Fantasy Football Redraft

Fantasy Takeaways from Week 12 Usage

By Jared Smola 8:32am EST 11/30/22

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Arizona Cardinals

RB snap rates:

James Conner - 97%
Keaontay Ingram - 9%
Corey Clement - 2%

Route rates:

James Conner - 85%
Keaontay Ingram - 9%
Corey Clement - 3%

Marquise Brown - 97%
DeAndre Hopkins - 88%
A.J. Green - 68%
Robbie Anderson - 41%
Andre Baccellia - 3%

Trey McBride - 71%
Stephen Anderson - 12%
Maxx Williams - 9%

Takeaways:

• Conner has 1 of the most valuable roles in fantasy football right now.
• A 97% route rate and 28% target share for Brown in his 1st game back. He’ll be back to must-start status when the Cardinals come out of their Week 13 bye.
• McBride has run 60 routes over the past 2 weeks … and totaled 7 targets.

Atlanta Falcons

RB snap rates:

Cordarrelle Patterson - 58%
Tyler Allgeier - 39%
Avery Williams - 12%
Caleb Huntley - 5%

Route rates:

Cordarrelle Patterson - 62%
Tyler Allgeier - 27%
Avery Williams - 15%
Caleb Huntley - 4%

Drake London - 96%
Olamide Zaccheaus - 85%
Damiere Byrd - 42%
KhaDarel Hodge - 8%

Anthony Firkser - 50%
Parker Hesse - 35%
MyCole Pruitt - 15%

Takeaways:

• Patterson’s 58% snap rate was his highest in 4 games back from injury. His 62% route rate was a season high, and his 5 targets tied a season high. It’s probably not a coincidence that the uptick in usage came in the 1st game without TE Kyle Pitts.

Baltimore Ravens

RB snap rates:

Gus Edwards - 50%
Kenyan Drake - 25%
Justice Hill - 19%

Route rates:

Kenyan Drake - 33%
Justice Hill - 20%
Gus Edwards - 18%

Devin Duvernay - 80%
Demarcus Robinson - 68%
James Proche - 23%
DeSean Jackson - 18%

Mark Andrews - 95%
Josh Oliver - 55%

Takeaways:

• Edwards returned as Baltimore’s clear lead runner, handling 16 of 19 RB carries (84%). He’s now carried 16 times in both of his healthy games this season
• Oliver basically stepped into Isaiah Likely’s role and drew 6 targets for a 19% share. I wouldn’t trust him in Week 13 fantasy lineups – even if Likely remains out.

Buffalo Bills

RB snap rates:

Devin Singletary - 78%
James Cook - 18%
Nyheim Hines - 5%

Routes rates:

Devin Singletary - 64%
James Cook - 18%
Nyheim Hines - 5%

Gabriel Davis - 89%
Stefon Diggs - 87%
Isaiah McKenzie - 73%
Khalil Shakir - 33%

Dawson Knox - 76%
Quintin Morris - 18%

Takeaways:

• 6 straight games with a 72+% snap rate for Singletary.
• The Bills clearly made McKenzie a big part of their game plan on Thanksgiving, boosting his playing time and feeding him a season-high 10 targets. It was just his 2nd game of the season with more than 6 targets, though, making McKenzie tough to trust in Week 13 fantasy lineups.
• Knox took the brunt of that increased usage for McKenzie. His route rate remained fine, but he saw just 2 targets after averaging 5.7 over the previous 3 games.

Carolina Panthers

RB snap rates:

D’Onta Foreman - 52%
Chuba Hubbard - 43%
Raheem Blackshear - 4%

Route rates:

D’Onta Foreman - 40%
Chuba Hubbard - 30%
Raheem Blackshear - 15%

D.J. Moore - 100%
Terrace Marshall - 90%
Laviska Shenault - 75%

Tommy Tremble - 65%
Ian Thomas - 30%
Stephen Sullivan - 20%

Takeaways:

• Foreman churned out 113 yards in this one – but it was actually a worrisome game for his rest-of-season outlook. Carolina ran 65 plays in mostly positive game script, leading to 41 RB carries. Foreman handled a just-ok 59% of those, with Hubbard taking the other 41%.
• The Panthers threw it just 19 times, but Moore drew 6 of those targets for a big 32% share in QB Sam Darnold’s 1st start of the season.

