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Isaiah Likely - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsIsaiah Likely's Basic Stats

Isaiah Likely
ADP: 15.9
Bye: 14
Experience: 3
Age: 24.1
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 241
40 Time: 4.88
Burst Score (Rank): 124.50 (84%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.96 (11%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.90 (33%)

Isaiah Likely's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.5 16.5 0.14 2.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.4 15.9 0.1 2.4

Isaiah Likely's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#37 Tight End

45.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
15.9 27 299.2 2.54 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsIsaiah Likely's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Likely is an enticing talent for the position, but he’s blocked from fantasy relevance whenever Mark Andrews is healthy. Likely should only be stashed in dynasty leagues and deep TE-premium redraft formats. Even in those spots, he’s not exciting.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Likely continued to fill in well when Mark Andrews went down, but he’s no Andrews.
  • From Week 12 on (after Andrews’ left-leg injury), Likely ranked just 20th in target share among TEs. Andrews remained top-5 for the season.
  • Likely did beat Andrews in yards per catch, thanks primarily to his 7.2 yards after catch per reception. That more than made up for a 7.4-yard aDOT that trailed Andrews by 1.2 and ranked 10th on the team. It lined up with Likely’s rookie-year aDOT, though.
  • Likely’s alignments changed in his second season.
    • As a rookie, he spent 62.2% of pass snaps in the slot (according to PFF), 18.9% out side, and just 18.6% inline.
    • In 2023, he went 52.6% slot, 6.0% wide, and 40.9% inline.
    • That rate of inline snaps nearly quadrupled Andrews’ rate (10.4%) and sat much higher than even Andrews’ career high (28.1% in 2018).

What to Expect in 2024

  • Perhaps that difference in alignments can help Likely find more playing time going forward. But his first two years have showed us that we shouldn’t expect much whenever Mark Andrews is healthy.
    • Likely caught just eight total passes in 10 games shared with Andrews last season. Half of those came in a blowout win over Seattle that Andrews and other starters left early.
    • In 2022, Likely averaged 1.6 catches and 13.8 yards over 14 full games shared with Andrews.
  • That Andrews block – and he’s signed through 2025 – leaves little else to say about Likely. It doesn’t really matter how good he is without the non-handcuff path to opportunities.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Mark Andrews, TE BAL

10:42am EST 1/26/24

Mark Andrews officially ready

The Ravens have activated TE Mark Andrews (ankle) from IR. That solidifies his readiness to play Sunday against the Chiefs. Will he immediately reclaim his pre-injury role? TE Isaiah Likely has played well with Andrews out, and OC Todd Monken told the team website that will factor into how they determine usage. Ultimately, Andrews makes for a risk-reward fantasy play this weekend. Likely gains risk with the return of Andrews but remains in play for small-slate DFS contests. And QB Lamar Jackson can only gain upside with the return of -- historically -- his top target.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

The Ravens expect TE Mark Andrews to play in Sunday's AFC Championship vs. the Chiefs, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. It'd be Andrews' first game since suffering a cracked fibula and ankle ligament damage on November 16. Andrews practiced all last week, including full workouts on Wednesday and Thursday, but was held out of the Texans game. We'll look for more info on how big a role Andrews is expected to play on Sunday and update his projections accordingly.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

The Ravens aren't expected to activate TE Mark Andrews (ankle) from IR ahead of Saturday's game against the Texans, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Andrews has been a full practice participant this week, so we'd guess he'll be ready for next weekend's game -- should Baltimore beat Houston this weekend. His absence will keep TE Isaiah Likely in the starting lineup against a defense that's been third most friendly in the league to TE scoring. Likely sits fourth among TEs in our rankings for the Divisional Round. But he sports upside beyond that position.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

The Ravens have designated TE Mark Andrews to return from IR. That opens a three-week window for him to practice before the team must decide whether to return him to the active roster. This move doesn't necessarily mean Andrews will be ready for Baltimore's playoff opener next weekend -- or at all during the playoffs. But it's obviously a positive step in that direction. Keep in mind that Andrews remains a high-risk option for full-playoff fantasy football contests. But we have moved the TE up our playoff rankings. We'll keep tracking his progress.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews appears on track to return from his leg injury at some point during the playoffs -- and perhaps even by Baltimore's first game. Greg Scholz of Inside Injuries says (via The Athletic) their data "suggests [Andrews] will reach Optimal Recovery before Baltimore's first game." That would come in Round 2, after the Ravens' bye in the Wild Card round. HC John Harbaugh most recently said in late December that Andrews had avoided setbacks and might even be "a little ahead of schedule" in his rehab, according to Baltimore Beatdown. Andrews suffered a fibula fracture and high-ankle sprain in Week 11 that required surgery shortly thereafter. His return would obviously be good news for the Ravens' offense. It would also hurt the playoff outlook for replacement TE Isaiah Likely. Andrews makes for a boom/bust option in playoff fantasy contests. We likely won't know until next weekend whether Andrews will play in that game. And we can't know until he takes the field whether Andrews will need to work through any limitations. Returning from high-ankle sprains can be especially tricky. Whether you should take a shot on Andrews depends heavily on your contest type. We'd downgrade Likely's standing at least a bit, though.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Isaiah Likely, TE BAL
Dynasty MVP 36.5
Position Rank #49 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
112
186
349
Dynasty Write-up
Missed time from Mark Andrews helped Likely hit 10 PPR points four times down the stretch in 2023. We love the talent here. Realistically, though, Likely will be tough to peg as a breakout candidate in the near future. Andrews is under contract for two more seasons.
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