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Nelson Agholor - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
NE

WR NE

#67 Wide Receiver

101 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 14
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 198
40 Time: 4.37

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

High Floor

4.4

DS Projection

5.8

Consensus

38 other sites
6

High Ceiling

9.6

Rest of
Season

6.5

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.1 40.3 0.3 5.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.6 46 0.3 6.5
Week 3
Agholor is the Patriots’ deep threat, as 4 of his 7 targets were 20 or more yards downfield. This usage will lead to a lot of inconsistent fantasy weeks. Case in point in Week 3: Agholor didn’t catch any of his 4 deep targets, leading to a tough 2-17 receiving line. Through 3 weeks Agholor is still second on the team in most receiving categories, but his usage will make it nearly impossible to trust him week in and week out.
Heading into Week 4 if you were to pull the trigger on Agholor it would be vs. the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has allowed the most 20+ pass plays in the NFL with 16 through Week 3. This could lead to Agholor shaking loose for a long TD, making him an intriguing DFS tournament play for Week 4.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Agholor quietly enjoyed a bounce-back year with the Raiders in 2021 (48-896-8 in 16 games). The yardage set a career high; the TDs tied a career high.
  • With an average depth of target near the top of the league (15.74), he filled a downfield role for Derek Carr.
  • A primary slot target with the Eagles, Agholor did most of his damage out wide (66.3% snap share) with Vegas.
  • In New England, he joins a revamped pass catching corps that includes Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, Jakobi Meyers and Kendrick Bourne. Julian Edelman announced his retirement over the spring.
  • Counting WRs only, the Pats lost 118 targets to retirement/free agency this offseason.
  • We expect Agholor to lead this WR unit in targets (88) and snaps. But this low-volume pass game will likely flow heavily through the TEs, limiting the upside.
  • Plus, the Pats passed on only 46.7% of their plays last season.
  • Cam Newton will battle rookie Mac Jones for the starting job, and we expect Newton to win out in the short term. An eventual move to Jones only further complicates Agholor’s fantasy value.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Last year, Agholor ranked as the WR33 in PPR leagues. He sat WR45 in PPG.

Not bad considering his prior career arc. Normally we’d be out on a paying for a career year — especially for an inconsistent player like Agholor. But he’s going at the very end of most drafts; undrafted in some. He’s in play as a best ball option.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Patriots WR Nelson Agholor (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Dolphins. He only got in 2 limited practices this week, so he figures to be operating at less than 100%. Agholor isn’t a recommended Week 1 fantasy starter.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

Patriots WR Nelson Agholor (ankle) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s opener vs. the Dolphins. He was limited on Wednesday, sidelined on Thursday and limited again on Friday. If Agholor plays, he’ll be doing so at less than 100%. Avoid him in Week 1 fantasy lineups.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

Patriots WR Nelson Agholor (ankle) did not practice on Thursday. That comes after a limited workout on Wednesday. So he appears to be in real danger of missing this weekend's opener against the Dolphins. Agholor's absence would vault Kendrick Bourne into the #2 WR role behind #1 Jakobi Meyers.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

The Patriots signed WR Nelson Agholor to a 2-year, $26 million deal, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Agholor is coming off a solid 2020 in Vegas, posting a 48-896-8 line on 82 targets. He ranked 21st in yards per route run among 84 WRs with 50+ targets. That, of course, followed 5 mostly disappointing seasons in Philadelphia. It makes this a risky signing for New England -- but Agholor has a real chance to lead the team in targets in 2021.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Nelson Agholor (ankle) isn't listed on the final Week 13 injury report. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, so it's safe to say he won't be at 100% on Sunday. But the plus matchup vs. the Jets keeps him in play as a WR3 or flex.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

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