Chicago Bears

RB snap rates:

David Montgomery - 68%
Darrynton Evans - 32%
Trestan Ebner - 2%

Route rates:

David Montgomery - 64%
Darrynton Evans - 25%
Trestan Ebner - 4%

Chase Claypool - 75%
Byron Pringle - 57%
Dante Pettis - 46%
Equanimeous St. Brown - 39%
Darnell Mooney - 36% (injured)
Velus Jones - 21%

Cole Kmet - 93%
Trevon Wesco - 7%

Takeaways:

• Montgomery’s playing time sank a bit from his 80% snap rate and 76% route rate in Week 11. And he handled just 14 of 23 RB carries (61%), with Evans picking up the other 9.
• Mooney averaged 5.5 targets on a 27% share over the first 11 games of the season. His season-ending ankle injury opens up a big opportunity for Claypool – although I wouldn’t trust him in Week 13 fantasy lineups.
• Kmet should also benefit from Mooney’s absence and might even be the favorite to lead the Bears in targets the rest of the way.

Cincinnati Bengals

RB snap rates:

Samaje Perine - 80%
Trayveon Williams - 20%
Chris Evans - 6%

Route rates:

Samaje Perine - 67%
Trayveon Williams - 16%
Chris Evans - 7%

Tee Higgins - 98%
Tyler Boyd - 89%
Trenton Irwin - 84%
Trent Taylor - 13%
Kwamie Lassiter - 9%

Hayden Hurst - 80%
Mitchell Wilcox - 20%

Takeaways:

• Perine dominated backfield work with RB Joe Mixon out, handling 17 of 19 RB carries (89%) and drawing 7 targets (19% share). He’s a RB1 if Mixon misses any more time this season.

Cleveland Browns

RB snap rates:

Nick Chubb - 59%
Kareem Hunt - 41%

Route rates:

Kareem Hunt - 43%
Nick Chubb - 37%

Donovan Peoples-Jones - 100%
Amari Cooper - 96%
David Bell - 65%
Anthony Schwartz - 15%

David Njoku - 76%
Harrison Bryant - 26%
Pharaoh Brown - 11%

Takeaways:

• Njoku got back to pre-injury usage, with a 76% route rate and 7 targets (19%). He’s back to top-10 TE status – especially with QB Deshaun Watson back.

Dallas Cowboys

RB snap rates:

Tony Pollard - 59%
Ezekiel Elliott - 51%

Route rates:

Ezekiel Elliott - 36%
Tony Pollard - 33%

CeeDee Lamb - 94%
Michael Gallup - 92%
Noah Brown - 53%

Dalton Schultz - 58%
Peyton Hendershot - 17%
Jake Ferguson - 14%
Sean McKeon - 6%

Takeaways:

• Pollard underwhelmed in the box score, but he out-snapped Elliott and out-carried him 18 to 16. On the negative side, Pollard ran a route on just 33% of pass plays and drew 2 targets (7% share).
• Schultz delivered 2 TDs on Thanksgiving, but his route rate was down and he tallied just 4 targets for a 13% share.

Denver Broncos

RB snap rates:

Latavius Murray - 82%
Marlon Mack - 10%
Devine Ozigbo - 7%

Route rates:

Latavius Murray - 65%
Marlon Mack - 9%
Devine Ozigbo - 7%

Kendall Hinton - 95%
Courtland Sutton - 93%
Brandon Johnson - 84%
Montrell Washington - 14%
Jalen Virgil - 5%

Greg Dulcich - 81%
Eric Saubert - 16%

Takeaways:

• Strong play-time rates for Murray – although it led to just 13 carries and 1 target in this moribund offense.
• Dulcich continues to register strong route rates but has averaged just 4.0 targets on an 11% share over the past 3 games.

