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Diontae Johnson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDiontae Johnson's Basic Stats

Diontae Johnson
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26.4
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 183
40 Time: 4.53
Speed Score: 83.30
SPARQx (Rank): 95.30 (23%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.50 (35%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.54 (17%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.74 (7%)

Diontae Johnson's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 43.8 0.3 6.4
Weekly Writeup
Johnson is up to 105 targets without a TD this season. No WR tallied more than 101 targets without a TD over the previous 10 seasons.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.6 51.8 0.4 7.6

Diontae Johnson's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#30 Wide Receiver

137 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 87.4 969.9 6.5 2.4 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDiontae Johnson's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Johnson finished 8th among WRs in PPR points in 2021. He also ranked 3rd at the position in targets and 5th in receptions.
  • Johnson dominated target share in Pittsburgh last year, claiming 28% vs. just 18.1% for Chase Claypool. He ranked 6th among all WRs in that category.
  • The divide was much narrower on targeted air yards. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Johnson led the team at 32.4% of targeted air yards, with Claypool at 27.2%.
  • Johnson’s average depth of target increased last season vs. 2020. But both numbers came up short of his rate for 2019, when Ben Roethlisberger barely played. Johnson ranked just 79th in ADOT last year among 103 WRs with 40+ targets, according to Pro Football Focus.
  • Johnson has ranked among the bottom half of qualifying pass-catchers in yards after catch per reception over expectation in each of his 3 seasons. That means he hasn’t been generating more after the catch than what’s expected.
  • The Steelers added WR George Pickens in Round 2 of the draft, and WR Calvin Austin in Round 4.
  • If Pickens proves ready to run among the top 3 Pittsburgh WRs early in his rookie season, we’ll have to see who plays the slot most often. Johnson presents the most common body type for the position, but Claypool sports the most experience in that spot – from early in his college career.
  • The Steelers also signed Gunner Olszewski in free agency. His primary role figures to be kick returner, but Olszewski could factor into the slot picture just as Ray-Ray McCloud did last season after JuJu Smith-Schuster went down.
  • The departures of those 2 plus James Washington left behind more than 20% target share from the 2021 offense.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Johnson has become a target hog through his 3 seasons in Pittsburgh. That volume drove WR1 performance in 2021. The switch at QB, additions at WR and potential for growth in Chase Claypool (maybe?) could ding that share. There’s potential for Johnson to also add depth to his targets with Ben Roethlisberger gone, but any loss of target volume would likely hurt Johnson more than Claypool because of the way he has scored points so far. And even if his role remains similar, we’d bet on some loss in total pass volume for an offense that passed at the league’s 4th-highest rate last year. Some downside risk has been baked into Johnson’s ADP, which finds him 15th among WRs in FFPC best-ball drafting as of this writing; 18th in Underdog drafts. Both numbers still sit a little ahead of our projections for Johnson, though. He’s still OK to consider in that range but isn’t a target player for us at cost.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Diontae Johnson, WR PIT

5:00pm EST 12/4/22

Johnson dominates targets; Pickens nearly invisible

Steelers WR Diontae Johnson racked up 11 targets among 28 Kenny Pickett pass attempts in Sunday's win over the Falcons. That marked a 39.3% target share, in a game that saw no other Steeler top 5 looks. TE Pat Freiermuth finished 2nd, catching 3 of 5 targets for 76 yards. RB Jaylen Warren was the only other Pittsburgh player to catch more than 1 pass. WRs George Pickens and Steven Sims matched Warren at 2 targets. Pickens caught just 1 ball for 2 yards. Next for Pittsburgh comes the season's 1st matchup with the Ravens, who have been playing the run tougher than the pass.

View all Diontae Johnson Shark Bites »

Steelers WR George Pickens caught 4 of 6 targets for 83 yards and a TD in Sunday's loss to the Bengals. He had 2 other targets wiped out by penalties, 1 an offensive hold and the other a defensive PI. Pickens also dropped a 2nd-half deep ball that would have added significant yardage to his line. WR Diontae Johnson matched Pickens' 4 catches but tallied just 21 yards. Next comes a potential pass-funnel matchup with the Colts and then the soft Atlanta defense.

View all George Pickens Shark Bites »

Steelers TE Pat Freiermuth doubled his nearest teammate in targets in Sunday's loss to the Bengals. His 12 looks accounted for 28.6% of Pittsburgh's total pass attempts. Freiermuth's 8 catches also doubled the nearest Steeler, while his 79 yards trailed WR George Pickens' team lead. It's the 2nd 8-catch game among the past 4 for Freiermuth, who has seen 7+ targets in 4 straight and 7 of his 8 healthy outings for the year.

View all Pat Freiermuth Shark Bites »

Steelers WR Diontae Johnson caught 4 balls for 63 yards on 5 targets to lead a lackluster passing effort in Sunday's win over the Saints. TE Pat Freiermuth tied Johnson for the team lead in catches. RB Jaylen Warren and WR George Pickens checked in next at 3 receptions apiece, with rookie TE Connor Hayward the only other Steeler to catch multiple passes. Week 11 brings a Bengals defense that has been better than New Orleans'.

View all Diontae Johnson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Diontae Johnson, WR PIT
Dynasty MVP 116.9
Position Rank #48 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
412
670
794
Dynasty Write-up
Can Kenny Pickett or Mitchell Trubisky become a long-term QB solution? Questionable. But we believe in the former 3rd-round pick who has dominated target share in Pittsburgh the past 2 years. Only Stefon Diggs, Davante Adams and Cooper Kupp amassed more total targets than Johnson over that span.

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