Show Navigation
Show Menu

DFS

Week 14 DraftKings Tournament Picks

By Corey Buschlen 8:59am EST 12/11/21


Last week we saw 5 games go over 50 points on the main slate and 7 teams score over 30 points. This week doesn’t project to be as high scoring, with only 1 game with an over/under above 50 and far less attractive stacking options to choose from. The key to tournament success this week will be spotting the “sleeper” games that may yield more points than Vegas is anticipating.

Let’s ride.


QBs

Easily the biggest decision point tournament players will have to make this week at QB is how to handle Bills at Buccaneers. I’m opting to fade Josh Allen on the road against a blitz-heavy defense.

Tom Brady ($7,600)

This game environment sets up extremely well. Brady and the Bucs rank 1st in neutral pass rate (Bills rank 2nd), Brady averages 42 pass attempts per game this season, and the Bucs offense ranks 1st in pass offense DVOA. Even though the Bills are a top 5 defense, the Bucs at home with a 28.5-point implied total is hard to pivot away from. Brady can also provide leverage against Leonard Fournette, who projects to be one of the highest owned RBs this week.

Dak Prescott ($6,700)

The Washington defense is allowing the most air yards on pass completions this season.Prescott should have Amari Cooper as a “full-go” according to Cowboys reporters, marking the first time since Week 1 that all 3 of the Cowboys star WRs will be playing a full allotment of snaps in the same game. The Cowboy’s implied total has increased more than any team on the main slate opening at 23 points and climbing to 26.25 (4th highest).

Joe Burrow ($6,000)

The 49ers are a pass funnel defense, ranking 3rd in rush defense DVOA but 17th in pass defense DVOA. With Joe Mixon entering this game as a “game-time decision,” the Bengals will likely aim to expose the 49ers secondary with Jason Verrett on IR and Emmanuel Moseley out for this game. The last time Burrow faced a pass funnel defense was Baltimore (27th vs the pass, 5th vs the run) in Week 7.Burrow threw for over 400 yards and 3 TDs. Joe Mixon only carried the ball 12 times in that game.

Cheap options: Cam Newton ($5,400) & Zach Wilson ($5,300)


RBs

Alvin Kamara ($7,900)

The Jets are allowing the most adjusted fantasy points to RBs and the 2nd most receiving fantasy points (receptions, receiving yards, and receiving TDs). With Mark Ingram and Ty Montgomery on the COVID list, we should see Kamara revert to the 80+% snap share role he had before Ingram was acquired. Kamara seeing well over 20 opportunities in this matchup is simply too good to pass up.

Ezekiel Elliott ($7,300)

The popular narrative recently has been that Elliott is “washed” or “done,” but following 10 days rest and Tony Pollard potentially out for this game, Zeke could be a very good contrarian play this week. The Cowboys are implied for 26.25 points against Washington, which bodes well for Zeke, who ranks top 3 in the NFL this season with 11 goal-line carries.

Saquon Barkley ($6,000)

Chasing elite usage led me to David Montgomery last week.This week Barkley fits the bill. He’s exceeded 75% of snaps in 2 straight games, along with 70% of the team's routes and 14 targets. The issue for Barkley has been efficiency.This week he gets the 32nd ranked rush defense in DVOA. He also hasn’t scored a TD since his return from injury, and the Giants may get some of their WRs back healthy to boost the offense.

Chuba Hubbard ($5,900)

Hubbard posted one of his best games of the season against Atlanta the first time these two teams met. Without Christian McCaffrey out for the rest of the season, Hubbard expects to see 20+ opportunities against the 5th best matchup for RBs in adjusted fantasy points allowed and should be great leverage against Antonio Gibson and Javonte Williams, who are priced similarly.

Also consider: James Robinson ($5,800) & D’Onta Foreman ($5,100)


WRs

Tyreek Hill ($8,500)

The Raiders have a difficult time containing Hill. They play single-high safety coverages more than any team in the NFL. Hill went for 7-83-2 back in Week 10 and also posted over 100 yards and a TD last season against the Raiders. If Tyreek and the Chiefs have a chance to beat them deep, they’ll take it.

Ja’Marr Chase ($6,900)

Chase faces a defense down their top 2 corners, and Josh Norman (his primary matchup) has given up 4 plays of 25+ yards this season. With Joe Mixon as a game-time decision in this game, we may see the Bengals rely more on the pass.The 49ers rank 14th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs, before these CB injuries.

Marquise Brown ($6,300)

Before last week, Brown was on a 4-game streak of double-digit targets, including the Week 12 game vs. the Browns. The primary defender against Brown in that game, Greg Newsome, was added to the injury report on Friday with a concussion and has since been ruled out.

Cole Beasley ($5,000)

With both Jamel Dean and Carlton Davis healthy on the outside for Tampa, their most vulnerable position is over the middle to slot WRs. Russell Gage tallied 11 catches for 130 yards last week as the Falcons slot WR. With Davis on Stefon Diggs and Dean on Emmanuel Sanders, Beasley can exploit Sean Murphy-Bunting in the slot as Gage did last week.

Cheap options: Trent Sherfield if Deebo Samuel is out ($3,000) & Josh Palmer ($3,000)


TEs

Rob Gronkowski ($6,000)

Gronk is the TE1 in DraftKings points per game because his targets are high value. He leads all TEs in target quality rating because his average depth of target is 10 yards (2nd) and he averages a red zone reception per game.I’m okay eating the chalk on Gronkowski knowing that he has a high chance at a TD in this game.

Dalton Schultz ($5,400)

A great stacking partner with Dak Prescott in a high implied team total game for Dallas. Schultz is still receiving elite usage among the TE position but has only scored 1 TD since Week 4.

Punt Options: James O’Shaughnessy ($2,900) & CJ Uzomah ($3,000)


DSTs

Buccaneers ($3,200)

To gain leverage on the field, I like fading Josh Allen this week and playing the Tampa Bay defense. The Bucs are home favorites against a turnover-prone QB who ranks poorly against the blitz, which is the primary game plan for the Bucs defense.

Punt Defense: Texans ($2,400)


Related Fantasy Football

Premium Content Premium ContentWild Card Round DraftKings Targets

Wild Card Round DraftKings Targets

12:06pm EST 1/14/22

The best plays at every position for the Wild Card slate on DraftKings.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentDFS Showdown Tips: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

DFS Showdown Tips: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

4:45pm EST 1/9/22

Assuming we don't get a kneel fest, who belongs in your showdown lineups for this final game of the 2021 NFL regular season?

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

8:08am EST 1/9/22

High-upside targets at every position for Week 18 FanDuel tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

Week 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

7:54am EST 1/9/22

High-upside targets at every position for Week 18 DraftKings tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

7:30am EST 1/8/22

The top values at every position for Week 18 FanDuel cash games.

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 FanDuel 1-7-22

Podcast: Week 18 FanDuel 1-7-22

4:00pm EST 1/7/22

Which game looks best for stacking on this final NFL main slate of the season?

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 DraftKings 1-7-22

Podcast: Week 18 DraftKings 1-7-22

2:00pm EST 1/7/22

Jonathan Taylor or Cooper Kupp? Your lineup planning on DraftKings this week might start there, but it'll need to go a lot further ... (and we're here to help).

Read More »
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy

Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2022 Draft Package Now - Sept 15th

$39

Get Instant Access
2022 In-Season Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$39

Get Access Sept. 5th
2022 DFS Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$49

Get Access Sept. 5th
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual auto-renew
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool
Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice
Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access
Draft Sharks App
All–Access Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept. 5th Get Access Sept. 5th Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play