Show Navigation
Show Menu

DFS

Week 12 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

By Jared Smola 1:28pm EST 11/26/21


QBs

Cam Newton, Panthers ($5,600)

Newton went out last week and scored 26.2 DK points in his 1st start of the season just 10 days after joining the Panthers. He was efficient as a passer, going 21-of-27 for 189 yards and 2 TDs. He wisely targeted WR D.J. Moore and RB Christian McCaffrey on 56% of his passes. And, most importantly, he showed that he can still get it done with his legs, running 10 times for 46 yards and a score.

Newton is up $500 in DraftKings salary but still checks in as the top dollars-per-point value at QB. He gets a mediocre Dolphins defense that ranks 17th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs.


RBs

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers ($9,000)

We got full CMC last week:

  • 90% snap rate
  • 90% route rate
  • 10 of 11 RB carries
  • 8 targets (30% share)

McCaffrey scored 24.9 DK points, giving him 24+ in all 4 of his full games this season. He’s back to being the safest bet in fantasy football.

A.J. Dillon, Packers ($5,900)

He’ll be out of consideration if Aaron Jones makes it back for Sunday’s game, so check Shark Bites for updates on that situation.

If Jones remains out, Dillon is too cheap for his projected usage. He played 75% of Green Bay’s offensive snaps last week, handling 11 of 15 RB carries and 6 targets (18% share). He scored 15.7 DK points despite not hitting pay dirt and game script working against him.

Dillon gets a Rams defense this weekend that ranks 18th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.

Ty Johnson, Jets ($4,300)

A salary saver at RB.

Michael Carter’s absence leaves New York’s backfield to Johnson and Tevin Coleman. My guess is that they’ll split carries close to 50/50. Over the first 2 weeks of the season, before Carter got rolling, Johnson out-carried Coleman 16 to 14.

But Johnson should dominate passing-game work. He’s been excellent in that department this year, hauling in 25 of 38 targets for 271 yards (10.8 YPC) and 2 TDs. Johnson ranks 13th among 46 qualifying RBs in yards per route run.

He’s also boosted by a matchup vs. the Texans’ 24th-ranked RB defense.

Also consider: Darrell Henderson ($5,800)


WRs

Chris Godwin, Bucs ($7,000)

He’ll be a lock-button play if WR Mike Evans’ back issue keeps him out on Sunday. But even if Evans suits up, Godwin looks like a nice value.

He’s averaged 9.3 targets, 7.3 catches, 93 yards and .8 TDs over the last 4 games without Antonio Brown, who’s out again for Week 12.

Now Godwin gets a plus matchup against the pass-funnel Colts. Indy ranks 2nd in Football Outsiders’ run defense DVOA but 20th against the pass. And only 6 teams have been worse in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs.

Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins ($5,900)

Waddle continues to see excellent volume: 8+ targets in 5 of his last 6 games. The rookie has averaged 9.5 targets, 6.8 catches, 65.2 yards and .3 TDs over that span. That’s 16.4 DK points per game.

Sunday’s matchup isn’t ideal vs. Carolina’s 5th-ranked WR defense. But the Panthers have struggled defending #1 WRs. In fact, Football Outsiders ranks them 31st in that department.

Michael Pittman, Colts ($5,600)

Pittman’s volume has been mostly underwhelming lately. But that’s largely because the Colts haven’t thrown it much. QB Carson Wentz has 30 or fewer pass attempts in 4 of the last 6 games.

Look for that volume to spike on Sunday. The Colts are 3-point underdogs against a tough Bucs run defense that usually forces teams to throw more than usual.

Pittman has maintained a healthy share of Indianapolis’ passing game, accounting for 22.6% of the targets on the season and 23.0% over the last 4 games. The Bucs rank 24th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs.

Also consider: Diontae Johnson ($6,600), Laviska Shenault ($4,400)


TEs

Rob Gronkowski, Bucs ($4,400)

Gronk isn’t just the best dollars-per-point value at TE. He’s the best dollars-per-point value among all flex-eligible positions.

Gronkowski scored 13.1 DK points on 8 targets in his return last week. He’s now seen 8 targets in 3 of his 4 healthy games this season and averaged 17.9 DK points. Only 3 TEs have tallied more expected PPR points per game.

So Gronk is getting excellent usage in a top-notch offense. The cherry on top: He gets the Colts’ league-worst TE defense on Sunday.


DSTs

Texans ($2,300)

The Texans are up to 10th in Football Outsiders’ defensive DVOA. And they’ve scored 15.0 and 16.0 DK points in their last 2 games.

Do I think this is a good defense? Nah. But it’s not a disaster. And now they’re dirt cheap for a plus matchup vs. the Jets, who rank 30th in DK points allowed to DSTs.

QB Zach Wilson is back for New York, which looks like good news for the Texans D. Wilson has taken an average of 3.6 sacks and thrown 1.8 INTs across 5 full games this season.

Also consider: Bengals ($2,700), Jaguars ($2,200)


Related Fantasy Football

Premium Content Premium ContentWild Card Round DraftKings Targets

Wild Card Round DraftKings Targets

12:06pm EST 1/14/22

The best plays at every position for the Wild Card slate on DraftKings.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentDFS Showdown Tips: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

DFS Showdown Tips: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

4:45pm EST 1/9/22

Assuming we don't get a kneel fest, who belongs in your showdown lineups for this final game of the 2021 NFL regular season?

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

8:08am EST 1/9/22

High-upside targets at every position for Week 18 FanDuel tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

Week 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

7:54am EST 1/9/22

High-upside targets at every position for Week 18 DraftKings tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

7:30am EST 1/8/22

The top values at every position for Week 18 FanDuel cash games.

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 FanDuel 1-7-22

Podcast: Week 18 FanDuel 1-7-22

4:00pm EST 1/7/22

Which game looks best for stacking on this final NFL main slate of the season?

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 DraftKings 1-7-22

Podcast: Week 18 DraftKings 1-7-22

2:00pm EST 1/7/22

Jonathan Taylor or Cooper Kupp? Your lineup planning on DraftKings this week might start there, but it'll need to go a lot further ... (and we're here to help).

Read More »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play