Daniel Jones - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats

QB NYG

#21 Quarterback

324 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available

Bye: 10

Experience: 2 Yr(s)

Age: 24

Height: 6'5"

Weight: 221

40 Time: 4.72

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 12
Jones threw for 202 yards and a TD in the Week 12 win over an Eagles squad that played him tough. He completed 19 of his 30 attempts while connecting with 8 different receivers. However, none of the receivers—besides RB Saquon Barkley—caught more than 3 balls.

Jones’ lone TD went to backup TE Chris Myarick to put the G-Men up 10-0 in the 3rd quarter. Jones also rushed the ball 9 times for 30 yards.

This was a cleaner game for Jones, who had Freddie Kitchens calling plays for the first time, following OC Jason Garrett’s firing. There were more wrinkles and action pre-snap but also looked like there were more manageable routes being run.

Jones has now thrown a TD pass in 5 straight games. He also suffered a neck injury late in the win that will likely keep him out of action this week, though HC Joe Judge refused to rule him out as of Wednesday and said Jones would practice this week.

The Giants are on the road for 4 of the next 5 games, starting with a resurgent Miami D that hasn’t allowed more than 17 points to an opponent during its current 4-game winning streak. Mike Glennon is expected to start for the Giants.

Week 11
Jones had another forgettable game on the big stage as he led his Giants team to a 30-10 loss on Monday to the defending champion Buccaneers. He threw for 167 yards, 1 TD and 2 egregious INTs while completing 23 of his 38 pass attempts. The INTs were two of the worst in the league this year, and the lone end zone score for the Giants was a 2-yard TD to LT Andrew Thomas. Not quite an explosive offense when the best play of the night came from your left tackle.
Jones looked all out of sorts as the Buccaneers defense sat back in zone and feasted on Jones’ bad decisions. There are a couple of silver linings to take from the game, however, as Jones hooked up with rookie WR Kadarius Toney for 7 receptions and RB Saquon Barkley for 6. The other is Jason Garrett has finally been relieved of his duties as offensive coordinator. Special offensive assistant—and former head coach of the Cleveland Browns—Freddie Kitchens will assume play calling duties. Hopefully he can recreate some of the magic he and QB Baker Mayfield had when he stepped in midyear for the Browns in 2019. Don’t expect too much on the short week as the Giants host the Eagles this weekend.

Week 9
Jones managed 110 passing yards and a TD, adding 17 yards on the ground in the Week 9 victory over the Raiders. He connected on 15 of his 20 pass attempts in arguably his most efficient game of the season. No pass catcher had more than 40 yards receiving as he managed the game well—aside from another lost fumble. His TD came on an impressive 75-yard opening drive where he found TE Evan Engram on a perfect throw up the right sidelines. Jones didn’t need to do any more than he did as the Giants defense wreaked havoc on the Raiders. If he can play sound football and not turn the ball over, the Giants can be a sneaky team to play against. It’s now the 3rd straight game the Giants have held teams to 20 or fewer points, and they are 2-1 in that time. The Giants next take the field in Week 11 to take on the Buccaneers on Monday night after a much needed bye this week.

Week 8
Jones hit 22 of his 32 attempts and collected 222 passing yards and 2 TDs in the Week 8 loss on Monday night to Kansas City. He also threw an egregious INT on his 1st attempt of the game. Jones added 12 yards on the ground while taking numerous heavy hits in the process. Both TDs were to TEs Kyle Rudolph and Evan Engram, each from inside the 5.

Jones looked good beyond that first throw. His passes were on time and accurate, but he continued to be hampered by an injury-ravaged receiving corps. If the Giants ever get to full strength on offense, Jones could have some serious fantasy upside.

Until RB Saquon Barkley and others get back, however, Jones’ outlook remains limited. The Raiders come to town this weekend.

Week 7
Jones threw for 203 yards and 1 TD on 23-of-33 passing in the Week 7 victory over the Panthers. He added 28 rushing yards and an impressive 16-yard one-handed catch. Nine different receivers caught a ball from Jones with TE Evan Engram (6) and WRs Darius Slayton and Dante Pettis (5 apiece) leading the way. The lone passing TD went to Pettis, the same player who threw Jones the pass.
This was a nice bounce back game for Jones after the dreadful performance against the Rams in Week 6. Although the stats weren’t that impressive, the Giants had this game in hand in the 2nd half and he did a nice job of managing the offense. That’s not necessarily a good thing for fantasy purposes, but it builds on the hope that he can get the job done with limited weapons. The Giants head to Kansas City on Monday night to take on the reeling Chiefs. Jones will be a viable spot starter in that one.

