Before we get to the top Underdog Pick Em plays of Week 2 (according to the Draft Sharks projections), let’s look back on how things went in Week 1.
I highlighted 27 plays here. Three of those guys left their games early with injuries. Sixteen of the remaining 24 hit their over/under.
Nearly all of the plays I highlighted were overs, which is the case again this week. And passing yardage offered our best hit rate by far.
Of the 6 QB passing-yard props I shared, 5 hit. Only Justin Fields didn’t, thanks primarily to a mere 17 pass attempts while playing in a waterfall.
That all makes sense. When I ran the numbers last week, the biggest gaps between our projections and the Underdog lines showed up in QB passing yards. That’s the case again this week.
So that group should draw your primary focus. You can also use those QB lines as starting points for correlated bets: the QB plus his lead WR, or a pass-catcher or RB from the opponent.
Keep in mind: We need to pick players from at least 2 different teams here. And the more we stack together, the bigger the payout.
Finally, if you’re new to Underdog and have yet to make your 1st deposit, click here to get that deposit matched up to $100.
Justin Fields, QB, Bears
Draft Sharks projection: 224.6 yards
Russell Wilson, QB, Broncos
Baker Mayfield, QB, Panthers
Mac Jones, QB, Patriots
Jameis Winston, QB, Saints
Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens
Carson Wentz, QB, Commanders
Cooper Rush, QB, Cowboys
Tom Brady, QB, Buccaneers
Trey Lance, QB, 49ers
As much as I like Justin Fields the player, Russell Wilson is my favorite bet in this section. I have already locked a Wilson bet in, even without any of his pass-catchers. I have also already bet Wentz’s yards and Winston’s yards, stacking him with Michael Thomas (highlighted below).
Rashod Bateman, WR, Ravens
Draft Sharks projection: 62.0
George Pickens, WR, Steelers
D.J. Moore, WR, Panthers
Evan Engram, TE, Jaguars
Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens
Darren Waller, TE, Raiders
Amari Cooper, WR, Browns
Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins
Michael Thomas, WR, Saints
Sterling Shepard, WR, Giants
Davante Adams, WR, Raiders
I would not bet against Davante Adams going over 100 yards. We lean conservative in these projections. Bateman needed a long ball to hit his over last week, but he did so even on disappointing target share and just 2 receptions. That’s a good thing, unless his usage doesn’t improve. Last year’s Miami defense was also susceptible to deep balls.
Breece Hall, RB, Jets
Draft Sharks projection: 41.7 yards
Michael Carter, RB, Jets
Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals
Alvin Kamara, RB, Saints
I mentioned wariness for the Jets RB lines in last week’s article. Well, there were plenty of touches for both of them even in a one-sided loss to the Ravens. Can we count on that being the case again? I’m not sure. But the bars they need to clear remain fairly low.
Separately, Alvin Kamara’s under for rushing could correlate with Saints passing overs discussed earlier.