Show Navigation
Show Menu

FF Tips

Week 9 IDP Hits

By Matt Schauf 11:20am EDT 11/6/21


The Von Miller trade was the big defensive news this week, sending reverberations through 2 teams.

Let’s start with Miller. He leaves a crumbling defense in which just 1 other player (OLB Malik Reed) has more than 2.5 sacks this season. He joins a Rams defense that ranks 6th in the league in sack rate -- before adding Miller. Either Aaron Donald or Leonard Floyd would lead the Broncos in sacks and QB hits for the year.

So Miller steps into what should be his best situation in years. We might have to wait a week to see its effect on his production, though. The ankle injury that knocked Miller out of Week 7 early and kept him out of last week’s game is rendering him a game-time decision for this Sunday night.

Once he’s ready, expect Miller to build on the 4.5 sacks he has generated through 7 outings so far this year. His arrival can only be good for the outlooks of Donald and Floyd as well.

The Rams’ D does face 1 other issue, though. NT Sebastian Joseph-Day aggravated his chest-muscle injury in Thursday’s practice and needs surgery. HC Sean McVay told the team website that he didn’t yet know whether Joseph-Day would be able to return this season. The team has already placed him on IR, and Joseph-Day looks droppable in IDP leagues.

Greg Gaines will fill in for him. Gaines reached 40% playing time just once through the 1st 7 games and never topped 43%. He did get the start last week in place of Joseph-Day, though, and played 69% of snaps. Gaines logged 4 tackles (all assists this time, vs. Houston) for the 2nd straight game and his 2nd half-sack of the year.

For deeper IDP leagues, Gaines is set up in a good place to collect some numbers. He steps in for a guy tied for 5th in total tackles among all D-linemen, despite missing Week 8. Gaines also already ranks 4th among Rams in total pressures on the year, according to Pro Football Focus. He’s 1 ahead of Joseph-Day on 77 fewer pass-rushing snaps, and just 2 behind EDGE Terrell Lewis on 33 fewer snaps. (That meh production from Lewis probably compelled the Rams to make the Miller move.)

Gaines gets an upside matchup this week against Tennessee. Among 40 centers who have played at least 100 snaps this season, Titans C Ben Jones ranks just 26th in PFF pass-blocking grade. He has fared better as a run-blocker, at least, checking in 10th.

Back in Denver, meanwhile, Malik Reed is questionable for Sunday’s game against the Cowboys -- and seems legitimately questionable after aggravating a hip injury in Thursday’s practice. He’s already filling in for Bradley Chubb, who has been out since Week 2 following ankle surgery. The team hopes to get him back for Week 12.

Jonathan Cooper is the current starter in Miller’s place. He delivered 3 QB hits in the Cleveland game Miller left early, but those are the only 3 of the season for the 7th-round rookie. Stephen Weatherly and Aaron Patrick sit behind Cooper and Reed on the depth chart.


Green Bay Packers

EDGE Rashan Gary and DT Kenny Clark get a negative matchup for sack upside with the Chiefs this week, but each could be in for a boost in that category beyond Sunday.

Gary has just 3.5 sacks on the year but has logged the league’s 8th-most total pressures, according to PFF. His 15 QB hits also sit tied for 4th in the NFL. Clark sports just 3 official sacks, but PFF has him 4th among all interior linemen in pressures.

Beyond the K.C. meeting, a Week 10 home date with Seattle and Week 11 trip to Minnesota present sack upside. After a Week 13 bye, there will also be scoring upside to a fantasy schedule that closes with the Bears, Ravens, Browns and Vikings (Week 17).

Baltimore hasn’t been especially good as a sack matchup but has yielded the 4th most fantasy points per game to D-linemen so far.


New Orleans Saints

DE Cameron Jordan is another guy who could be in for a sack boost. He already started his turnaround after going without a sack through 5 games. The veteran notched 1 in each of his past 2 contests. That included 1 last week against the Bucs, who have allowed only 12 total sacks through 8 games.

