Lamar Jackson ($8,400)
Jackson is priced as the QB3 on FanDuel compared to the QB1 on DraftKings, coming off of a game where he threw for 249 yards and 2 TDs in rainy and windy conditions against the Patriots on Sunday Night Football.
Jackson hasn’t been the same player this season as he was last but still offers plenty of upside with 45+ rushing yards in every game but 1.
Jackson has an excellent matchup this week against the Titans’ 25th ranked pass defense and 19th ranked rush defense. He had over 500 all purpose-yards against this same defense in last year’s playoff loss.
The Titans defense has been a mess, allowing over 27+ points in 6 of their past 7 games. It could (finally) be a blow-up spot for Jackson and the Ravens offense.
Jameis Winston ($7,200)
With Winston expected to start for the Saints, he steps right into a fantastic matchup against the Falcons’ 28th ranked pass defense.
Priced as the QB13 on FanDuel, Winston is an exceptional value in a home matchup against a team that can’t generate pressure and lacks the personnel to hang with stud receiving options Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas.
Winston ranks 4th in the dollars-per-point rankings with a projected ceiling of 23.6 FD points.
He may be somewhat of a risky play with Taysom Hill assuredly stealing some snaps, especially in the red zone. But I’ll be rostering Winston in at least 15% of my GPP lineups.
Derrick Henry ($8,200)
Henry may come in lower-owned this week in a perceived tough matchup against the Ravens’ 3rd ranked rush defense.
The Ravens defense isn’t the same, however, missing stud DE Calais Campbell and NT Brandon Williams, who are both incredible against the run. Henry offers some value this week priced as the RB4 and should come in low owned as the Titans are 7-point underdogs.
The Patriots were able to successfully run all over the Ravens minus Williams and Campbell, as the RBs and Cam Newton combined for 39 carries, 173 yards and 1 TD in a win in last Sunday night’s matchup.
I’ll be rostering Henry in at least 30% of my GPP lineups as his monster upside trumps the difficult matchup.
Antonio Gibson ($6,500)
Gibson is underpriced this week at $6,500 in an excellent matchup against a Bengals team that ranks 29th against the pass and 21st against the run.
Gibson had 13 carries for 45 yards and 2 TDs last week, adding 4 catches on 4 targets for an additional 20 yards. Alex Smith has been peppering the RB position with targets as J.D. McKissic has a whopping 29 targets in his last 2 games.
With the Football Team slightly favored this week, I’m expecting some more work for Gibson, who is the far superior back.
If the Football Team can keep it close, I think Gibson will get 18+ carries with a few targets, giving him a great shot for 100+ yards and a score.
I’ll be rostering Gibson in at least 15-20% of my GPP lineups.
Tyler Boyd ($6,600)
Boyd ranks 5th in dollars per projected point with a projected ceiling of 17.4 points against a solid Football Team defense that ranks 6th against the pass.
Boyd has been a volume machine this season, with 7+ targets in 7 of 9 games. He’s scored 3 TDs with 2 games over 100+ yards.
He should come in low-owned this week with teammate Tee Higgins priced $100 cheaper and chalkier options Justin Jefferson ($6,700), and Juju Smith-Schuster ($6,500) in the same price range.
I’ll be rostering Boyd in at least 15-20% of my GPP lineups.
Diontae Johnson ($6,400)
Johnson has started and finished 5 games this season. In those games, he has 10+ targets in each with a combined 35 catches on 59 targets for 422 yards and 4 TDs.
He has been the alpha WR in Pittsburgh when healthy and now has a tremendous matchup against the Jaguars, who rank 31st against the pass.
Coming off of a 6-catch performance for 116 yards and a TD against the Bengals, Johnson is in a similar situation this week against the Jaguars as 10-point favorites.
I’ll be rostering Johnson in at least 20% of my lineups.
Hunter Henry ($5,500)
The TE position has been extremely ugly the last few weeks. With Travis Kelce once again off the main slate, you won’t need much at the TE position. So we want to target TDs, especially on FanDuel.
Hunter was in some GPP-winning lineups last week even with a pedestrian 4-30-1 line. Now Henry gets a cake matchup against the Jets, who rank dead last against the pass. The Chargers have one of the highest implied team totals on the Week 11 slate.
I’ll be rostering Henry in at least 20-25% of my lineups.
The Cowboys defense has only played well in 1 game all season — and that came just a couple of weeks ago against the Eagles when Dallas held them to 15 points, accumulating 4 sacks, 2 INTs and 2 fumble recoveries.
I’m not crazy on the Dallas defense in general. But at just $3,000, they are the cheapest defense on the slate going up against a Vikings offense led by Kirk Cousins. Cousins has 11 INTs on the year. And at the price, I think the Dallas defense could get lucky enough to make sense in GPPs.
By paying down at defense, we will be able to fit plenty of studs into our lineups — and then pray that Dallas gets a lucky special teams TD or defensive TD against a turnover-prone QB.
I’ll be rostering Dallas in at least 15% of my lineups.