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Nelson Agholor - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
NE

WR NE

#67 Wide Receiver

101 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 14
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 198
40 Time: 4.37

Weekly Outlook

Week 20 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 7
In a game the Patriots threw the ball 36 times, Agholor saw a respectable 5 targets. However, the play that made his fantasy day came on a trick play when Kendrick Bourne rolled out and fired a 25-yard TD strike to a wide-open Agholor. Otherwise, Agholor and Jones only connected once on 4 passes, though one was a 26-yard catch helping him to a decent fantasy day. With the Patriots winning in blowout fashion, they mostly stopped being aggressive in the passing game in the 4th quarter.

Aside from the trick play that got him into the end zone, this was the only time he’s scored since Week 1, and it’s unlikely that with Mac Jones at QB that the coaching staff is about to have the young QB firing deep shots to Agholor on a regular basis. He’s yet to post more than 72 yards in a game, and he hasn’t exceeded 55 yards since Week 1, with 4 games of less than 35 yards. He’s little more than a flex option in leagues that start 3 WRs based on his current production.
Week 3
Agholor is the Patriots’ deep threat, as 4 of his 7 targets were 20 or more yards downfield. This usage will lead to a lot of inconsistent fantasy weeks. Case in point in Week 3: Agholor didn’t catch any of his 4 deep targets, leading to a tough 2-17 receiving line. Through 3 weeks Agholor is still second on the team in most receiving categories, but his usage will make it nearly impossible to trust him week in and week out.
Heading into Week 4 if you were to pull the trigger on Agholor it would be vs. the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has allowed the most 20+ pass plays in the NFL with 16 through Week 3. This could lead to Agholor shaking loose for a long TD, making him an intriguing DFS tournament play for Week 4.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Agholor quietly enjoyed a bounce-back year with the Raiders in 2021 (48-896-8 in 16 games). The yardage set a career high; the TDs tied a career high.
  • With an average depth of target near the top of the league (15.74), he filled a downfield role for Derek Carr.
  • A primary slot target with the Eagles, Agholor did most of his damage out wide (66.3% snap share) with Vegas.
  • In New England, he joins a revamped pass catching corps that includes Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, Jakobi Meyers and Kendrick Bourne. Julian Edelman announced his retirement over the spring.
  • Counting WRs only, the Pats lost 118 targets to retirement/free agency this offseason.
  • We expect Agholor to lead this WR unit in targets (88) and snaps. But this low-volume pass game will likely flow heavily through the TEs, limiting the upside.
  • Plus, the Pats passed on only 46.7% of their plays last season.
  • Cam Newton will battle rookie Mac Jones for the starting job, and we expect Newton to win out in the short term. An eventual move to Jones only further complicates Agholor’s fantasy value.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Last year, Agholor ranked as the WR33 in PPR leagues. He sat WR45 in PPG.

Not bad considering his prior career arc. Normally we’d be out on a paying for a career year — especially for an inconsistent player like Agholor. But he’s going at the very end of most drafts; undrafted in some. He’s in play as a best ball option.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Patriots WR Nelson Agholor (concussion) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Jaguars. Jakobi Meyers, Kendrick Bourne and N’Keal Harry will again operate as New England’s top 3 WRs.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

Patriots WR Nelson Agholor (concussion) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Bills. WR Kendrick Bourne remains on the COVID list and is unlikely to play this weekend. WR N'Keal Harry (hip) is listed as questionable after a limited week of practice. He figures to start if he's able to play on Sunday. But WR Jakobi Meyers and TE Hunter Henry will likely be the focal points of New England's passing game.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

Patriots WR Nelson Agholor (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Dolphins. He only got in 2 limited practices this week, so he figures to be operating at less than 100%. Agholor isn’t a recommended Week 1 fantasy starter.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

Patriots WR Nelson Agholor (ankle) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s opener vs. the Dolphins. He was limited on Wednesday, sidelined on Thursday and limited again on Friday. If Agholor plays, he’ll be doing so at less than 100%. Avoid him in Week 1 fantasy lineups.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

Patriots WR Nelson Agholor (ankle) did not practice on Thursday. That comes after a limited workout on Wednesday. So he appears to be in real danger of missing this weekend's opener against the Dolphins. Agholor's absence would vault Kendrick Bourne into the #2 WR role behind #1 Jakobi Meyers.

View all Nelson Agholor Shark Bites »

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