Detroit Lions

RB snap rates:

Jamaal Williams - 42%
D’Andre Swift - 34%
Justin Jackson - 25%

Route rates:

D’Andre Swift - 34%
Justin Jackson - 29%
Jamaal Williams - 15%

Amon-Ra St. Brown - 88%
D.J. Chark - 80%
Kalif Raymond - 80%
Josh Reynolds - 7%
Tom Kennedy - 5%

Shane Zylstra - 37%
Brock Wright - 34%
James Mitchell - 22%

Takeaways:

• Swift has hovered between a 31% and 34% snap rate in 3 straight. He at least led Lions RBs in routes on Thanksgiving – although 34% is an underwhelming mark.
• Chark returned to a full-time role in this one, finishing with 5 targets for a 14% share. We’ll see what this WR corps looks like once Jameson Williams debuts.

Green Bay Packers

RB snap rates:

Aaron Jones - 71%
A.J. Dillon - 43%

Route rates:

Aaron Jones - 75%
A.J. Dillon - 32%

Allen Lazard - 96%
Christian Watson - 89%
Randall Cobb - 61%
Sammy Watkins - 14%
Samori Toure - 7%

Robert Tonyan - 68%
Tyler Davis - 11%
Josiah Deguara - 11%
Marcedes Lewis - 7%

Takeaways:

• WR targets over the past 2 weeks:
  • Lazard - 14 (22% share)
  • Watson - 12 (19%)
  • Cobb - 10 (16%)

Houston Texans

RB snap rates:

Dameon Pierce - 55%
Dare Ogunbowale - 30%
Rex Burkhead - 18% (injured)

Route rates:

Dameon Pierce - 47%
Dare Ogunbowale - 23%
Rex Burkhead - 23% (injured)

Nico Collins - 79%
Brandin Cooks - 72%
Chris Moore - 68%
Phillip Dorsett - 43%

Jordan Akins - 55%
Teagan Quitoriano - 47%
O.J. Howard - 11%

Takeaways:

• Pierce has been crushed by Houston’s offensive ineptitude in 2 straight weeks now. I’d lean toward sticking with him in Week 13 fantasy lineups considering he produced in a bad offense for the 8 games prior.
• Akins’ 5-61-1 line came on a 55% route rate and 13% target share. I wouldn’t trust him in Week 13 fantasy lineups.

Indianapolis Colts

RB snap rates:

Jonathan Taylor - 92%
Deon Jackson - 6%
Zack Moss - 2%

Route rates:

Jonathan Taylor - 83%
Deon Jackson - 7%
Zack Moss - 0%

Michael Pittman - 100%
Parris Campbell - 90%
Alec Pierce - 76%
Ashton Dulin - 29%

Jelani Woods - 71%
Mo Alie-Cox - 27%

Takeaways:

• Taylor has registered 94%, 75% and 92% snap rates in 3 games under interim HC Jeff Saturday, averaging 21.3 carries and 3.3 targets per game.
• WR targets over the past 3 weeks:
  • Pittman - 27 (29% share)
  • Campbell - 18 (19%)
  • Pierce - 12 (13%)
• Woods’ Week 12 breakout notably came with TE Kylen Granson out with an illness. Assuming Granson is back for Week 13, Woods will not be a bankable fantasy play. But the talented rookie is certainly worth a wait-and-see stash.

Jacksonville Jaguars

RB snap rates:

JaMycal Hasty - 78%
Snoop Conner - 16%
Travis Etienne - 8% (injured)

Route rates:

JaMycal Hasty - 59%
Snoop Conner - 11%
Travis Etienne - 7% (injured)

Christian Kirk - 95%
Zay Jones - 93%
Marvin Jones - 68%
Jamal Agnew - 30%
Tim Jones - 5%

Evan Engram - 77%
Chris Manhertz - 16%
Dan Arnold - 2%

Takeaways:

• It sounds like Etienne will be able to play Week 13. If not, I’d expect RB Darrell Henderson to be active and play an early-down role alongside Hasty.
• Zay Jones’ huge game didn’t come out of nowhere. He’s been a full-time player all season and averaged 7.2 targets over his first 9 games.
• Engram’s route rates have remained solid, but he’s totaled just 5 targets on a 6.5% share over his last 2 games. He’d be an uncomfortable Week 13 fantasy play.

