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Raheem Mostert - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRaheem Mostert's Basic Stats

Raheem Mostert
ADP: 7.4
Bye: 6
Experience: 8
Age: 32.3
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 205
40 Time: 4.43

SPARQx (Rank): 123.30 (85%)
Burst Score (Rank): 134.00 (97%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.20 (76%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.90

Raheem Mostert's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
51.7 0.59 1.4 9.9 0.1 10.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
49.7 0.3 1.6 12.9 0.1 8.3

Raheem Mostert's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#21 Running Back

175.1 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
7.4 165.7 778.1 8.89 0.9 1.6 22 156.6 1.58

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRaheem Mostert's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Credit Mostert for a massive 2023. Alongside Puka Nacua, the Dolphin performed as a true fantasy MVP.

Here’s the reality check: Mostert’s TDs are set to come way down. And his overall workload is threatened by second-year RB De’Von Achane, who appeared in less than 11 full games as a rookie.

Treat the veteran as a low-end RB2/FLEX.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Mostert’s TD prowess was among the surprise headlines of 2023.
    • Across 15 games, the former 49er scored a league-high 18 rushing TDs.
    • His previous career-high was 8 in 2019.
    • Mostert ranked third in rushes inside the ten yard-line (33). He tied for first in rushes inside the five (19).
  • Among 36 RBs with 150+ carries, Mostert ranked second in EPA per rush, fifth in YPC, third in YAC per attempt, and third in explosive run rate.
    • A well-designed scheme from HC Mike McDaniel helped Mostert see an average of 6.46 defenders in the box -- near the bottom of the 36-RB sample.
  • Mostert averaged 16.3 touches per game alongside breakout rookie De’Von Achane.
    • Achane topped Mostert in targets (37 to 32), despite playing in four fewer games.
  • Mostert played last year at age 31, but he showed no sign of declined speed.
    • He reached 21.62 MPH on a 43-yard TD run, per Next Gen Stats. That was the tenth-fastest time among RBs/WRs.
    • He missed only two games with a knee/ankle injury. He sat out only one game in 2022 (knee).

What to Expect in 2024

  • Mostert will play this season at age 32.
    • It might be a scary age on the surface, but it’s certainly not a deathknell.
    • Since 2000, 12 RBs age 32 or older have posted 12+ PPR points per game -- low-end RB2 numbers and up. Only two RBs topped 15 PPG.
    • Mostert isn’t your average age-32 RB, as he’s spread 674 career carries across 80 games.
  • De’Vone Achane returns for year two.
    • He’s added weight this offseason, with the goal of seeing a boosted workload.
    • Miami added another RB in Round 4 speed back Jaylen Wright. He projects for a minor role as the RB3.
  • The Fins’ O-line will be one to watch.
    • G Robert Hunt signed with Carolina in free agency.
    • As of this writing, C Connor Williams remains a free agent.

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Jaylen Wright, RB MIA

1:13pm EDT 4/27/24

Jaylen Wright brings more speed to Miami

The Dolphins added Tennessee RB Jaylen Wright in Round 4. Wright is one of the most explosive RBs in this year’s class. He averaged 6.2 yards per carry over his three college seasons, including a huge 7.4 yards per carry in 2023. 14.0% of Wright’s runs last year went for 15+ yards – the second-highest rate among this year’s top-25 RB prospects. So it wasn’t a big surprise when he blazed a 4.38-second 40 time at 5’11 and 210 pounds. Wright isn’t just a pure speed back, though. He runs with plenty of power, averaging 4.35 yards after contact per attempt last year – fifth among 157 qualifying RBs. Wright played in a spread offense at Tennessee that afforded him some huge running lanes. He’ll have a transition to make to his NFL scheme. But his combination of size, explosiveness, and long speed can’t be taught. Wright also proved capable in the passing game this past year, catching 22 balls for 141 yards. We see a lot of Lamar Miller in his game. Wright adds more speed to an explosive Dolphins offense, although he’ll be challenged to find playing time behind De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert. Mostert recently inked an extension that keeps him in Miami through the 2025 season.

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The Dolphins and RB Raheem Mostert agreed to a one-year extension. He's now signed through the 2025 season on a deal that could be worth up to $9 million. It's a well-deserved raise for Mostert after an impressive 2023 campaign that saw him finish third among RBs in PPR points per game. That was fueled largely by his 21 total TDs -- but Mostert also ranked top eight in Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt, Elusive Rating, and Pro Football Focus rushing grade. He's a long shot to score as many TDs this season, and RB De'Von Achane could take more work. But this contract extension confirms that Mostert will remain a big part of Miami's offense. He's a solid value at his RB28 ADP.

View all Raheem Mostert Shark Bites »

Dolphins RB Raheem Mostert (knee, ankle) is active for tonight's Wild Card game vs. the Chiefs. He got in three limited practices this week, so we're expecting him to be ready for something close to his usual role.

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Dolphins RB Raheem Mostert (knee, ankle) is listed as questionable for Saturday night's Wild Card game vs. the Chiefs. He got in three limited practices this week. HC Mike McDaniel said Thursday that he's "optimistic" Mostert will be able to play in Kansas City. We'll look for further updates on his status and get Miami's inactives around 7 pm ET on Saturday.

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Dolphins RB Raheem Mostert (knee, ankle) said Wednesday that he's feeling good but isn't guaranteed to play vs. the Chiefs on Saturday night. "Still a decision that needs to be made," Mostert said. “It is a one-game season. We’ll see how it shakes out. It’s been very difficult. The mental restraints. It’s a struggle. You live to fight another day. I feel like I thrive in the playoffs." Mostert got in a limited practice on Tuesday. We'll see how he progresses over the next few days, but it at least sounds like Mostert will be at less than 100% if he plays on Saturday.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Raheem Mostert, RB MIA
Dynasty MVP 33.1
Position Rank #135 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
122
161
262
Dynasty Write-up
Despite a crowded backfield, Mostert emerged as Miami's leader in 2023 (209-1,012-18). The downside here is age, as he's now 32. Miami also used a Round 4 pick on speed back Jaylen Wright.
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