
40 Time: 4.52

Weekly Outlook

Week 20 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • After finishing as the clear WR1 in 2019, 2020 was a forgettable year for Thomas. He tallied 55-40-438-0 in only 7 appearances.
  • He wasn’t healthy at all during the season. It started with a Week 1 high ankle sprain. He missed the next 4 games before sitting out Week 5 for disciplinary reasons. (Thomas fought with a teammate at practice.)
  • Then came a hamstring tweak at practice. He sat out the next 2 games.
  • Thomas, 27, stayed on the field until Week 14, when another ankle injury shut him down for the regular season. He returned to record 5-73-1 in 2 postseason games (all in the Wild Card Round vs. Chicago).
  • Thomas underwent early offseason ankle surgery. HC Sean Payton said the team is still monitoring the ankle, while Thomas (as of June) is still getting treatment.
  • Taysom Hill started 4 games in place of an injured Drew Brees. In those, Thomas saw a 32.4% target share. His per game averages: 9.25 targets, 7.5 catches, 85.7 yards, 0 TD.
  • From catch rate to yards after catch to yards per route run, Thomas’ numbers slumped across the small sample. Clearly, injuries played a huge role.
  • The Saints will hold a QB competition between Jameis Winston and Hill in training camp. While Hill started each game in place of Drew Brees last year, our money is on Winston as the Week 1 starter. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport has called Winston the favorite.
  • Thomas, who’s dominated on slant routes with Brees, will almost certainly see an accuracy downgrade. Per Larry Holder of The Athletic: Winston’s catchable ball percentage on slants dropped from 80% in ’18 to 61.1% in ’19.
  • Winston, who underwent lasik eye surgery last offseason, at least has a full year in HC Sean Payton’s system.
  • No matter who’s under center, Thomas projects for high volume. Our numbers have him at 159 targets — 5th-most league-wide.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Only 27, Thomas is coming off a tough-luck 2020. A declining Drew Brees, a slew of injuries and a suspension ruined any hope of repeating a sterling 2019.

2021 brings some questions under center. But there’s no doubt Thomas will be fed in year 6 with Sean Payton. If Thomas’ Round 3 ADP holds, he’ll be a strong target thorough the summer.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that the new ankle injury for Saints WR Michael Thomas will keep him out for the rest of the season. New Orleans reportedly tried to trade for receiving help before Tuesday's deadline but couldn't get anything done. That leaves Marquez Callaway, Tre'Quan Smith and Deonte Harris as the top WRs for QB Taysom Hill going forward. Expect New Orleans to also lean heavily on Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram -- both in the run game and as pass-catchers (well, Kamara, at least, on that front).

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

Saints WR Michael Thomas is dealing with a "new and separate ankle injury," according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Thomas, of course, has yet to play this season after undergoing ankle surgery this spring. Thomas recently visited a specialist and his timeline for return is "unpredictable," Rapoport adds. We'll continue to monitor the situation, but Thomas is not a must-hold on fantasy rosters.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

Saints WR Michael Thomas (ankle) is still "a few weeks away," according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Thomas is eligible to come off the PUP list this week, but it sounds like we shouldn't expect him to play vs. the Seahawks on Sunday. If you've stashed Thomas up until now, though, keep stashing.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

Saints WR Michael Thomas (ankle) is expected to be placed on the reserve PUP list, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. That'd keep Thomas out for at least the first 6 weeks of the season. New Orleans does have a Week 6 bye, so it's possible that Thomas only misses 5 games. None of this comes as a surprise after NFL Network's Ian Rapoport pinpointed Week 7 as Thomas' earliest potential return back in July.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears that Saints WR Michael Thomas (ankle) will debut in Week 7 this season "if everything goes perfect." Thomas elected not to undergo surgery on that ankle immediately after the season, evidently hoping it'd heal with rest and rehab. But he ended up having "major surgery" in early June, per Rapoport, and will need at least 4 months to recover. Thomas is expected to open the season on the PUP list, with the hope that he'll be ready to go following the Saints' Week 6 bye. And that sounds like the best-case scenario. He'll also miss a ton of valuable practice reps with QBs Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill. Thomas has gone from a value pick in Round 3 of fantasy drafts to a guy that you're probably better off just passing on unless you can land him super late.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

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