Draft Strategy

8 Overvalued Players

By Matt Schauf 10:08am EDT 8/17/20

The 2 main keys to your fantasy football draft are:

1) Find a couple of players who significantly outperform their draft slot.
2) Avoid the land mines.

Check out 14 Undervalued Players -- and we've got Sleepers coming later this week. But here we’re looking at potential land mines -- guys who are going much earlier than they should and could thus blow up your championship plans.

Unless any of these 8 players slide well past ADP, go ahead and let a league mate pick them instead.

(Note: DS Rank is for PPR scoring. ADP comes from August BestBall10s drafting.)

Mecole Hardman, WR, Chiefs

DS Rank: WR58
ADP Rank: WR42

You could build a case for drafting some of the WRs on this list around ADP. But Hardman’s cost is just a matter of drafters clearly getting over-excited at the combo of the young wideout’s speed and Patrick Mahomes’ skills.

Hardman ranked just 5th among Chiefs in targets last season, collecting 41 for the year. Even that number got inflated by Tyreek Hill injuries. Hardman drew 22 of his 41 targets in the 4 games that Hill missed. Another 4 of Hardman’s looks came in a Week 11 game Hill left early.

The rookie garnered just 1.4 targets per game in Hill’s 10 healthy contests. He then played less than 30% of the snaps in Kansas City’s 3 playoff games, tallying just 6 total targets.

After the season, the Chiefs re-signed WR Demarcus Robinson and restructured WR Sammy Watkins’ contract to keep him around. They also spent their 1st-round pick on RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who ranked 3rd in receptions on last year’s loaded LSU offense.

Where is Hardman’s regular work coming from?

He makes sense only as a handcuff to Hill -- or maybe Watkins. And that could be worthwhile in this elite scoring offense. But Hardman’s going too early to be a WR handcuff -- and well ahead of Watkins.

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