Kansas City Chiefs

RB snap rates:

Isiah Pacheco - 51%
Jerick McKinnon - 34%
Ronald Jones - 14%

Route rates:

Jerick McKinnon - 44%
Isiah Pacheco - 28%
Ronald Jones - 14%

Justin Watson - 80%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling - 74%
JuJu Smith-Schuster - 44%
Skyy Moore - 36%
Cornell Powell - 4%

Travis Kelce - 76%
Noah Gray - 44%
Jody Fortson - 28%

Takeaways:

• Pacheco hogged 22 of 26 RB carries (85%), bringing him up to an 80% RB carry share over the past 3 games.
• Smith-Schuster was surprisingly limited in his return from that Week 10 concussion. I’d expect him back in a full-time role going forward, but he comes with a bit more risk than he should in Week 13 fantasy lineups.
• Moore has run just 37 routes (41% route rate) over the past 2 weeks but tallied 12 targets (32% targets per route run).

Las Vegas Raiders

RB snap rates:

Josh Jacobs - 79%
Ameer Abdullah - 18%
Zamir White - 4%

Route rates:

Josh Jacobs - 62%
Ameer Abdullah - 23%
Zamir White - 3%

Davante Adams - 100%
Mack Hollins - 100%
Keelan Cole - 72%
D.J. Turner - 3%

Foster Moreau - 90%

Takeaways:

• I do this article to pinpoint guys like Jacobs, who have the elite usage that can lead to MONSTER games like we saw him produce vs. Seattle.
• After spending more time blocking in Week 11, Moreau returned to an elite route rate in this one. He’s now posted an 88+% route rate in 4 of his last 5 games and averaged 5.6 targets.

Los Angeles Chargers

RB snap rates:

Austin Ekeler - 70%
Joshua Kelley - 21%
Isaiah Spiller - 12%

Route rates:

Austin Ekeler - 62%
Joshua Kelley - 11%
Isaiah Spiller - 5%

Josh Palmer - 100%
Keenan Allen - 93%
DeAndre Carter - 84%
Michael Bandy - 4%

Gerald Everett - 62%
Tre McKitty - 20%
Stone Smartt - 9%
Richard Rodgers - 5%

Takeaways:

• Kelley came off IR and immediately finished 2nd among Chargers RBs in snaps and routes. He looks like the preferred Ekeler handcuff again.
• Allen registered an underwhelming 15% target share. But he was back to full playing time, so expect more volume going forward.
• This was Everett’s 3rd lowest route rate among 9 healthy games this season. He finished with just 4 targets for a 9% share.

Los Angeles Rams

RB snap rates:

Kyren Williams - 71%
Cam Akers - 29%

Route rates:

Kyren Williams - 70%
Cam Akers - 13%

Van Jefferson - 93%
Ben Skowronek - 60%
Lance McCutcheon - 50%
Tutu Atwell - 47%
Brandon Powell - 33%

Brycen Hopkins - 43%
Tyler Higbee - 37%

Takeaways:

• The Rams’ putrid offense obviously caps the upside, but Williams’ usage makes him worth owning in at least fantasy leagues of 12+ teams. He handled 11 of 19 RB carries (58%) and drew 3 targets (13% share).
• Jefferson tallied 7 targets for a 29% share. Of course, that means much less in this low-volume, ineffective passing game. Consider him no better than a WR4.
• After running a route on 89% of pass plays last week, Higbee basically turned into a 6th offensive lineman in this one, blocking on 21 of his 32 snaps. He shouldn’t be in Week 13 fantasy lineups.

Miami Dolphins

RB snap rates:

Jeff Wilson - 61%
Myles Gaskin - 34%

Route rates:

Jeff Wilson - 59%
Myles Gaskin - 29%

Jaylen Waddle - 82%
Tyreek Hill - 73%
Trent Sherfield - 69%
Cedrick Wilson - 37%
River Cracraft - 20%

Mike Gesicki - 61%
Durham Smythe - 16%

Takeaways:

• Miami pulled and/or limited starters in the 2nd half of this comfortable win.

Minnesota Vikings

RB snap rates:

Dalvin Cook - 85%
Alexander Mattison - 15%

Route rates:

Dalvin Cook - 68%
Alexander Mattison - 12%

Justin Jefferson - 98%
Adam Thielen - 93%
K.J. Osborn - 66%
Jalen Reagor - 5%

T.J. Hockenson - 71%
Johnny Mundt - 32%

Takeaways:

• Omitting the Week 11 blowout loss to the Cowboys, Cook has now played 76+% of Minnesota’s offensive snaps in 5 straight games.

