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Roman Wilson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRoman Wilson's Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
ADP: 16.9
Bye: 9
Experience: 0
Age: 23.0
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 185
40 Time: 4.39

Roman Wilson's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.5 33.1 0.19 4.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Roman Wilson's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#81 Wide Receiver

115.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
16.9 40.4 532.4 3 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRoman Wilson's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Wilson looks intriguing for the long term. Just don’t let a buzzy pre-draft season and/or available opportunity let you overrate him. There’s limited upside to his situation, and the player is no sure thing.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Wilson played a central but not dominant role in a limited Michigan passing offense. He racked up 50% of the team’s TD receptions but added more modest shares in:
    • Receptions – 19%
    • Receiving yards – 25.1%
  • The Wolverines limited the production potential throughout his three starting seasons by ranking 98th or lower in pass attempts each year. That included last year’s low of 120th.
  • Wilson totaled 98 receptions over those three seasons, topping out at 48 in 2023.
  • He averaged a strong 16.0 yards per catch for his college career, though, helped by a 14.1-yard career aDOT.
  • Wilson ran 60% of his career routes from the slot, according to Pro Football Focus, ramping up his usage from that area over his final two seasons: 90.1% and 68.7%.
  • Wilson stood out at the Senior Bowl – by consensus reaction – and then ran a 4.39-second 40 time at the Scouting Combine. That was good enough for a 62nd-percentile speed score despite his below-average size (17th-percentile height; 15th-percentile weight) for the position.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Wilson doesn’t bring a strong enough college profile to make big, immediate production seem likely. His Round 3 draft capital agrees.
  • He lands in a good spot for immediate opportunity, though. Pittsburgh traded away its target-share leader of the past five years (Diontae Johnson). Last year’s No. 3 wideout in targets (Allen Robinson) is also gone.
  • That leaves George Pickens as the likely new lead target, with RB Jaylen Warren and TE Pat Freiermuth looking like Wilson’s biggest challengers for work.
  • New OC Arthur Smith plus new QB Russell Wilson figure to shorten the average target depth vs. the past couple of years.
  • Wilson’s inside-outside versatility and above-average speed should help him stay involved across formations and draw targets.
  • Expect limited passing volume from these Steelers. Smith’s three years in Atlanta found his offense ranking 30th in the league in neutral-situation pass rate. His two years in Tennessee found that offense ranking 31st.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Roman Wilson, WR PIT

6:16am EDT 6/7/24

Roman Wilson might be quiet as rookie

Coming out of OTAs, Mark Kaboly of The Athletic says that he'd call Van Jefferson the Steelers' No. 2 WR "right now." He added that the answer certainly isn't clear yet. "To be honest, you can throw [Quez] Watkins, [Cordarrelle] Patterson, Calvin Austin III, Scotty Miller, Marquez Callaway and Denzel Mims in there as well," Kaboly writes. Notably, he didn't include Round 3 rookie Roman Wilson in that group. Kaboly also says he expects the team to "add a legit No. 2" before the start of the regular season.

View Full Story »

The Steelers drafted Michigan WR Roman Wilson in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. It took Wilson until his fourth season to lead Michigan in receptions or receiving yards. But his 2023 campaign was impressive. Wilson tallied a 48-789-12 receiving line, accounting for 25.1% of the team’s receiving yards and half of the receiving TDs. Wilson caught 71.6% of his targets on a 13.9-yard average target depth. That led to a huge 11.8 yards per target. Wilson ranked 29th in yards per route and 22nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade among 286 qualifying WRs. The 5’11, 185-pounder played 65% of his snaps in the slot last year and figures to primarily stick inside as a pro. But don’t mistake him for just a short-range target. Wilson regularly won deep at Michigan last year and blazed a 4.39-second 40-yard dash at the Combine. He also has one of the most reliable pairs of hands in this year’s WR class, dropping only one of 50 catchable targets last season, per PFF. The Steelers lost 136 targets via trade/free agency. Wilson should handle a chunk of those alongside George Pickens. While QB play is a question mark for 2024, the Michigan product is firmly in play as a late-round stash.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Roman Wilson, WR PIT
Dynasty MVP 66.3
Position Rank #133 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
198
337
657
Dynasty Write-up
Wilson broke out as a senior on Michigan’s run-heavy offense (48-789-12). He accounted for 50% of the team’s receiving scores. Wilson went on to flaunt a smooth blend of speed, route-running, and body control at Senior Bowl practices. Pittsburgh invested a Round 3 pick in him as they look to replace a key offseason departure in Diontae Johnson.
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