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Davis Mills - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDavis Mills's Basic Stats

Davis Mills
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.87
SPARQx (Rank): 89.50 (48%)
Burst Score (Rank): 111.00 (52%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.35 (65%)

Davis Mills's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Davis Mills's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#28 Quarterback

225.6 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 346.1/545 3842 20.3 12.8 27 67.5 2.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDavis Mills's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Mills, a former top recruit, started only 11 games at Stanford.
  • At 6’4, 217 pounds, he showed an ability to make all of the throws. His mobility is close to non-existent, though. He has a history of issues with his left knee.
  • A 2021 Round 3 pick, Mills saw the field with Deshaun Watson sitting out and fill-in Tyrod Taylor suffering an early-season injury.
  • Mills started from Weeks 3-8 but was largely overmatched.
  • A struggling Taylor was benched from Week 14 on. Mills stepped in with a decent 74.6% adjusted completion rate over the final 5 games. That ranked 19th among 31 QBs with 350+ dropbacks.
  • Overall, Mills finished as a QB1 4 times, adding a QB13 finish.
  • Houston passed on adding a rookie QB in the draft. Mills will be the guy for new HC Lovie Smith.
  • Smith praised Mills over the offseason, saying he believes Mills will be an “excellent” QB. “Having a year, he and [offensive coordinator] Pep Hamilton getting on the same page with our offense, and him being in a role from the start, that’s different also. But that’s what you do. You have a chance for him to establish himself as one of our primary leaders each day.”
  • The Texans added John Metchie in the draft. Coming off a December ACL tear, he’s unlikely to be an early-season factor.
  • Brandin Cooks returns following his 6th 1,000-yard season over the past 7 years. Nico Collins brings some sneaky breakout appeal as a 2nd-year Round 3 pick.
  • The TE spot doesn’t have any established presence, but 2nd-year man Brevin Jordan brings a pass-first skill set and ended 2021 strong.
  • Houston’s O-line ranked just 23rd in PFF’s pass-blocking grade last year.
  • A now-healthy Laremy Tunsil and a couple of new arrivals — including Round 1 OG Kenyon Green — signals likely improvement.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

A Round 3 rookie, Mills was thrown into the fire early on. He flopped — predictably — on an offense that didn’t provide much support.

Given another chance late in the season, though, Mills flashed starter-quality ability.

But that was as a passer. Mills posted only 44 rushing yards across 13 total appearances.

That lack of rushing upside — and a still largely unproven supporting cast — keeps the young passer buried in the ranks.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Davis Mills, QB HOU

9:54pm EST 12/13/22

Texans likely sticking with QB committee

Texans HC Lovie Smith wouldn't say for sure whether both QB Davis Mills and QB Jeff Driskel would play vs. the Chiefs this weekend, but it sure sounds like he's leaning in that direction. “I thought it was effective,” Smith said. “Two different flavors, and that’s always tough for a defense to prepare with what we were doing with them. As far as what we’re going to do this week going forward, we started evaluating and seeing what we need to do against another good division-leading Kansas City football team. We’ll see how that goes, but both quarterbacks were productive." Mills and Driskel split snaps right down the middle in last week's loss to the Cowboys. Mills completed 16 of 21 passes for 175 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT. Driskel was more Taysom-Hill lite, going just 4-for-6 for 38 yards and a TD passing but running it 7 times for 36 yards. Of course, neither guy is an option at QB in any fantasy setup. But Driskel has TE eligibility on some platforms, putting him in play as a Week 15 flier.

View all Davis Mills Shark Bites »

Texans QB Davis Mills will start Sunday's game vs. the Cowboys, insider Aaron Wilson reports. QB Kyle Allen was a disaster the past 2 weeks, averaging 5.3 yards per pass attempt with 2 TDs vs. 4 INTs. Mills wasn't very good over the first 10 games of the season, but we'd consider him a slight upgrade for the offense.

View all Davis Mills Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Mike Garafolo reports that Texans QB Kyle Allen will start Sunday's game vs. the Dolphins. HC Lovie Smith declined to name a starter at Wednesday's press conference, but QB Davis Mills is evidently getting yanked. Mills has been 1 of the worst QBs in the league this season, averaging 6.5 yards per attempt with 11 TDs vs. 11 INTs. He ranks 21st among 31 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus' passing grades. Allen doesn't project as a tangible upgrade, though. He owns a career 63% completion rate, 6.9 yards-per-attempt average and 24-to-17 TD:INT ratio. Hopefully you can avoid Houston's passing game in fantasy lineups this week. Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins would be shaky WR3 plays.

View all Kyle Allen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Davis Mills, QB HOU
Dynasty MVP 410.6
Position Rank #1 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
1,829
2,073
2,073
Dynasty Write-up
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