New England Patriots

RB snap rates:

Rhamondre Stevenson - 82%
Damien Harris - 20% (injured)

Route rates:

Rhamondre Stevenson - 64%
Damien Harris - 10% (injured)

DeVante Parker - 86%
Nelson Agholor - 74%
Kendrick Bourne - 69%
Jakobi Meyers - 38% (injured)
Tyquan Thornton - 31%

Hunter Henry - 74%
Jonnu Smith - 21%

Takeaways:

• Parker (4-80-0 on 4 targets) and Agholor (6-5-1 on 8 targets) benefitted from Meyers missing a big chunk of this game with a shoulder injury. Both guys are fine wait-and-see stashes but shouldn’t be trusted in starting lineups just yet.
• Henry has posted 76% and 74% route rates in 2 games since the bye week. But he’s totaled just 6 targets for a 9% share.

New Orleans Saints

RB snap rates:

Alvin Kamara - 67%
Mark Ingram - 30%
Dwayne Washington - 2%

Route rates:

Alvin Kamara - 62%
Mark Ingram - 26%
Dwayne Washington - 3%

Chris Olave - 82%
Jarvis Landry - 67%
Rashid Shaheed - 64%
Tre’Quan Smith - 13%
Kevin White - 13%

Juwan Johnson - 54%
Taysom Hill - 49%
Adam Trautman - 38%

Takeaways:

• Kamara registered 88%, 79% and 70% snap rates the previous 3 games. That sunk to 67% with Ingram back this week. Not a big deal, but worth noting.
• This was a season-low route rate for Johnson.
• The Saints have clearly made it a point to get Hill more involved in the offense again. He’s set season highs in offensive snaps (24, 28) and snap rate (42%, 49%) in each of the past 2 weeks.

New York Giants

RB snap rates:

Saquon Barkley - 73%
Matt Breida - 28%
Gary Brightwell - 17%

Route rates:

Saquon Barkley - 56%
Matt Breida - 26%
Gary Brightwell - 9%

Richie James - 88%
Darius Slayton - 84%
Isaiah Hodgins - 77%
Kenny Golladay - 28%
Marcus Johnson - 12%

Lawrence Cager - 40%
Tanner Hudson - 33%
Chris Myarick - 19%

Takeaways:

• Barkley’s playing time and efficiency have sunk recently.
  • First 7 games: 85% snap rate, 5.1 yards per carry, 7.2 yards per catch
  • Last 4 games: 78% snap rate, 3.3 yards per carry, 4.3 yards per catch

New York Jets

RB snap rates:

Zonovan Knight - 47%
Michael Carter - 30% (injured)
Ty Johnson - 23%

Route rates:

Michael Carter - 32% (injured)
Ty Johnson - 29%
Zonovan Knight - 26%

Garrett Wilson - 90%
Corey Davis - 74%
Elijah Moore - 42%
Denzel Mims - 23%
Braxton Berrios - 16%

Tyler Conklin - 71%
C.J. Uzomah - 58%

Takeaways:

• Knight was mixing in even before Carter went down with his ankle injury. He’ll be the best fantasy bet in this backfield if Carter misses more time.
• QB Mike White targeted RBs on 25% of his passes and TEs on 21%.
• WR targets:
  • Wilson - 8 (29% share)
  • Davis - 3 (11%)
  • Moore - 2 (7%)
  • Mims - 1 (4%)
  • Berrios - 1 (4%)

Philadelphia Eagles

RB snap rates:

Miles Sanders - 54%
Kenneth Gainwell - 34%
Boston Scott - 13%

Route rates:

Miles Sanders - 39%
Kenneth Gainwell - 33%
Boston Scott - 14%

A.J. Brown - 97%
DeVonta Smith - 97%
Quez Watkins - 81%
Zach Pascal - 11%

Jack Stoll - 64%
Grant Calcaterra - 25%
Tyree Jackson - 8%

Takeaways:

• QB Jalen Hurts has 15 and 12 designed runs in his last 2 games. He averaged 7.9 designed runs over his first 9 games (with TE Dallas Goedert).
• After combining for 64% of Eagles targets in Week 11, Smith (32%) and Brown (21%) combined for 53% in this one.

