FanDuel: Thanksgiving Day Breakdown
Josh Allen, Bills ($9,500) at Lions
Allen pops up #1 in $/point among Thanksgiving Day QBs. Buffalo’s total is up nearly 2 points following an open of 30.25 — already a massive number.
This matchup is favorable, as Detroit sits 23rd in pass DVOA; 31st in adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs.
Dak Prescott, Cowboys ($8,000) vs. Giants
Dak pilots a Dallas offense that’s scored 24, 49, 28 and 40 points over the past 4 games.
Their implied total is a healthy 27.5 — up 2.5 from an open of 25.
Next up is a blitz-happy Giants defense that’ll be down CB Adoree’ Jackson. I'd be surprised if a couple of explosive plays don't pop up here.
Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots ($7,200) at Vikings
Damien Harris returned last week and out-produced Stevenson (65 rushing yards vs. 26). Stevenson, however, easily topped him in carries (15 to 8) and targets (6 to 2).
That came against a tough Jets run D. The Vikings, meanwhile, look more favorable for rushing production. They’re 19th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs; bottom-10 in catches allowed to the position. It’s that receiving production that makes Stevenson worth paying a small premium for. (Harris is priced at $6,400.)
Devin Singletary, Bills ($6,900)/James Cook, Bills ($5,500) at Lions
Cook really came on last week with season-highs in carries (11) and yards (86). His explosive traits continued to show up on tape. And with Buffalo entering as massive road favorites, Cook could feasibly match his Week 11 workload.
Singletary, meanwhile, figures to remain the lead back. He’s seen heavier goal line involvement lately, leading to 3 scores over the past 2 weeks. A strong matchup only adds to the appeal of this backfield overall. Only 2 teams have allowed more rushing scores than Detroit.
Stefon Diggs, Bills ($9,300) at Lions
Consider Diggs’ 5-target Week 11 a fluke. His first target didn’t come until late in the 2nd quarter. And remember, Buffalo practiced only once in person last week due to a massive snowstorm.
While this week turns up another unique routine — an early, Thursday road game — I don’t see any issues for Buffalo’s offense in their return to Ford Field. The Lions will play without top CB Jeff Okudah. And Vegas certainly sees plenty of points coming in this one, with Buffalo implied for 32 points.
CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys ($7,900) vs. Giants
Lamb posted 8-87-1 back in September against the Giants. But that game was played with backup QB Cooper Rush.
Lamb's coming off a down game against the Vikings, although that had more to do with game script than anything else. A reasonable price and a favorable matchup put Lamb squarely in play.
Darius Slayton, Giants ($6,400) at Cowboys
This one’s mostly about the opportunity.
With Wan'Dale Robinson out for the year (ACL tear), Slayton’s target floor and ceiling figure to rise. He already enters Thanksgiving with 58+ yards in 4 straight. Week 11 turned up a season-high 10 targets.
Dalton Schultz, Cowboys ($5,800) vs. Giants
Schultz has compiled a 20% target share over the past 3 games —enough to make him usable in DFS. He’s also garnered an end zone target in back to back weeks, a stretch that includes 1 score.
Schultz is simply one of the select few TEs on this slate with a decent ceiling.
Dawson Knox, Bills ($5,500) at Lions
Knox set season highs last week with 7 targets, 7 catches and 70 yards. If there’s anyone benefiting from Allen’s elbow injury — and perhaps a scaling back of his aggressiveness — it’s the young TE.
A 2-TD game is always within his range of outcomes. Thanksgiving does turn up a Lions pass D ranking 3rd-worst in adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.
Bills ($4,400) at Lions
Patriots ($4,200) at Vikings
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