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Jonathan Taylor - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJonathan Taylor's Basic Stats

Jonathan Taylor
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 4
Age: 25.7
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.39

SPARQx (Rank): 120.50 (79%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.70 (72%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.25 (68%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.01

Jonathan Taylor's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
67.6 0.5 1.8 13.8 0.1 11.2

Jonathan Taylor's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#7 Running Back

232.1 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 271.3 1209 8.68 7.6 1.6 31.4 245.2 1.07

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJonathan Taylor's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Taylor dealt with multiple injuries last season but still was effective on the ground with five RB1 performances. As the focal point of the offense, Taylor’s talent was able to overcome defenses keying in on him.

He hasn’t played a game with Anthony Richardson yet, so there is still some unknown of how Taylor will work with the young QB. The Steichen offense also leaves questions about Taylor’s pass-game usage.

Taylor’s talent will win out and he should be a rock solid RB1. Richardson being at QB could open up rushing lanes as well for even more efficiency.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Taylor missed the first four games of the season rehabbing a high-ankle sprain. He also missed three weeks (Week 13-15) due to a torn ligament in his thumb.
  • Taylor’s 741 rushing yards ranked 29th among RBs. His 19 catches ranked 50th among RBs.
  • Taylor ranked as the PPR RB33 in total fantasy points (156.4) and RB11 in points per game (15.6).
    • He finished RB12 or better five times. He recorded two games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 23rd among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 49.1%.
  • He played 69% of the Colts offensive snaps last season.
  • His per-game averages in his 10 games played were below his career average:
    • 16.9 carries (17.5)
    • 74.1 rushing yards (86.5)
    • 0.70 rushing TDs (0.75)
    • 2.30 targets (2.89)
    • 1.90 catches (2.32)
    • 15.3 receiving yards (18.0)
    • 0.10 receiving TDs (0.08)
  • Taylor was a fairly effective runner still. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, he ranked:
    • 29th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 20th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 17th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • He took a step back in receiving metrics, however. Among 59 RBs with 20+ targets, Taylor ranked:
    • 27th in PFF receiving grade
    • 40th in yards per route run
  • Taylor did not play a full game with Anthony Richardson.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Taylor enters his second season with the Colts under HC and play caller Shane Steichen and OC Jim Bob Cooter.
  • The Colts are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit 20th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +6000 on most sportsbooks, third highest in the division.
  • Taylor enters his fifth season at 25 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Taylor’s career and profile will produce at 97% of his peak value at age 25.
  • With only Trey Sermon, Evan Hull, and Tyler Goodson behind him on the depth chart, Taylor has a chance to dominate backfield work this season.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jonathan Taylor, RB IND

1:28pm EDT 10/4/24

Jonathan Taylor OUT For Week 5

Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (ankle) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Jaguars. He didn’t practice all week and didn’t seem close to playing in this one. Consider JT no better than 50/50 for Week 6. His absence on Sunday leaves Indianapolis’ backfield to RBs Trey Sermon and Tyler Goodson. RB Evan Hull could be elevated from the practice squad. HC Shane Steichen said Friday that “it'll be running back by committee this week.” We’re expecting Sermon to lead the way, but he’s only a RB3 or Flex in fantasy lineups.

View all Jonathan Taylor Shark Bites »

Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (ankle) did not practice on Wednesday. Although his high-ankle sprain is reportedly "mild," he's still unlikely to play vs. the Jaguars this weekend. Taylor's absence would leave Trey Sermon as the Colts' lead back, with Tyler Goodson the No. 2. Sermon sits in RB3 territory in the Week 4 Rankings.

View all Jonathan Taylor Shark Bites »

Colts HC Shane Steichen said Monday that the team isn't planning to place RB Jonathan Taylor (ankle) on short-term IR "as of now," according to insider Mike Chappell. Taylor is dealing with what NFL Network's Ian Rapoport called a "mild" high-ankle sprain. It's notably the same ankle that required surgery in January 2023. Consider it good news if Taylor misses fewer than four games with this injury. We're not expecting him to play vs. the Jaguars on Sunday but will track his progress throughout the week. Taylor's absence would leave Trey Sermon as Indianapolis' lead back.

View all Jonathan Taylor Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Jonathan Taylor, RB IND
Dynasty MVP 52.6
Position Rank #5 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
539
840
1,425
Dynasty Write-up
Ankle issues and a sluggish Colts offense forced a major drop in production in 2022. Injuries and a contract dispute made headlines in 2023, but when healthy, Taylor flashed his high-end talent. He's now signed for multiple years, while getting Anthony Richardson back healthy will be huge going forward.
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