Jordan’s next 3 weeks -- against the Falcons, Titans and Eagles -- present scoring upside. He also closes the year with positive matchups against the Dolphins and Panthers.

And, really, Jordan has just been a player we trust for production basically throughout his career.


Dallas Cowboys

Similar to Jordan, Cowboys DE Randy Gregory isn’t necessarily a sneaky source for sacks because he tallied 3 over just his past 2 games. But he logged 11 total QB hits over his past 4 and has recently gotten healthier, so he could be in for a boost -- or at least a big game or 2.

This week’s clash with the Broncos presents just such an opportunity, especially with LT Garett Bolles out.


LB Roundup

Let’s run through some key LB situations based on what happened in Week 8:

*** With Kenny Young traded to Denver, the Rams turned to rookie Ernest Jones as the ILB playing-time leader. He started and played 89% of snaps in the blowout win over Houston, leading the team with 9 tackles (7 solo) and adding a half-sack and an INT.

*** The Broncos, meanwhile, inserted Young into the starting lineup right away. But he played just 56% of snaps, trailing fellow new starter Baron Browning. The 3rd-round rookie -- who has been limited by injury this year -- played 68 of 70 snaps and tallied 8 tackles, including 1 for a loss. We’d bet on Browning continuing to play over Young, but we’ll certainly watch to confirm that. Justin Strnad lost his temporary starting gig to the new duo.

*** New Orleans increased the playing time for veteran LB Kwon Alexander in his 2nd game back from an IR stint for an elbow injury. He increased from 29% snap share to 44%, taking away from rookie Pete Werner. The 2nd-rounder has slipped from a season high of 99% in Week 5 to 71% and then 54% the past 2 games. The situation makes neither player usable in our IDP lineups.

*** LB Derrick Barnes led the Lions with 7 tackles (1 for loss) in the Week 8 loss to the Eagles. But he played just 37% of the snaps. That followed 31% playing time in Week 7, both down vs. the previous 2 weeks. Barring some big change coming out of their Week 9 bye, we should just expect the rookie to remain limited in his role this season. Barnes carries long-term intrigue for dynasty leagues, though.

Related Fantasy Football

Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC West 2-21-22

Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC West 2-21-22

7:40am EST 2/21/22

What can Cooper Kupp and the Rams do for an encore? And how should you be using best-ball tournament advance rates to enhance your drafting?

Read More »
Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC South 2-16-22

Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC South 2-16-22

2:10pm EST 2/17/22

Should you be jumping on Michael Thomas and Calvin Ridley as early draft values? Or are there too many questions for anyone in the NFC South to actually be the answer?

Read More »
Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC North 2-2-22

Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC North 2-2-22

1:20pm EST 2/2/22

Where's the early fantasy football value in the NFC North, and how should you treat a Packers roster full of questions in early best-ball drafting?

Read More »
Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC East 2-1-22

Podcast: Best-Ball Study Hall NFC East 2-1-22

12:55pm EST 2/1/22

Does Dak Prescott have regression potential? Is Kenny Golladay a draft target? Let's try to make sense of the NFC East.

Read More »
Dynasty IDP Rankings Decisions: Who Should You Keep?

Dynasty IDP Rankings Decisions: Who Should You Keep?

8:10am EST 1/31/22

It's decision time in dynasty fantasy football leagues. So let's dig into some actual conundrums you might be facing with your IDP roster ...

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 Preview 1-6-22

Podcast: Week 18 Preview 1-6-22

2:10pm EST 1/6/22

The fantasy football season ain't over just yet. So let's dig into the final week of action to figure out who we can start and who we should sit.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentDFS Showdown Tips: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

DFS Showdown Tips: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

4:00pm EST 1/2/22

Are you ready for Mannion Mania?!?

Read More »
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy

Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2022 Draft Package Now - Sept 15th

$39

Get Instant Access
2022 In-Season Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$39

Get Access Sept. 5th
2022 DFS Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$49

Get Access Sept. 5th
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual auto-renew
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool
Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice
Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access
Draft Sharks App
All–Access Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept. 5th Get Access Sept. 5th Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play