Daniel Jones - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats

QB NYG

#21 Quarterback

324 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available

Bye: 10

Experience: 2 Yr(s)

Age: 24

Height: 6'5"

Weight: 221

40 Time: 4.72

Weekly Outlook

Med Floor

15.5

DS Projection

21.2

Consensus

38 other sites
21

Low Ceiling

26.5

Rest of
Season

21.4

Week 6 Projections

Yds	TDs	INT	Rush Yds	Fantasy Pts
266	1.3	0.7	28	21.2

Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds	TDs	INT	Rush Yds	Fantasy Pts
245	1.6	0.9	24.5	21.4

Week 5
New York was still in the 2nd quarter of Sunday’s game at Dallas when Jones tried to score from the 1 yard line on a bootleg and was hit short of the goal line. He got up and staggered toward the huddle before he was carted off the field with a concussion. The Giants scored on 4th down to tie the game. That score was more the result of Cowboys turnovers than Jones’ small contribution of 5-for-13 passing for 98 yards and 3 carries for 9 yards. By that time, Jones was playing with a banged-up offense missing WRs Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton and Kenny Golladay and RB Saquon Barkley.
If Jones passes the NFL’s concussion protocol, he’d be stepping into a home game against the Rams likely to be a shootout. Even if he is cleared, with few weapons at his disposal, it seems unlikely that Jones could come close in the game. If there’s any doubt, Jones’s future should be a higher priority than trying to light a fire under a battered team with a 1-4 record and seemingly already out of reach from the Cowboys in the NFC East.

Week 4
Jones put together another monster day as he led the Giants to their first win of the season on the road in New Orleans. He set a career high in yards with 402 and delivered 2 TDs on 28-of-40 passing. He was picked off as well, but he also added 27 yards on the ground.

Both of his TDs came from beyond 50 yards as the Saints D gave up numerous big plays. His 28 completions also tied a career high. It’s worth noting that 4 different receivers caught at least 5 balls from the Duke product.

Jones has now put together 3top-tier performances in the first 4 weeks. His latest outing has vaulted him into fantasy starter territory. We can clearly see what he’s capable of when he takes care of the ball, but we aren’t going all-in yet. Week 5 could be a shootout with Dallas. The game has climbed to the 3rd-highest over/under for the week, as of this writing.

Week 3
Jones threw for 266 yards and rushed for 39 yards in the Week 3 loss to the Falcons. He connected on 24 of his 35 pass attempts, but he was forced to look for other options with injuries to Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard. His fumble bugaboo also crept back in as he put it on the deck twice more, luckily not losing either of them. He added a 2-point conversion as well. This was definitely a downgrade from his Week 2 performance but not all of it was his fault. He has provided the Giants with leads in the 4th quarter in each of the last two games, but it hasn’t been enough. Jones was already hard to trust on a weekly basis for fantasy purposes, but now that Shepard and Slayton may miss some time doesn’t bode well for his Week 4 prospects on the road to New Orleans. The Giants' O-line has also been decimated by injuries, especially along the interior.

Week 2
Jones put together an impressive game that could’ve been even bigger had a few plays went his way. He threw for 249 yards and a TD to WR Darius Slayton, adding 95 yards on the ground and a rushing TD. Jones should’ve had another TD but his 58-yards scamper was thwarted by a phantom holding call downfield. He also should’ve had another TD throw to Slayton that likely would’ve sealed the deal but #86 egregiously dropped it with no one around him. Jones completed 22-of-32 attempts, but the more important stat was 0 turnovers. Jones looked the part that made him a high draft pick a few years back, but then again he has always played well against Washington. WFT had no answer for his RPO game plan as he gashed them numerous times. He was also more comfortable throwing the ball and did all he could to keep him team in it. Still, he needs to be more consistent leading his receivers and not force them to make acrobatic catches. Jones has another good matchup against a Falcons team that just coughed up 48 points to the Bucs last week. Jones is still a risky fantasy starter until we see him do it on a regular basis.

Week 1
The dawning of a new year brings about the same frustrations and troubles for Jones and company. While he may have saved his fantasy stats with a meaningless rushing TD as time expired, it was another uninspiring performance for the Big Blue head man. He totaled 267 yards on 22-of-37 passing with a nice TD pass to WR Sterling Shepard in the 2nd quarter. He did add 27 yards on the ground, too. However, the fumble bug came back and bit him once again as he coughed up his 40th career lost fumble, ultimately killing any chance of a Giants comeback.
The silver lining to it all was that he looked to be building really nice chemistry with WRs Sterling Shepard (7-113-1) and Kenny Golladay (4-64) in the passing game. Flat out, though, he needs to stop carelessly turning the ball over! He is already a liability in fantasy sports, but now he’s reaching untouchable levels where you just can’t trust his decision making. He ranks 34th overall in total QBR over the past 15 games—and you don’t need to be a mathematician to know that is not a good stat. A quick turn-around for a Thursday night matchup with Washington means to stay far away from this situation.

Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

Jones fell from 15th among QBs in fantasy points per game as a rookie to just 29th last year. But a deeper look reveals some signals of improvement.
Jones significantly improved his Pro Football Focus grades in every category.
- He climbed from 25th in passing grade in 2019 among 29 QBs with 150+ dropbacks to 18th of 41 last season.
- Jones also went from 27th in rushing grade up to 11th.
He also improved as a deep passer. As a rookie, Jones ranked 32nd in adjusted completion rate on deep balls among 38 QBs with 15+ deep attempts, according to PFF. He also ranked just 24th in deep-passing grade. In 2020, Jones jumped to 8th in adjusted completion rate, 3rd in deep-passing grade and #1 in passer rating on deep balls.
His propensity for turnovers was 1 of the biggest knocks on Jones’ rookie year. He got better in that category as well. After ranking 36th in turnover-worthy throw percentage in 2019 (among 39 qualifiers), Jones climbed to a tie for 19th among 41 in 2020.
Jones brings rushing value. The infamous 80-yard faceplant run at Philly inflated Jones’ rushing numbers a bit in 2020. But he has finished 8th and 5th among QBs in rushing yards per game so far. Even if you change the 80-yard run to his rookie-year average run of 6.2, Jones would still have ranked 9th last season. And 2 of the 7 QBs ahead of him in 2019 were Jeff Driskel and Ryan Finley, who played just 3 games apiece.
A large part of Jones’ disappointing sophomore season was a lack of TDs. He ranked 31st in passing-TD rate, tied with Sam Darnold and ahead of only Alex Smith, Cam Newton and Dwayne Haskins (among qualifiers).
- Part of that was bad luck: According to Pro Football Reference: Jones tied for 20th in red-zone pass attempts and 24th in pass attempts inside the 10. He tied for just 30th in TDs for each range.
- Another part is the surrounding talent. The Giants tried to address that by giving Kenny Golladay the largest WR contract in free agency, drafting Kadarius Toney in Round 1 and even signing TE Kyle Rudolph, a reliable short-range receiver. The return of RB Saquon Barkley from his ACL tear certainly won’t hurt either.
Jones still struggles when pressured. He ranked just 29th in passing grade when pressured last season, among 39 QBs with 50+ pressured dropbacks. That marked a downturn after Jones tied for 14th in that category in 2019. He had issues in that area in college as well.
The Giants’ O-line ranked just 27th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted sack rate and last in PFF pass-blocking grade.
It’s not clear whether they actually upgraded that unit. The Giants get OT Nate Solder back after he opted out of 2020, but Solder ranked just 52nd in pass-blocking grade for 2019 among 85 tackles with 160+ pass-blocking snaps.
The team also dumped G Kevin Zeitler, its highest-graded pass-blocker each of the past 2 years.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

There’s fantasy upside to Jones, which he already showed us as a rookie. Even amid a disappointing sophomore campaign, he offered signals of improvement. The Giants worked to add pass-catching talent this offseason, but an iffy-to-poor offensive line still threatens a QB who has been mistake prone. The best thing about Jones’ fantasy outlook for 2021 is that he’s now going late -- around the bottom of QB2 range. That’s a low/no-risk price.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (concussion) isn't listed on the final injury report. He's been cleared to start Sunday's game vs. the Rams. Jones finished as a top 12 fantasy QB in 3 of the season's first 4 weeks and is back in the low-end QB1 discussion for Week 6.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (concussion) will be a full participant in Friday's practice and "appears" on track to start Sunday's game vs. the Rams, HC Joe Judge said Friday morning. Jones still needs to be cleared by an independent neurologist in order to play this weekend, but it sounds like that's expected to happen. Jones is a borderline QB1 for Week 6 and an upgrade over QB Mike Glennon for all of New York's skill-position players.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (concussion) has been cleared to practice on a limited basis on Thursday. He's made some progress through the protocol but still has work to do to be cleared for Sunday's game vs. the Rams. Check back tomorrow for another update on his status.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants HC Joe Judge said Wednesday that QB Daniel Jones is "on track with everything" in his return from the Week 5 concussion and might play Sunday against the Rams, according to ESPN's Jordan Raanan. That's a little surprising given how wobbly Jones was before leaving the field in Dallas. We'll obviously have to watch his status throughout the week.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (concussion) did not practice on Wednesday. Reporters spotting him on the field doing some soft toss, so he's evidently made some progress through the protocol. Still, Jones is no better than 50/50 to start Sunday's game vs. the Rams. QB Mike Glennon will get the nod if Jones isn't cleared.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

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