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Daniel Jones - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Daniel Jones
NYG

QB NYG

#20 Quarterback

331 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 221
40 Time: 4.72

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#20 Quarterback

331 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 338/533 3864 25 12 386

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

284.7

DS Projection

331

Consensus

38 other sites
329.55

High Ceiling

403.8

Ceiling Likelihood

High
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Jones fell from 15th among QBs in fantasy points per game as a rookie to just 29th last year. But a deeper look reveals some signals of improvement.
  • Jones significantly improved his Pro Football Focus grades in every category.
    • He climbed from 25th in passing grade in 2019 among 29 QBs with 150+ dropbacks to 18th of 41 last season.
    • Jones also went from 27th in rushing grade up to 11th.
  • He also improved as a deep passer. As a rookie, Jones ranked 32nd in adjusted completion rate on deep balls among 38 QBs with 15+ deep attempts, according to PFF. He also ranked just 24th in deep-passing grade. In 2020, Jones jumped to 8th in adjusted completion rate, 3rd in deep-passing grade and #1 in passer rating on deep balls.
  • His propensity for turnovers was 1 of the biggest knocks on Jones’ rookie year. He got better in that category as well. After ranking 36th in turnover-worthy throw percentage in 2019 (among 39 qualifiers), Jones climbed to a tie for 19th among 41 in 2020.
  • Jones brings rushing value. The infamous 80-yard faceplant run at Philly inflated Jones’ rushing numbers a bit in 2020. But he has finished 8th and 5th among QBs in rushing yards per game so far. Even if you change the 80-yard run to his rookie-year average run of 6.2, Jones would still have ranked 9th last season. And 2 of the 7 QBs ahead of him in 2019 were Jeff Driskel and Ryan Finley, who played just 3 games apiece.
  • A large part of Jones’ disappointing sophomore season was a lack of TDs. He ranked 31st in passing-TD rate, tied with Sam Darnold and ahead of only Alex Smith, Cam Newton and Dwayne Haskins (among qualifiers).
    • Part of that was bad luck: According to Pro Football Reference: Jones tied for 20th in red-zone pass attempts and 24th in pass attempts inside the 10. He tied for just 30th in TDs for each range.
    • Another part is the surrounding talent. The Giants tried to address that by giving Kenny Golladay the largest WR contract in free agency, drafting Kadarius Toney in Round 1 and even signing TE Kyle Rudolph, a reliable short-range receiver. The return of RB Saquon Barkley from his ACL tear certainly won’t hurt either.
  • Jones still struggles when pressured. He ranked just 29th in passing grade when pressured last season, among 39 QBs with 50+ pressured dropbacks. That marked a downturn after Jones tied for 14th in that category in 2019. He had issues in that area in college as well.
  • The Giants’ O-line ranked just 27th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted sack rate and last in PFF pass-blocking grade.
  • It’s not clear whether they actually upgraded that unit. The Giants get OT Nate Solder back after he opted out of 2020, but Solder ranked just 52nd in pass-blocking grade for 2019 among 85 tackles with 160+ pass-blocking snaps.
  • The team also dumped G Kevin Zeitler, its highest-graded pass-blocker each of the past 2 years.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

There’s fantasy upside to Jones, which he already showed us as a rookie. Even amid a disappointing sophomore campaign, he offered signals of improvement. The Giants worked to add pass-catching talent this offseason, but an iffy-to-poor offensive line still threatens a QB who has been mistake prone. The best thing about Jones’ fantasy outlook for 2021 is that he’s now going late -- around the bottom of QB2 range. That’s a low/no-risk price.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (ankle, hamstring) is active for today’s game vs. the Ravens. He figures to be operating at less than 100% and isn’t a recommended fantasy play.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (hamstring, ankle) will start tomorrow's game against the Ravens, NFL Network reports. Jones is a shaky fantasy play at less than 100%, but his return is an upgrade for New York's offense.

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Giants QB Daniel Jones (ankle, hamstring) was limited in practice all week and is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Ravens. It sounds like he's trending toward playing, but Jones is no better than a low-end QB2 at less than 100%.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (hamstring, ankle) is inactive for tonight’s game against the Browns. QB Colt McCoy gets the start.

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Giants QB Daniel Jones (hamstring, ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday night’s game vs. the Browns after a limited week of practice. Even if he gets the start, Jones can’t be trusted in fantasy lineups. QB Colt McCoy will play if Jones doesn’t.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

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