It took a lot of willpower to not play Kareem Hunt in cash after I talked him up all last week (#KareemHuntWeek). I didn’t love him any less by the time Sunday rolled around. And he still came through with 19.2 DraftKings points.
But cash games aren’t just about playing the guys with the best raw projections. We need to consider:
- The best values according to projection vs. salary
- How each play affects the rest of our lineup
Factoring that stuff in — and spending way too much time messing around with my lineup — I eventually decided that Gio Bernard was the play over Hunt. And it wasn’t even that I thought Bernard was a better value (although he certainly turned out to be). It was what the savings I got from going down to Bernard allowed me to get elsewhere. By also moving from Travis Kelce to Hunter Henry and punting at DST with the Jets, I was able to play Kyler Murray and Davante Adams. Those 2 guys were key to the week.
We’ll keep these dynamics in mind as we get to the Week 8 picks. It looks like this will be our first serious “weather week” of the season, with potentially impactful winds in the following games:
Titans at Bengals
Patriots at Bills
Raiders at Browns
Vikings at Packers
Bears at Saints
I don’t start making weather-based decisions until late Sunday morning when we have more accurate forecasts. At that point, we want to be wary of games with 20+ mph winds. Data shows that passing games are adversely effected at that point.
I’ll highlight a few extra guys in this article this week so you can pivot off players in the wind games if necessary. We’ll be updating our projections on Sunday morning, so make sure to check back with the Lineup Generator for the top values at every position.