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Daniel Jones - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDaniel Jones's Basic Stats

Daniel Jones
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25.5
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 221
40 Time: 4.81
SPARQx (Rank): 92.10 (58%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.60 (82%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.41 (57%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 54.00 (37%)

Daniel Jones's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
192.1 1 0.5 37 15.7
Weekly Writeup
Jones gets a tough matchup against a surging Commanders defense that ranks 7th in Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA and 9th in run defense DVOA over the last 5 weeks. The Giants' 19-point implied total is 5th lowest on the week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
222 1.3 0.8 32.6 17.1

Daniel Jones's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#20 Quarterback

265.9 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 330.8/525 3701.3 22.1 11.6 76 374.8 4.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDaniel Jones's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • The Giants head into 2022 with a new HC (Brian Daboll) and new GM (Joe Schoen), both from Buffalo.
  • Here’s what Daboll said in May regarding his new QB: “We have to develop an offense that fits his skillset, which he has plenty of [skills]. He's athletic. He's big. He's got some mobility to him. I think It's a collaborative effort on some of the stuff he likes and continue to help him improve. He's got a great mindset. He's got some good mental toughness about him. We're taking it day by day."
  • "Something's up with the velocity on [Daniel Jones'] throws," Giants insider Dan Schneier told us on the latest Draft Sharks podcast. "Ball placement is something that's been waning for him since his rookie season ... it seems to be only getting worse. The velocity is a weird thing."
  • The Giants declined the 5th-year option on Jones’ rookie contract this offseason, making 2022 the final year on his contract.
  • The new leadership also added only Tyrod Taylor to the position, passing on multiple opportunities to select a QB in a draft that only saw 1 picked among the first 73 players.
  • Daboll has spoken publicly – on multiple occasions – about encouraging Jones to take shots downfield and worry less about turnovers, especially in practice.
  • Among 35 QBs who attempted at least 20 deep throws last year, Jones ranked dead-last by throwing deep (20+ yards downfield) on just 6.6% of his total attempts, according to Pro Football Focus. He checked in 31st among 38 in 2020 and 21st among 35 back in 2019.
  • His deep rate has declined each of the past 2 years, from 11.8% as a rookie to 9.6% in 2020 and last year’s 6.6%. Jones’ top 3 wideouts in 2019 were Golden Tate, Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard. So the shift seems to be more reticence from a QB who turned the ball over a lot as a rookie rather than a decline in surrounding talent.
  • Among 35 QBs with 600+ attempts since Jones entered the league 3 seasons ago, he ranks just 27th in yards per attempt and 30th in yards per completion.
  • Jones’ average target depth has declined each of the past 2 years. All 3 of his NFL averages in that category have come in shorter than his averages from his final 2 college campaigns, according to PFF.
  • The Giants drafted WR Wan’Dale Robinson in Round 2. Kadarius Toney and Kenny Golladay should each start the season healthier than they spent 2021. Sterling Shepard heads toward 2022 as a big question mark after suffering an Achilles’ tear on Dec. 19.
  • The team let TE Evan Engram walk at the end of his rookie contract, replacing him with low-cost free agents Ricky Seals-Jones and Jordan Akins, and 4th-round rookie Daniel Bellinger.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

There’s room to dissect Jones further as an NFL QB, but there’s not much reason to do so here. Even if the new Giants leadership isn’t committing to him beyond 2022, they’re clearly locked in on him as the guy for the coming season. And you’re not drafting Jones to be a fantasy QB1. He makes plenty of sense as a late QB2 or high-upside QB3, though. Jones looks particularly attractive for best-ball formats, with all of his surrounding pieces going at value in ADP. Kadarius Toney sits earliest among Giants WRs in Underdog ADP as of this writing, at WR48.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Daniel Jones, QB NYG

8:50pm EST 11/24/22

Jones spreads mediocre passing

Giants QB Daniel Jones threw for 228 yards and 1 TD in Thursday's loss to the Cowboys. It marked his 2nd-largest yardage total of the year but just 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Jones targeted 3 different teammates 6 times apiece. WR Richie James caught a team-high 5 passes for 41 yards and the lone TD. Darius Slayton caught 3 balls for 63 yards, with a 44-yard 1st-quarter snag delivering most of that. RB Saquon Barkley was the other 6-target Giant. Week 13 holds a pass-funnel matchup with Washington.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones tossed 2 INTs in Sunday's loss to the Lions. His team trailed 17-6 by halftime and then 24-6 before the middle of the 3rd quarter, which helped drive up passing volume and boost Jones' fantasy numbers. He completed 27 of 44 passes for 341 yards, Jones' 1st game of 300 yards this year and just his 3rd with 200+. Jones threw just 1 TD pass (to WR Richie James) but added 50 yards and a TD on the ground. Jones entered Sunday night as the #2 fantasy QB for the week. Week 12 holds a challenging matchup with the Cowboys.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

The Giants didn't ask QB Daniel Jones to do too much in Sunday's win over the Texans. They dropped him back just 23 times vs. 44 team rushing attempts. Jones took 3 sacks but went 13 of 17 passing for 197 yards (11.6 per attempt) and 2 TDs. He found WR Darius Slayton for a 54-yard score in the 3rd quarter and TE Lawrence Cager for a 9-yard TD. Jones added 24 rushing yards on 5 attempts. He's had just 1 other game of fewer than 21 pass attempts all season and had thrown 27+ passes in 4 straight before the Houston game. Expect a rebound in passing volume, though Week 11 holds another positive rushing matchup with Detroit. Slayton (3-95-1) and TE Tanner Hudson (3-24) were the only Giants to catch more than 2 balls vs. the Texans.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Daniel Jones, QB NYG
Dynasty MVP 251.8
Position Rank #21 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
815
1,367
2,100
Dynasty Write-up
2022 will be Jones' last shot at proving he's New York's long-term QB. New HC Brian Daboll provides the optimism, and the Giants have the potential to trot out a nice group of pass catchers in Saquon Barkley, Kadarius Toney, Kenny Golladay and 2nd-round rookie Wan'Dale Robinson.
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