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D.K. Metcalf - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

D.K. Metcalf
SEA

WR SEA

#8 Wide Receiver

190 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 9
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.33

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#8 Wide Receiver

190 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 85 1305 10 4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

167.2

DS Projection

190

Consensus

38 other sites
152

Low Ceiling

226.1

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Metcalf posted an 83-1,303-10 line on 129 targets last year. He ranked 6th among WRs in both yards and TDs.
  • Metcalf finished 6th among WRs in PPR points and 5th in non-PPR.
  • He provided a nice weekly floor and ceiling.
    • Metcalf finished as a top-36 WR in 12 of 16 weeks -- tied for 3rd most.
    • He tallied 8 top-24 weeks -- tied for 8th most.
    • And he scored as a top-12 WR 4 times -- tied for 11th most.
  • That followed a 58-900-7 line and top-30 fantasy finish as a rookie in 2019.
  • Metcalf’s 458.4 PPR points over the past 2 years are the 17th most all-time by a WR in his first 2 NFL seasons. He ranks 23rd in catches, 16th in yards and 22nd in TDs.
  • Metcalf went from 37th in yards per route run and 51st in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades among 79 qualifying WRs in 2019 to 18th in yards per route run and 17th in receiving grades out of 84 qualifiers last year.
  • Metcalf’s ranks among in key usage stats last season:
    • 14th in targets
    • 3rd in air yards
    • 8th in red-zone targets
    • 6th in targets inside the 10-yard line
  • Metcalf’s production declined from the 1st to 2nd half of last season.
    • He averaged 5.4 catches, 98.5 yards and 1 TD over his first 8 games, ranking 3rd among WRs in PPR points.
    • He averaged 5 catches, 64.4 yards and .3 TDs over the final 8, ranking 22nd in PPR points.
    • That coincided with a decline in QB Russell Wilson’s play. Wilson went from a 71.0% completion rate and 8.6 yards per attempt over the first 8 games to 66.3% and 6.4 over the final 8.
  • Metcalf should be in for similar volume in 2021. Tyler Lockett, who edged Metcalf 132 to 129 in targets last year, is back. WR David Moore and his 47 targets from a year ago figure to be replaced by 2nd-round rookie WR Dwayne Eskridge. Seattle added TE Gerald Everett in free agency, but don’t expect him to eat into Metcalf’s targets.
  • The Seahawks canned OC Brian Schottenheimer this offseason and replaced him with Shane Waldron.
    • Waldron’s only OC experience came at Buckingham Browne & Nichols High School in 2011.
    • He spent the past 4 seasons as passing-game coordinator/QBs coach for the Rams under Sean McVay.
    • He also worked under Bill Belichick in New England in 2008 and 2009.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

After a super promising rookie season, Metcalf exploded for a 83-1,303-10 line and top-6 fantasy finish in 2020.

He’s in a new offense under OC Shane Waldron this season but has the same QB and should be in for similar volume. Unless Russell Wilson’s 2nd-half swoon was a sign of things to come this year, Metcalf has a good shot at another WR1 finish.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Seahawks love what they got out of WR D.K. Metcalf as a rookie last year but believe he's capable of even more going forward. “The No. 1 thing that we know is that we can move him around and do different things with him," OC Brian Schottenheimer said. “He kind of got stuck at the ‘X’ receiver last year. This year we know we can move him around quite a bit more. There are so many more routes he can run. He’s proven he can get behind people. I just think the flexibility of moving him around and introducing some different route concepts that we can kind of get him up to speed on that will complement the things that he’s already put on film. It will be an incredible, incredible advantage for us as we head into next season.” Metcalf posted an impressive 58-900-7 line last season -- and then totaled 219 yards and a score on 11 catches in 2 playoff games. It's plenty possible that he overtakes Tyler Lockett as Seattle's top WR in 2020.

View all D.K. Metcalf Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf (knee) isn’t listed on the final Week 1 injury report after putting in full practices on Thursday and Friday. The rookie has a shot to quickly emerge as Seattle’s #2 WR. But consider him just a DFS tournament option for the opener after he underwent knee surgery a few weeks ago.

View all D.K. Metcalf Shark Bites »

Seahawks HC Pete Carroll said that WR D.K. Metcalf "looked great" while putting in a full practice Monday and has made a "fantastic recovery" from his August knee surgery, according to Gregg Bell of The News Tribune. Bell adds that "all signs" point to Metcalf playing in Sunday's regular-season opener against the Bengals. We'll see exactly what role the 2nd-round rookie is in for after missing nearly 2 weeks. Seattle also brought back veteran WR Jaron Brown on Monday after cutting him over the weekend. Don't plan to use Metcalf in your Week 1 fantasy football lineups unless you play in an especially deep league.

View all D.K. Metcalf Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf was inactive for Sunday night's game against the Vikings with what GM John Schneider called a "sore leg" during a radio interview. After the game, however, HC Pete Carroll said the rookie needs knee surgery, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. "Don't think he'll be out long," Pelissero added. We'll see about further details on this issue. But even if it's a quick turnaround, it hurts Metcalf's chances of cracking the starting lineup early in the regular season.

View all D.K. Metcalf Shark Bites »

The Seattle' Times' Bob Condotta expects Tyler Lockett, David Moore and Jaron Brown to open the season as the Seahawks' top 3 WRs. That'd most notably leave D.K. Metcalf no better than 4th on the depth chart. The rookie reportedly had an impressive spring but was always more of a project than NFL-ready prospect. Condotta does concede that Metcalf is "the most logical of the rookies to contribute heavily," but he's not looking like a good bet for early-season fantasy value.

View all D.K. Metcalf Shark Bites »

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