Show Navigation
Show Menu

Week 6 FanDuel Tournament Picks

By Jared Smola 8:19am EDT 10/16/21


Despite seeing our first dose of bye weeks (SF, NYJ, ATL and NO), the main slate is chock full of great offenses this week. Similar to last week, we’re missing a few great offenses on the main slate such as Tampa, Buffalo, and Tennessee, so decision-making and game selection will be crucial.

Let’s ride.


QBs

Patrick Mahomes ($9,000)

12.1% Projected Ownership

Mahomes has by far the highest ceiling on the slate.The Chiefs are 7-point favorites in a game with a 55-point over/under, giving them an implied point total of 31 points.

Some will opt for the cheaper Taylor Heinicke ($7,300) to save salary, but if you can get up to Mahomes he’s facing a defense that currently sits at 29th in the NFL. Washington is also the only team (other than Chiefs) allowing over 25 FanDuel points per game to QBs (27.6 PPG).

Matthew Stafford ($7,900)

8.2% Projected Ownership

Expected to be one of the higher owned QBs on the slate, I’m okay eating a bit of chalk with Stafford this week. Everything aligns for a big Stafford game.This game projects as the fastest-paced of the entire main slate with both teams under 30 seconds per play and a combined pace of only 58 seconds.

Stafford and the Rams passing offense also has the second biggest advantage of any offense on the slate in terms of pass offense DVOA vs. pass defense DVOA, per Football Outsiders. The Rams also have an implied point total of 29, the second-highest only to the Chiefs.

Aaron Rodgers ($7,700)

1.8% Projected Ownership

This one is contrarian because we haven’t seen a big spike week from Rodgers and the Packers offense in a few games. Rodgers is a phenomenal pivot away from some of the higher owned QBs, priced within $300 of both Matthew Stafford and Justin Herbert.He gives you a lot of leverage if he hits.

In GPPs we want high ceilings at low ownership.Rodgers threw 4 TDs in both matchups against the Bears last year — and we know he has the talent and weapons (read: Davante Adams) around him to help do it again.

Contrarian Play: Justin Fields ($6,400)


RBs

Ezekiel Elliott ($8,300)

11.4% Projected Ownership

Navigating the bevy of choices at RB will be the key to success in DFS this week. Zeke is a player that will be hiding in plain sight as a great play that will get overlooked because of Austin Ekeler/Dalvin Cook above him and D’Andre Swift/Jonathan Taylor/Kareem Hunt below. Zeke is currently the RB3 in half PPR due in large part to the Cowboys committing to the run game. He faces a Patriots defense that is a run funnel, ranking 8th against the pass in DVOA but 22nd against the run.

Kareem Hunt ($7,400)

7.6% Projected Ownership (Pre-Chubb Injury)

Nick Chubb has officially been ruled out with a calf injury, so we can expect Hunt to receive a 20+ opportunity workload (saw 16.3 carries and 3.5 targets last year without Chubb). He’ll be highly owned, but I’m fine playing him and limiting ownership in other places. The Cardinals have also been vulnerable to pass-catching RBs, allowing James Robinson and Darrell Henderson 6 targets each in recent weeks.

D’Andre Swift ($7,100)

19.0% Projected Ownership

I’m going to keep playing D’Andre Swift until he’s priced as the top 8 RB he should be. The Bengals defense is currently allowing 51 targets to the RB position and the 6th most adjusted fantasy points overall to RBs.

Swift has posted a season-high in route rate and snaps in back-to-back weeks at over 70% in both categories with Jamaal Williams down around 15% routes and 30% snaps over the last 2 games.

Javonte Williams ($5,600)

7.6% Projected Ownership

Williams has outperformed Melvin Gordon in the box score in 2 straight tough matchups. So far this season we’ve seen Williams hover in the low teens in combined carries and targets. Facing a reeling Raiders team who just had their coach resign could present a run-heavy game script. This could be the Javonte Williams breakout game we’ve all been waiting for.


WRs

Cooper Kupp ($8,200)

15.9% Projected Ownership

The stacking partner to every point I made above regarding Stafford. Kupp and his 33% target share this season should reap the benefits of a fast-paced, mismatch of the Rams offense against the Giants defense. His TD production may have fallen off in the last 2 games, but the elite usage is still present.

