Show Navigation
Show Menu

FF Tips

How Much Fantasy Value Does Davante Adams Lose Going from Green Bay to Vegas?

By Jared Smola 8:26am EDT 6/6/22


This is a free preview of a 2022 player profile. Become a Draft Sharks Insider to get the intel you need on 250+ players when profiles go live in June.


Davante Adams

What You Need to Know:
  • Adams was traded from the Packers to the Raiders in March in exchange for 2022 1st- and 2nd-round picks.
  • Vegas immediately signed Adams to a 5-year, $140 million contract with $65.7 million guaranteed. He’s the league’s 2nd-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary, behind only Tyreek Hill.
  • Adams remained as dominant as ever last season, setting career highs with 123 catches and 1,553 yards and scoring 11 times.
  • Here’s where he ranked in some key metrics among 90 WRs with 50+ targets:
    • 17th in yards per target
    • 3rd in yards per route run
    • 2nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 14th in Football Outsiders DVOA
  • Adams leads the NFL in receptions, receiving yards and receiving TDs over the last 4 seasons – despite missing 7 games.
  • His finishes in half-PPR points per game:
    • 2018 - 1st
    • 2019 - 5th
    • 2020 - 1st
    • 2021 - 3rd
  • Adams gets a QB downgrade going from Aaron Rodgers to Derek Carr.
  • But Carr is no slouch.
    • He’s coming off a 4,804-yard season on a 68.4% completion rate and 7.7 yards per attempt. Those marks ranked 5th, 5th and 7th league-wide.
    • He ranked 12th in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 passing grades. (Rodgers ranked 3rd.)
    • Among 30 QBs with 1,000+ attempts over the past 4 seasons, Carr ranks:
      • 2nd in completion rate
      • 13th in yards per attempt
      • 13th in adjusted yards per attempt
      • 14th in QB Rating
  • Adams played 2 seasons with Carr at Fresno State, racking up 3,031 yards and 38 TDs on 233 receptions.
  • Adams faces tougher target competition in Vegas than he did for the past 4 years in Green Bay.
    • Hunter Renfrow is coming off a 128-target, 103-catch 2021 season. He ranked 16th among 90 qualifying WRs in PFF receiving grade.
    • Darren Waller missed 6 games and most of a 7th last year. But he averaged 9.1 targets in his 11 healthy outings (including playoffs). Waller averaged 8.2 targets per game across the previous 2 seasons.
  • The Raiders have a new coaching staff led by HC Josh McDaniels.
    • McDaniels has 14 seasons of OC experience, 13 of which came under HC Bill Belichick in New England. He also had a 1-year stint with the Rams.
    • McDaniels spent close to 2 seasons as Broncos HC, getting fired 12 games into his 2nd campaign.
      • Those Denver teams ranked 15th and 9th in situation-neutral pass rate and 9th and 7th in pass attempts, despite being quarterbacked by Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow
  • We’re projecting the 2022 Raiders to finish among the top 10 in pass rate.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Adams has a new offense to learn and tougher target competition in Vegas than he’s had recently in Green Bay.

But he’s familiar with QB Derek Carr from their 2 years together in college, remained elite last year and is getting paid like an alpha WR.

While we’re projecting his volume and production to decline a bit from last season, Adams still looks like a locked-in WR1 with top 5 upside in Vegas.

In This Article

Related Fantasy Football

NFL Cap Space 2023 | Getting a Fantasy Read

NFL Cap Space 2023 | Getting a Fantasy Read

4:35pm EST 3/6/23

The Chicago Bears can afford whomever they want. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have no room under the salary cap. Find out which teams will be most affected by NFL cap space for 2023 and what that means for your best ball drafting right now.

Read More »
Dynasty Trades Podcast: WRs to Buy and Sell

Dynasty Trades Podcast: WRs to Buy and Sell

2:13pm EST 1/31/23

WRs dominate the dynasty fantasy football landscape these days. But we've got a few guys who don't seem to be getting enough love, plus a few you can trade for a profit.

Read More »
NFL Week 16 Recap Fantasy Football Podcast

NFL Week 16 Recap Fantasy Football Podcast

1:02pm EST 12/26/22

Did Cam Akers, T.J. Hockenson or Dak Prescott power you to victory in the fantasy football playoffs? We're looking back over all the action to analyze what happened and get a jump on setting fantasy football lineups for NFL Week 17.

Read More »
Top Plays for Week 16 Underdog Pick Ems

Top Plays for Week 16 Underdog Pick Ems

11:40am EST 12/21/22

Remember back when we could trust Tom Brady to produce? Well, even if you can't, this just might be the week to chase his player prop.

Read More »
Week 13 Recap Fantasy Football Podcast

Week 13 Recap Fantasy Football Podcast

4:18pm EST 12/5/22

Did any waiver-wire targets emerge in the Sunday games of NFL Week 13? And which WRs should you go ahead and drop to help get ready for the fantasy football playoffs?

Read More »
Podcast: Week 12 FanDuel Top Picks

Podcast: Week 12 FanDuel Top Picks

1:41pm EST 11/26/22

Will the Chiefs dominate the NFL Week 12 DFS slate, or do James Conner, Austin Ekeler and the Cardinals-Chargers matchup lie at the center?

Read More »
Week 11 Fantasy Football Recap

Week 11 Fantasy Football Recap

11:46am EST 11/21/22

Jamaal Williams, Tony Pollard and Travis Kelce dominated Sunday of NFL Week 11. But what were the subtler performances that could shape your season going forward?

Read More »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play