I’ve been chasing a big game from Evans for most of the season, so feel free to ignore this recommendation.
But I do have some supporting evidence for the play. Evans’ usage has been fine: He’s averaging 8.2 targets per game, ranks 9th among WRs in air yards and sits 16th in expected PPR points.
He’s just running cold in the TD department and has had some big plays nuked by drops and penalties.
One of those came in the 1st meeting with the Panthers: a would-be 64-yard TD on the 3rd play of the game that Evans flat-out dropped. He still finished with a 9-96 line on 15 targets in that one.
Carolina heads into the rematch without top CB Jaycee Horn.
This assumes WR Christian Watson misses Sunday’s game with his hip injury.
In 7 games before Watson emerged this year, Lazard averaged 7.3 targets, 4.3 catches, 61 yards and .7 TDs per game. He projects for similar usage this weekend if Watson is out. And he gets the Vikings’ 32nd-ranked WR defense.
The Packers’ 25.5-point implied total is 4th highest on the main slate.
Here’s an even tougher play to stomach than Evans.
Sutton, like most of the Broncos, has been a colossal disappointment this season. But he’s somewhat quietly averaged 8.3 targets, 5.5 catches and 71 yards over his last 4 healthy games. He hasn’t spiked a big fantasy score in that stretch because he has 0 TDs.
Sutton looks like the healthier of Denver’s top 2 WRs heading into this weekend. He got in a full practice on Friday and isn’t listed on the final injury report, while WR Jerry Jeudy was limited all week and is officially questionable.
Jeudy, of course, went off for 73 yards and 3 TDs in the 1st meeting with the Chiefs – QB Russell Wilson’s best game of the season. Perhaps it’s Sutton’s turn in the rematch.
He’s cheap and projected for just 9% ownership.
Also consider: Mike Williams ($6,700), D.J. Moore ($5,700), JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5,600), Jahan Dotson ($4,600), D.J. Chark ($4,300)