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D.K. Metcalf - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsD.K. Metcalf's Basic Stats

D.K. Metcalf
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25.1
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 235
40 Time: 4.33
Speed Score: 133.30
SPARQx (Rank): 139.70 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 135.90 (98%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.88 (3%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.32 (92%)

D.K. Metcalf's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

D.K. Metcalf's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#5 Wide Receiver

213.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 76.5 1535.8 10 3.8 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsD.K. Metcalf's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Metcalf caught 75 of 129 targets for 967 yards and 12 TDs in 17 games last year.
  • He finished 15th among WRs in PPR points and 11th in non-PPR.
  • That followed a PPR WR6 and non-PPR WR5 finish in 2020.
  • Metcalf saw an identical 129 targets in 2020 – but his catch rate dropped from 64.3% to 58.1% last year; his yards per catch from 15.7 to 12.9.
  • Metcalf earned an 82.5 Pro Football Focus receiving grade in each of the last 2 seasons. That ranked 16th among 90 qualifying WRs in 2020 and 12th among 90 WRs last year.
  • QB Russell Wilson’s injury was the primary reason for the dip in Metcalf’s efficiency.
    • Metcalf posted a 65.8% catch rate and 15.3 yards per catch over the first 5 games of the season.
    • Over the final 11 – after Wilson’s finger injury – Metcalf caught 54.9% of his targets and averaged 11.7 yards per catch.
  • Wilson was traded to Denver in March, leaving Seattle with QBs Drew Lock and Geno Smith.
  • Metcalf has only played 3 career games without Wilson. They came last year with Geno Smith. Metcalf’s lines in those games:
    • 6-58-0 (7 targets)
    • 2-96-1 (5 targets)
    • 6-43-2 (6 targets)
  • OC Shane Waldron returns for his 2nd season with the Seahawks.
    • The 2021 Seahawks ranked:
      • 32nd in plays
      • 24th in situation-neutral pass rate
      • 31st in pass attempts
  • With the question mark at QB, expect this to again be a run-heavy offense in 2022.
  • 7 of the team’s top 8 target-getters from last year return, with the only change coming at TE, where Noah Fant replaces Gerald Everett.
  • WR Tyler Lockett tallied 107 targets to Metcalf’s 117 in their 16 games together last year.
  • Metcalf out-targeted Lockett 32 to 24 in the red zone and 14 to 9 in the end zone.
  • Lockett finished just behind Metcalf in PFF receiving grade and beat Metcalf in yards per route run (2.35 to 1.94).
  • Metcalf had foot surgery in February to remove a screw from a previous procedure. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported that the foot bothered Metcalf throughout last season. He had resumed running by April.
  • Entering the final year of his rookie deal, Metcalf was the subject of trade rumors this offseason. Those have quieted, but Metcalf skipped mandatory OTAs as he looks for a contract extension. It’ll be a situation to monitor this summer.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

There are plenty of concerns with Metcalf heading into 2022 – chief among them the massive QB downgrade from Russell Wilson to Drew Lock/Geno Smith. Metcalf is also recovering from February foot surgery and might be a holdout risk as he seeks a new contract.

But we’re still talking about a 24-year-old who finished as a top-6 fantasy WR in 2020 and top-15 last year. Metcalf sits a bit lower than that in our 2022 rankings. But if he slides in your fantasy draft, don’t be scared to take the discount.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

D.K. Metcalf, WR SEA

7:49pm EST 1/15/23

Metcalf explodes vs. 49ers in Wild Card loss

Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf had a monster day in Saturday's Wild Card loss vs. the 49ers, posting 10 catches on 13 targets with 136 receiving yards and 2 TDs. Teammate WR Tyler Lockett ended the contest with 6 catches on 8 targets for 39 yards. The fantasy value of this pair of pass-catchers will be tied to the uncertainty surrounding the future of QB Geno Smith. Assuming Smith is brought back on a new contract, both Metcalf and Lockett will be top-20 considerations in drafts this summer.

View all D.K. Metcalf Shark Bites »

Seahawks QB Geno Smith threw for just 215 yards on 25-of-40 passing in Saturday's loss to the Chiefs, with 1 TD and 1 INT. His 74.5 passer rating was his lowest mark of the year. WR D.K. Metcalf led the receiving with 7 catches for 81 yards on 9 targets. RB DeeJay Dallas checked in next by catching all 6 of his targets for 32 yards. WR Marquise Goodwin went catch-less among 4 targets. TE Noah Fant caught the team's only TD among 2 receptions for 12 yards. Seattle might get better weather in Week 17 but will face a much tougher defense in the Jets.

View all Geno Smith Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett will undergo surgery to repair his fractured finger, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "It's possible he only misses one game and is back for the final two," Rapoport adds. "But a firm timetable will be available post-surgery." We'll keep you update on Lockett's rehab and timeline for return. His absence next weekend will leave Marquise Goodwin as Seattle's #2 WR -- and leave potential targets for WR D.K. Metcalf and TE Noah Fant.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks QB Geno Smith struggled through most of Sunday's loss to the Panthers, including a pair of INTs. He nearly tossed a 3rd, but CB Jaycee Horn narrowly missed getting a 2nd foot down in bounds. Smith did wind up with a solid 264 yards and 3 TDs passing, the last coming with just 16 seconds to go and his team down 13. Seattle's top 3 WRs all scored, with Marquise Goodwin posting the top line: 5-95-1 on 6 targets. D.K. Metcalf went for 5-71-1 on a team-high 10 targets. Tyler Lockett caught 5 balls for 60 yards and a TD, marking his 6th straight game with a score. Seattle hosts a tough 49ers defense on Thursday night.

View all Geno Smith Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf (hip) is active for today’s game vs. the Panthers. He was added to the injury report and limited on Thursday and then did not practice on Friday, but HC Pete Carroll said Friday that Metcalf was just getting some rest. It seems like Metcalf will be ready for his usual role in this one.

View all D.K. Metcalf Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

D.K. Metcalf, WR SEA
Dynasty MVP 199.5
Position Rank #5 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
642
1,045
1,756
Dynasty Write-up
Metcalf exceeded expectations alongside (surprise) breakout QB Geno Smith. The 25-year-old signed an extension in July, keeping him under team control through the 2025 season.
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