Sutton should dominate targets with both Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler out on Sunday. He racked up 11 looks on a 26% share in last week’s loss to Tennessee and, per 4for4’s John Daigle, has seen 28% of Broncos targets with Jeudy off the field this season.
Sutton also draws a juicy matchup vs. the Raiders, who rank dead last in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA and 25th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs. Sutton posted a 5-52-1 line on 7 targets vs. Vegas back in Week 4 – alongside a healthy Jeudy.
Expect a run-heavy game plan from Washington vs. the Texans on Sunday. But the Commanders went run-heavy in last week’s win over the Eagles – and McLaurin came away with a big 8-128 line on 11 targets.
That’s the power of a 38% target share. McLaurin has been consistently drawing big shares from QB Taylor Heinicke over the past 4 weeks, averaging 9.0 targets per game. He’s far too cheap for that level of volume.
Note that the Texans rank 10th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs largely because they’ve faced the 2nd fewest pass attempts per game. Houston has surrendered a 64% completion rate and 15.1 yards per catch to opposing WRs – both higher than league average.
It’s been masked by the 2 Sam Ehlinger starts, but Campbell has been awesome in 3 straight games with Matt Ryan. He’s averaged 10.7 targets, 8.0 catches, 68 yards and 1 TD in those games, scoring 18.7, 23.0 and 20.6 DK points.
The Eagles prevent a tough macro matchup for the Colts passing game, but it’s actually a good spot for Campbell. Philly is weakest in the slot, where Campbell has played 75% of his snaps this season. And the Eagles rank 27th in EPA/Attempt allowed on passes under 7 yards downfield. That’s where Campbell lives, sporting a 5.5-yard average depth of target.
Also consider: Justin Jefferson ($9,100), Stefon Diggs ($8,300), CeeDee Lamb ($7,500) … if you’re paying down at QB