Keenan Allen ($7,100)

10.3% Projected Ownership

Baltimore has been most vulnerable in the slot, with Tavon Young allowing 15-151-1 on 18 targets this season in coverage. This looks to be a get-right spot for Allen with Mike Williams having the tougher matchup on the outside and being banged up coming into this game. Despite Allen being overshadowed by Williams, he’s still commanding over 10 targets per game and has yet to have less than 8 in a single game.

Sterling Shepard ($6,200)

13.0% Projected Ownership

As discussed throughout this article, I will be targeting this fast-paced, Rams/Giants matchup. With Shepard returning from injury, no Darious Williams on the outside for LA, and Kadarius Toney likely seeing a lot of Jalen Ramsey in the slot, Shepard set up for a big game in this one.

Odell Beckham Jr. ($6,000)

2.3% Projected Ownership

If he doesn’t do it this time, I’m done. Running nearly 90% of the Browns routes and commanding a 22% target share since returning in Week 3, he’s due for a get-right game.

Michael Pittman Jr. ($5,800)

11.9% Projected Ownership

It’s rare to find such a high target share (25%) available for less than $7K, let alone less than $6K. Houston’s defense has been solid, ranking top 10 in pass defense DVOA.But Desmond King is the primary matchup for Pittman, according to PFF, and he’s allowed an 83.3% catch rate and 124.5 passer rating on 24 targets in coverage.


TEs

Travis Kelce ($8,500)

13.8% Projected Ownership

The one time I’ve spent up for Kelce it burned me. But I’m ready to try again. The Washington defense is bottom 5 against the run and pass. I want pieces of this matchup and the 55-point over/under it presents.

Noah Fant ($5,800)

8.9% Projected Ownership

The Raiders are currently giving up the 5th most adjusted fantasy points to TEs.Fant is coming off a game that saw him break Week 4’s season-high 86% of the Broncos routes by running 91% in Week 5, the most among TEs. Fant has been a consistent target hog but has yet to have a blowup game.This could be the week.

Some cheaper options: Evan Engram ($5,000) & Ricky Seals-Jones ($5,000)


DST

Minnesota Vikings ($3,700)

4.9% Projected Ownership

The Vikings defense ranks top 10 in DVOA and they face Sam Darnold, who ranks #4 in turnover-worthy plays with 8 this season. This game also has a lower over/under of 46 points.

Also consider: New England Patriots ($3,800)


Related Fantasy Football

NFL DFS: Wildcard Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel

NFL DFS: Wildcard Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel

3:13pm EST 1/11/24

Six games ... and a lot of difficult decisions. Let's run through an exciting DFS slate on FanDuel and DraftKings ahead of Wild Card Weekend.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

Week 18 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

12:33pm EST 1/7/24

Top DraftKings picks at every position for Week 18 head-to-head and 50/50 contests.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

Week 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

10:01pm EST 1/6/24

Top stacks and positional targets for Week 18 DraftKings tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

9:22am EST 1/6/24

Week 18 is always tough to predict, but there are still edges to be found. See where to turn in Week 18 FanDuel tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

5:04pm EST 1/5/24

With many key players resting, Week 18 FanDuel cash games figure to be the wild west. Let's see who's set to deliver DFS value.

Read More »
Week 17 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

Week 17 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

10:45pm EST 12/30/23

Top DraftKings picks at every position for Week 17 head-to-head and 50/50 contests.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 17 DraftKings Tournament Picks

Week 17 DraftKings Tournament Picks

10:41pm EST 12/30/23

Top stacks and positional targets for Week 17 DraftKings tournaments.

Read More »
Other rankings are stale  before the 2nd round.

Draft using the best dynamic tool in the industry. Our fantasy player valuations (DMVP) change during your draft in response to...

  1. Exact league settings - direct sync
  2. Opponent and Team Needs
  3. Positional scarcity & available players
  4. Ceiling, injury risk, ADP, and more!

You need a dynamic cheat sheet that easily live-syncs with your draft board and adapts throughout your draft using 17 crucial indicators.

Get your Draft War Room Today
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?
Check out thisleague-winning info
2023 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2023 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2023 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play