DFS Showdown Tips: Broncos-Chiefs

Usually, a primetime Chiefs game means that Patrick Mahomes and crew are the exciting part. But fantasy football folks are fired up about someone on the other side this week.

With Melvin Gordon out, Broncos rookie RB Javonte Williams is headed for his 1st NFL start and clear lead-back status.

If we get a classic performance from the Mahomes Chiefs that digs a quick scoring hole for the opponent, then Williams could be in a tough situation. K.C. hit the week having faced the 5th fewest RB carries on the year.

The matchup looks quite positive overall. Kansas City sits just 28th in run-defense DVOA, according to Football Outsiders, and 26th in total defensive DVOA. But the Chiefs have played much better lately. They’re up to 16th in “weighted” DVOA, which weighs recent games more heavily.

Last time K.C. took the field, they delivered their best defensive performance of the season so far against Dallas -- 1 of the strongest offenses they’ve faced this year.

So what’s in store for tonight?