Show Navigation
Show Menu

DFS

DFS Showdown Tips: Vikings-Bears

By Matt Schauf 8:11am EST 11/16/20


Unless you’re really trying to differentiate in a large-field tournament, it’ll be tough to get away from Vikings RB Dalvin Cook for showdowns tonight.

Of course, we all know about what Cook’s done lately: 369 rushing yards, 109 receiving yards and 6 total TDs in 2 games since returning from injury; TDs in every game this season.

It’s worth noting, at least, that the Bears will be the 2nd-best defense he has faced this season by Football Outsiders DVOA -- both overall and specifically against the run. Cook managed a more pedestrian 14-63-1 rushing and 2-8 receiving against the Colts back in Week 2. He also averaged just 3.8 yards per carry at Seattle back in Week 5 before leaving that game with a groin injury.

That said, Cook still finished RB19 and RB10 for half-PPR scoring in those weeks, respectively.

His 1 meeting with the Bears last season found Cook rushing for only 35 yards on 14 carries (2.5 per attempt). But he did score his team’s lone TD and catch 6 of 8 targets for another 35 yards.

This year’s Bears defense hit Week 10 as the 3rd-stingiest RB defense by our adjusted fantasy points allowed. It limited Derrick Henry to a 21-68 rushing line just last week. It also yielded a 17-106 to Ronald Jones -- in Chicago -- 4 games prior.

Whether you’re looking to build around Cook or try to build without him, here are the values from our projections ...

DraftKings

Cordarrelle Patterson should also factor into the backfield mix more than usual. He has already been lining up there more than at wideout, but he hasn’t reached 4 carries in a game since Week 3 and has only exceeded that number once. Patterson also has reached 4 targets just twice -- and not eclipsed that level -- but those 4-target games each came within the past 3 weeks. There’s a chance we see Patterson lead the backfield in touches tonight … or he could remain around the 5.3 opportunities he’s been averaging per game so far.Chicago’s backfield presents some intrigue. David Montgomery’s concussion leaves the Bears down their top 2 RBs (Tarik Cohen’s on IR). That brings Lamar Miller to the active roster for the 1st time, and he’s nearly a must-play at minimum salary in DK showdowns. Miller spent 2 seasons as the lead back for Miami (2015-16), when Bears OC Bill Lazor got his 1st shot at coordinating an NFL offense. HC Matt Nagy is handing Lazor the play-calling duties tonight for the 1st time.

Ryan Nall is the remaining piece but also the most expensive. Combine that with him drawing 0 carries so far this season, and it’s tough to make a case for him.

On the other side: Irv Smith’s injury makes Kyle Rudolph worth highlighting. Here’s the matchup effect of the Chicago defense on each position so far, according to our strength-of-schedule formula:

QB: -17.0%
RB: -19.5%
WR: -25.9%
TE: +13.3%

Smith and Rudolph combined for 8 targets against Detroit a week ago and 9 targets in the loss to Atlanta 2 games before that. Especially if Chicago succeeds in slowing down Dalvin Cook -- and scoring a few points -- there’s clear upside to Rudolph tonight.

FanDuel


Nick Foles at $1000 less and facing a worse pass defense looks like the stronger QB starting point on either site tonight. WR Anthony Miller also checks in at a healthy savings vs. teammate Darnell Mooney on both sites. Mooney holds just a 54-50 target lead for the season. Miller has edged Mooney 19-17 over the past 2 games.

Rudolph checks in at an attractive salary here as well. There’s no Lamar Miller in the FD pool, though. So get your shares of him on DK if you want some

.

Related Fantasy Football

Podcast: Best-Ball ADP Value Check 5-18-22

Podcast: Best-Ball ADP Value Check 5-18-22

10:50am EDT 5/19/22

Matt and Jared look to ADPs from Underdog, FFPC, DraftKings and others to reveal current sleepers in the market and some guys going WAY too early ...

Read More »
Podcast: WR and TE Prospect Preview 4-20-22

Podcast: WR and TE Prospect Preview 4-20-22

9:50pm EDT 4/20/22

Which likely Round 1 NFL Draft WRs look the best? Who should you be watching on Day 2 and 3? And is any incoming TE going to impact your dynasty roster?

Read More »
Podcast: Best Ball with Guests Billy Muzio and Bradley Stalder 3-31-22

Podcast: Best Ball with Guests Billy Muzio and Bradley Stalder 3-31-22

1:15pm EDT 4/1/22

A pair of avid drafters and fantasy football streamers stops by to talk draft trends and roster construction.

Read More »
Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC South 2-16-22

Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC South 2-16-22

2:10pm EST 2/17/22

Should you be jumping on Michael Thomas and Calvin Ridley as early draft values? Or are there too many questions for anyone in the NFC South to actually be the answer?

Read More »
Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC North 2-2-22

Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC North 2-2-22

1:20pm EST 2/2/22

Where's the early fantasy football value in the NFC North, and how should you treat a Packers roster full of questions in early best-ball drafting?

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 FanDuel 1-7-22

Podcast: Week 18 FanDuel 1-7-22

4:00pm EST 1/7/22

Which game looks best for stacking on this final NFL main slate of the season?

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 DraftKings 1-7-22

Podcast: Week 18 DraftKings 1-7-22

2:00pm EST 1/7/22

Jonathan Taylor or Cooper Kupp? Your lineup planning on DraftKings this week might start there, but it'll need to go a lot further ... (and we're here to help).

Read More »
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy

Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2022 Draft Package Now - Sept 15th

$39

Get Instant Access
2022 In-Season Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$39

Get Access Sept. 5th
2022 DFS Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$49

Get Access Sept. 5th
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual auto-renew
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool
Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice
Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access
Draft Sharks App
All–Access Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept. 5th Get Access Sept. 5th Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play