Week 10 FanDuel Tournament Picks
Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars ($7,000) at Kansas City
Ownership Projection: 4%
You can jam in Patrick Mahomes ($8,500) or Justin Fields ($8,300), but you’ll certainly pay a premium.
On the lower-end, I like a reasonably-priced Lawrence in a game that should turn up boosted pass volume.
Jacksonville enters the weekend as 9.5-point road underdogs. The pace of both teams signals increased attempts for Lawrence, too. Kansas City ranks 6th in situation-neutral pace; Jacksonville ranks 10th. Lawrence’s rushing ability only adds to his upside.
Josh Jacobs, Raiders ($8,400) vs. Colts
Ownership Projection: 17%
I’m willing to look past Jacobs’ 2-game cold streak. Back home following a road trip, he gets a Colts defense missing LB Shaq Leonard.
With the Raiders entering as 4.5-point home favorites, game script should be favorable for 4 quarters of rushing. Note that Jacobs has hit 17 carries in 4 of his past 5 matchups.
Dalvin Cook, Vikings ($7,500) at Bills
Ownership Projection: 13%
The Bills have allowed 338 rushing yards over the past 2 weeks. While LB Matt Milano should return, they’ll be without S Jordan Poyer and DE Greg Rousseau. LB Tremaine Edmunds and CB Tre’Davious White are question marks.
With Josh Allen looking very iffy — and perhaps limited, if active — this game should be kept close. If so, 20+ touches are likely for Cook — all at a discounted price.
Jonathan Taylor is only $7,000 and put in 2 full practices this week. He should be back to his usual role, although the risks are clear inside a struggling Colts offense. New HC Jeff Saturday is a major wildcard. Nick Chubb ($9,000) brings intrigue simply because of his upside and his projected ownership (4%).
Christian Kirk, Jaguars ($6,800) at Chiefs
Ownership Projection: 15%
If you’re stacking anyone with Trevor Lawrence, give a long look to Kirk.
The Chiefs are allowing the 6th most fantasy points to opposing slot WRs. Kick enters with 7+ targets in 4 straight, a span that includes 18 receptions.
Courtland Sutton, Broncos ($6,200) at Titans
Ownership Projection: 14%
Sutton hasn’t been a factor of late. His last 3 outings have totaled 50 yards… on 16 targets.
But coming off a bye — and with a healthier Russell Wilson — I can see Sutton getting closer to his early-season production. The Broncos head east to face a Titans squad that’s missing several key defenders.
Ranking 13th league-wide in air yards, a big play or 2 could be coming from Sutton.
George Pickens, Steelers ($5,600) vs. Saints
Ownership Projection: 8%
Pickens is priced as if Chase Claypool is still a teammate.
Of course, he’s not.
With Claypool out of the way, I fully expect the rookie to see a more consistent role. Taking Claypool out of the equation removes ~6.5 targets per game.
As a bonus: Pickens gets to face a Saints defense that will be without top CB Marshon Lattimore.
Justin Jefferson ($8,600) gets that injury-depleted Bills defense. He’s posted 98+ yards in 5 straight.
Foster Moreau, Raiders ($5,200) vs. Colts
Ownership Projection: 15%
This one’s about the value. The Raiders recently placed Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller on IR, ensuring another full-time role for Moreau.
Most recently — Week 9 — the young TE ran a route on 88% of Derek Carr’s drop-backs. An elite level. He’s now seen 5+ targets in 4 straight.
Indy, meanwhile, sits 23rd in adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.
Dalton Schultz ($5,500) is tough to turn away from at a depressed price. We expect a run-first approach from the Cowboys, but 4+ team TDs are within reach against a floundering Green Bay defense.
Steelers ($3,600) vs. Saints
Ownership Projection: 7%
HC Mike Tomlin indicated this week that EDGE T.J. Watt has a real shot to return. His presence would be huge for a Steelers squad coming off its bye.
Andy Dalton’s been a QB to target for opposing defenses. Outings of 1 INT and 4 sacks and 3 INTs (including two pick-6s) sandwich a clean Week 8.
The Saints might welcome Jarvis Landry back from an ankle injury, but he’s not a needle-mover.