Pittsburgh Steelers

RB snap rates:

Benny Snell - 41%
Anthony McFarland - 30%
Najee Harris - 29% (injured)

Route rates:

Benny Snell - 34%
Anthony McFarland - 31%
Najee Harris - 29% (injured)

Diontae Johnson - 100%
George Pickens - 94%
Steven Sims - 40%
Gunner Olszewski - 14%

Pat Freiermuth - 80%
Zach Gentry - 31%
Connor Heyward - 17%

Takeaways:

• RB opportunities after Harris’ final touch:
  • Snell - 8 carries, 1 target
  • McFarland - 2 carries, 0 targets

San Francisco 49ers

RB snap rates:

Christian McCaffrey - 63%
Elijah Mitchell - 21% (injured)
Jordan Mason - 13%

Route rates:

Christian McCaffrey - 69%
Elijah Mitchell - 21% (injured)
Jordan Mason - 3%

Brandon Aiyuk - 97%
Deebo Samuel - 92%
Jauan Jennings - 62%
Ray-Ray McCloud - 10%
Danny Gray - 3%

George Kittle - 90%
Charlie Woerner - 3%
Ross Dwelley - 3%

Takeaways:

• McCaffrey has posted 65%, 66% and 63% snap rates in 3 games since the Week 9 bye. Expect him to remain in that range as he deals with “knee irritation.” CMC has averaged 10.7 carries and 6.3 targets across those 3 games.
• Kittle continues to post elite route rates. A crowded 49ers offense will lead to some underwhelming outings – but he’ll also have more big games the rest of the way.

Seattle Seahawks

RB snap rates:

Ken Walker - 71%
Travis Homer - 20%
DeeJay Dallas - 14%

Route rates:

Ken Walker - 53%
Travis Homer - 20%
DeeJay Dallas - 13%

D.K. Metcalf - 96%
Tyler Lockett - 91%
Marquise Goodwin - 51%
Laquon Treadwell - 7%

Will Dissly - 62%
Noah Fant - 58%
Colby Parkinson - 20%

Takeaways:

• This was the 1st time since Week 7 and just the 3rd time all season that Dissly ran more routes than Fant.
• Laquon Treadwell lives.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

RB snap rates:

Rachaad White - 90%
Ke’Shawn Vaughn - 13%

Route rates:

Rachaad White - 73%
Ke’Shawn Vaughn - 2%

Chris Godwin - 96%
Mike Evans - 94%
Julio Jones - 67%
Breshad Perriman - 12%
Scotty Miller - 4%

Cameron Brate - 57%
Cade Otton - 43%
Ko Kieft - 12%

Takeaways:

• ELITE usage for White, who handled 14 of 18 RB carries (78%) and racked up 9 targets (21% share).

Tennessee Titans

RB snap rates:

Derrick Henry - 56%
Dontrell Hilliard - 37%
Hassan Haskins - 11%

Route rates:

Dontrell Hilliard - 50%
Derrick Henry - 37%
Hassan Haskins - 11%

Robert Woods - 84%
Treylon Burks - 82%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine - 76%
Cody Hollister - 3%

Austin Hooper - 74%
Chig Okonkwo - 34%
Geoff Swaim - 24%

Takeaways:

• Henry has now played less than 60% of Tennessee’s offensive snaps in 3 of his last 4 games. He played 64+% in 6 of his first 7, with the only exception being the blowout loss to Buffalo. His carries per game have sunk from 23.7 over those first 7 to 20.3 over the last 4.

Washington Commanders

RB snap rates:

Brian Robinson - 48%
Antonio Gibson - 42%
Jonathan Williams - 8%

Route rates:

Antonio Gibson - 63%
Brian Robinson - 33%
Jonathan Williams - 4%

Terry McLaurin - 83%
Curtis Samuel - 63%
Jahan Dotson - 63%
Cam Sims - 21%
Dyami Brown - 17%

Logan Thomas - 75%
John Bates - 46%
Cole Turner - 13%

Takeaways:

• Just when it looked like Gibson was taking control of this backfield, Robinson out-snapped him and doubled him up in carries 18 to 9.
• This was a season-low route rate for Samuel. He has more carries (10) than catches (6) over the past 3 weeks.