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Raheem Mostert - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Raheem Mostert
SF

RB SF

#32 Running Back

123 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 29
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 195
40 Time: 4.38

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Mostert’s 5.4 yards per carry over the past 2 seasons ranks 2nd among 76 RBs with 100+ attempts during that stretch.
  • HC Kyle Shanahan’s scheme deserves a lot of credit for Mostert’s success. He’s led all RBs in yards before contact per attempt in both of the last 2 years.
  • Mostert ranked 7th in Elusive Rating among 45 qualifiers in 2019 but sunk all the way to 45th among 47 qualifiers last season. He finished 10th and then 22nd in Pro Football Focus’ rushing grades.
  • Mostert has had trouble staying healthy. He missed 8 games last year with a knee injury and 2 ankle injuries. His 2018 season ended in Week 9 with a broken arm.
  • This offseason, the 49ers brought back restricted free-agent RB Jeff Wilson, signed free-agent RB Wayne Gallman and drafted rookie RBs Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell.
  • Wilson will open the season on the PUP list after May surgery to repair a torn meniscus, but Mostert will need to fend off the other guys for work.
  • Sermon looks like the biggest threat. He’s a good-looking prospect, and the 49ers traded up to select him with the 88th overall pick of this spring’s draft. The scheme Sermon ran in at Ohio State last year is similar to the scheme HC Kyle Shanahan runs in San Francisco.
  • Shanahan has deployed backfield committees over the past 3 years, with no 49er RB topping 153 carries in a single season.
  • But he hasn’t been opposed to riding a true lead back in the past. RB Carlos Hyde carried 240 times and finished RB9 in half-PPR points in Shanahan’s 1st season in San Francisco. Shanahan produced 4 other top-9 half-PPR RBs over his first 9 seasons as OC/HC in Houston, Washington, Cleveland and Atlanta.
  • The 49ers’ running game has been solid under Shanahan, finishing top 16 in yards and yards per attempt each of the past 3 years. They’ve also ranked top 10 in rushing TDs in 3 of Shanahan’s 4 seasons.
  • The running game could be even more efficient this year if and when rookie QB Trey Lance takes over. Lance will be a big-time threat on the ground -- and we know rushing QBs tend to make their RBs more efficient.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Mostert has been excellent in HC Kyle Shanahan’s scheme, averaging 5.4 yards per carry over the past 2 seasons. But he struggled staying healthy last year and faces much more competition in 2021 after the ‘Niners added RBs Trey Sermon, Wayne Gallman and Elijah Mitchell this offseason.

We’ll see if he can hold off the group for the lead RB job. If he does, he’ll carry lower-end fantasy starter value.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

49ers RB Raheem Mostert announced on social media that he'll undergo season-ending knee surgery after consulting with multiple doctors. So, if you weren't already planning to, you can safely drop Mostert from all redraft rosters. San Francisco is left with Elijah Mitchell, JaMycal Hasty and Trey Sermon at RB. All 3 figure to be active for Week 2. It's also worth noting that RB Jeff Wilson (knee) is eligible to come off the PUP list in Week 7. You can see where all of those guys sit in our updated Rest-of-Season Rankings.

View all Raheem Mostert Shark Bites »

Niners RB Raheem Mostert has chipped cartilage in the knee he injured Sunday. ESPN’s Nick Wagoner reports that he’ll land on IR and is expected to miss 8 weeks. Elijah Mitchell took control of the backfield after Mostert left in Detroit, with JaMycal Hasty involved as well. We’d bet on Trey Sermon being active at Philly in Week 2. We’ll see about the workload split. Obviously, we have to assume that Mitchell will lead the way again — barring reports to the contrary.

View all Raheem Mostert Shark Bites »

49ers HC Kyle Shanahan said after today's win over the Lions that RB Raheem Mostert is not dealing with an ACL injury. Shanahan didn’t have any other information. We should learn more tomorrow.

View all Raheem Mostert Shark Bites »

49ers RB Raheem Mostert is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Lions with a knee injury. We'll pass along an update when we get one.

View all Raheem Mostert Shark Bites »

49ers RB Raheem Mostert got the start in Sunday's preseason finale and played all 10 snaps on the 1st possession. RB Trey Sermon then played all 14 snaps on the 2nd possession. Those 2 will open the season sharing backfield work. The exact split between them remains uncertain.

View all Raheem Mostert Shark Bites »

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