Week 6
Jones had a forgettable game in the blowout loss to the Rams in Week 6, finishing with 242 pass yards and 4 turnovers. Three of them were picks with the other coming as a strip sack. The first play from scrimmage foretold a long day as he fumbled. He connected on 29 pass completions in his 51 attempts with many of them coming in garbage time.
Jones had been extremely efficient leading up to this game, but he grossly reverted back to his old ways in this one. We’re willing to give him a pass, but use this as a reminder of his past performances. He will look to get back on track against a Panthers team that is on a 3-game losing streak.

Week 5
New York was still in the 2nd quarter of Sunday’s game at Dallas when Jones tried to score from the 1 yard line on a bootleg and was hit short of the goal line. He got up and staggered toward the huddle before he was carted off the field with a concussion. The Giants scored on 4th down to tie the game. That score was more the result of Cowboys turnovers than Jones’ small contribution of 5-for-13 passing for 98 yards and 3 carries for 9 yards. By that time, Jones was playing with a banged-up offense missing WRs Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton and Kenny Golladay and RB Saquon Barkley.
If Jones passes the NFL’s concussion protocol, he’d be stepping into a home game against the Rams likely to be a shootout. Even if he is cleared, with few weapons at his disposal, it seems unlikely that Jones could come close in the game. If there’s any doubt, Jones’s future should be a higher priority than trying to light a fire under a battered team with a 1-4 record and seemingly already out of reach from the Cowboys in the NFC East.

Week 4
Jones put together another monster day as he led the Giants to their first win of the season on the road in New Orleans. He set a career high in yards with 402 and delivered 2 TDs on 28-of-40 passing. He was picked off as well, but he also added 27 yards on the ground.

Both of his TDs came from beyond 50 yards as the Saints D gave up numerous big plays. His 28 completions also tied a career high. It’s worth noting that 4 different receivers caught at least 5 balls from the Duke product.

Jones has now put together 3top-tier performances in the first 4 weeks. His latest outing has vaulted him into fantasy starter territory. We can clearly see what he’s capable of when he takes care of the ball, but we aren’t going all-in yet. Week 5 could be a shootout with Dallas. The game has climbed to the 3rd-highest over/under for the week, as of this writing.

Week 3
Jones threw for 266 yards and rushed for 39 yards in the Week 3 loss to the Falcons. He connected on 24 of his 35 pass attempts, but he was forced to look for other options with injuries to Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard. His fumble bugaboo also crept back in as he put it on the deck twice more, luckily not losing either of them. He added a 2-point conversion as well. This was definitely a downgrade from his Week 2 performance but not all of it was his fault. He has provided the Giants with leads in the 4th quarter in each of the last two games, but it hasn’t been enough. Jones was already hard to trust on a weekly basis for fantasy purposes, but now that Shepard and Slayton may miss some time doesn’t bode well for his Week 4 prospects on the road to New Orleans. The Giants' O-line has also been decimated by injuries, especially along the interior.

Week 2
Jones put together an impressive game that could’ve been even bigger had a few plays went his way. He threw for 249 yards and a TD to WR Darius Slayton, adding 95 yards on the ground and a rushing TD. Jones should’ve had another TD but his 58-yards scamper was thwarted by a phantom holding call downfield. He also should’ve had another TD throw to Slayton that likely would’ve sealed the deal but #86 egregiously dropped it with no one around him. Jones completed 22-of-32 attempts, but the more important stat was 0 turnovers. Jones looked the part that made him a high draft pick a few years back, but then again he has always played well against Washington. WFT had no answer for his RPO game plan as he gashed them numerous times. He was also more comfortable throwing the ball and did all he could to keep him team in it. Still, he needs to be more consistent leading his receivers and not force them to make acrobatic catches. Jones has another good matchup against a Falcons team that just coughed up 48 points to the Bucs last week. Jones is still a risky fantasy starter until we see him do it on a regular basis.

Week 1
The dawning of a new year brings about the same frustrations and troubles for Jones and company. While he may have saved his fantasy stats with a meaningless rushing TD as time expired, it was another uninspiring performance for the Big Blue head man. He totaled 267 yards on 22-of-37 passing with a nice TD pass to WR Sterling Shepard in the 2nd quarter. He did add 27 yards on the ground, too. However, the fumble bug came back and bit him once again as he coughed up his 40th career lost fumble, ultimately killing any chance of a Giants comeback.
The silver lining to it all was that he looked to be building really nice chemistry with WRs Sterling Shepard (7-113-1) and Kenny Golladay (4-64) in the passing game. Flat out, though, he needs to stop carelessly turning the ball over! He is already a liability in fantasy sports, but now he’s reaching untouchable levels where you just can’t trust his decision making. He ranks 34th overall in total QBR over the past 15 games—and you don’t need to be a mathematician to know that is not a good stat. A quick turn-around for a Thursday night matchup with Washington means to stay far away from this situation.

Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

Jones fell from 15th among QBs in fantasy points per game as a rookie to just 29th last year. But a deeper look reveals some signals of improvement.
Jones significantly improved his Pro Football Focus grades in every category.
- He climbed from 25th in passing grade in 2019 among 29 QBs with 150+ dropbacks to 18th of 41 last season.
- Jones also went from 27th in rushing grade up to 11th.
He also improved as a deep passer. As a rookie, Jones ranked 32nd in adjusted completion rate on deep balls among 38 QBs with 15+ deep attempts, according to PFF. He also ranked just 24th in deep-passing grade. In 2020, Jones jumped to 8th in adjusted completion rate, 3rd in deep-passing grade and #1 in passer rating on deep balls.
His propensity for turnovers was 1 of the biggest knocks on Jones’ rookie year. He got better in that category as well. After ranking 36th in turnover-worthy throw percentage in 2019 (among 39 qualifiers), Jones climbed to a tie for 19th among 41 in 2020.
Jones brings rushing value. The infamous 80-yard faceplant run at Philly inflated Jones’ rushing numbers a bit in 2020. But he has finished 8th and 5th among QBs in rushing yards per game so far. Even if you change the 80-yard run to his rookie-year average run of 6.2, Jones would still have ranked 9th last season. And 2 of the 7 QBs ahead of him in 2019 were Jeff Driskel and Ryan Finley, who played just 3 games apiece.
A large part of Jones’ disappointing sophomore season was a lack of TDs. He ranked 31st in passing-TD rate, tied with Sam Darnold and ahead of only Alex Smith, Cam Newton and Dwayne Haskins (among qualifiers).
- Part of that was bad luck: According to Pro Football Reference: Jones tied for 20th in red-zone pass attempts and 24th in pass attempts inside the 10. He tied for just 30th in TDs for each range.
- Another part is the surrounding talent. The Giants tried to address that by giving Kenny Golladay the largest WR contract in free agency, drafting Kadarius Toney in Round 1 and even signing TE Kyle Rudolph, a reliable short-range receiver. The return of RB Saquon Barkley from his ACL tear certainly won’t hurt either.
Jones still struggles when pressured. He ranked just 29th in passing grade when pressured last season, among 39 QBs with 50+ pressured dropbacks. That marked a downturn after Jones tied for 14th in that category in 2019. He had issues in that area in college as well.
The Giants’ O-line ranked just 27th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted sack rate and last in PFF pass-blocking grade.
It’s not clear whether they actually upgraded that unit. The Giants get OT Nate Solder back after he opted out of 2020, but Solder ranked just 52nd in pass-blocking grade for 2019 among 85 tackles with 160+ pass-blocking snaps.
The team also dumped G Kevin Zeitler, its highest-graded pass-blocker each of the past 2 years.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

There’s fantasy upside to Jones, which he already showed us as a rookie. Even amid a disappointing sophomore campaign, he offered signals of improvement. The Giants worked to add pass-catching talent this offseason, but an iffy-to-poor offensive line still threatens a QB who has been mistake prone. The best thing about Jones’ fantasy outlook for 2021 is that he’s now going late -- around the bottom of QB2 range. That’s a low/no-risk price.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

New Giants GM Joe Schoen threw his support behind QB Daniel Jones at his introductory press conference on Wednesday. "We'll build an offense around Daniel to accentuate what he does best," Schoen said. "I know he's a great kid ... The kid has physical ability. He's got arm strength, he's athletic, he can run. I'm really excited to work with Daniel." Jones has failed to show tangible improvement over his first 3 NFL seasons and missed the final 6 games of 2021 with a neck injury. We'll see when he's cleared from that injury -- and who Schoen and the Giants hire as HC and OC. But Jones can't be considered more than a low-end QB2 in early 2022 fantasy drafts.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

The Giants are expected to bring back HC Joe Judge and QB Daniel Jones for the 2022 season, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. It's a head scratcher considering that duo has had very little success. The Giants are 10-20 since Judge took over in 2020, while Jones' play has been consistently inconsistent since arriving as the 6th overall pick of the 2019 NFL Draft. If the Giants indeed stick with these guys for 2022, it'll be tough to get excited about the offense for fantasy purposes.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones will be shut down for the rest of the season with his neck injury, HC Joe Judge said Monday. Judge called the move "precautionary" and said this neck injury isn't expected to be a long-term issue for Jones. Some combination of QBs Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm will close out the season for the G-Men.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (neck) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Cowboys. QB Mike Glennon will get another start, but QB Jake Fromm reportedly might mix in. It’s obviously a situation to avoid in fantasy lineups.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

Giants QB Daniel Jones (neck) is not expected to be cleared for Sunday's game vs. the Cowboys, according to The Athletic's Dan Duggan. “Nothing is ruled out beyond that, so it is expected to remain a week-to-week evaluation,” Duggan added. QB Mike Glennon will get another start this weekend. He's completed just 50% of his passes and averaged a pathetic 4.7 yards per attempt over the past 2 weeks.

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