Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Jonathan Taylor - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJonathan Taylor's Basic Stats

Jonathan Taylor
ADP: 4.1
Bye: 11
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24.7
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.39
SPARQx (Rank): 120.50 (78%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.70 (72%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.25 (67%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.01

Jonathan Taylor's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
49.6 0.5 1.7 16.8 0.1 10.2

Jonathan Taylor's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#17 Running Back

163.2 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
4.1 198.1 793 7.9 1.8 2.1 27.9 269 2.3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJonathan Taylor's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Taylor is a virtual lock to rebound vs. last year, assuming he can stay healthy. But there are some unknown variables at play when determining his ceiling.

How much better will the new offense be? How soon with QB Anthony Richardson take over? How much goal-line work might he siphon, and will he hurt RB target share?

Taylor remains a high-upside player across situations, but his contract situation is making him tough to trust in drafts right now. We'll keep watching for his return.

A holdout into the regular season would seem unwise, as it would just cost him money. But until Taylor's back on the field, you'll need to decide whether you're comfy taking on the risk in your draft.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Turns out Taylor is not invincible. A year after staying healthy for a league-leading 332 carries – plus the league’s most rushing yards, scrimmage yards, and total TDs – Taylor lost six games and nearly all of a seventh to an ankle injury.
    • Taylor originally suffered the injury in Week 4, missed time in three segments, and eventually needed post-season surgery.
    • He said the debridement procedure cleaned out “a bunch of junk in there from a bunch of years.”
      • "Just finally had to clean it out and make sure I'm good to go,” Taylor said. “We finally had the time to get it right, make sure I'm 100% ready to rock. That's all you can ask.”
  • We’ll watch him through the summer, of course. But it doesn’t seem like the ankle should be a lingering issue. Perhaps it’ll even be stronger than it was at the beginning of 2022.
  • When on the field last season, Taylor generally fell short of his 2021 performance. He posted significantly worse marks in:
    • yards per carry
    • yards per catch
    • yards after contact
    • rushing yards over expected
    • elusive rating
    • Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • Football Outsiders DVOA, DYAR, and success rate
    • and pretty much all receiving metrics
  • But it’s not like he was terrible.
    • Taylor’s elusive rating, yards after contact per attempt, and missed tackles forced per rush beat his rookie-year numbers, according to PFF.
    • He ranked top-22 in all three categories among 61 RBs with 70+ carries.
  • He suffered from an offense that FO rated worst in the league and a team that fell from 9-8 to 4-12-1. Both factors helped cut Indy’s run rate from 47.4% of offensive plays in 2021 to 39.8% last year.
  • The O-line also declined. The Colts fell from seventh in adjusted line yards (Football Outsiders) in 2021 to 22nd last year. Their run-blocking grade also dropped from 78.6 to 62.0.
  • Despite appearing in only 11 games (and missing nearly all of one of those), Taylor still carried 116 more times than any other Colt last season. Zack Moss ranked second with 76 attempts across eight games. Taylor also led Indy RBs in targets, though Deon Jackson caught two more passes.
What to Expect in 2023
  • The Colts’ offense can’t be any worse in 2023, and it could be significantly better.
  • The team drafted QB Anthony Richardson fourth overall, clearly believing he can fix a position that has relied on different veteran stopgaps each of the past four years, following Andrew Luck’s surprise retirement.
  • The O-line incorporated two new starters last year, so improvement wouldn’t be a shock. The Colts could really use a rebound from star G Quenton Nelson, whose run-blocking grade has dipped significantly each of the past two years. Still just 27, Nelson has vowed to turn things around.
  • If you take away the 2022 game Taylor left after playing just three snaps, he averaged 19.2 carries in the other 10. That ranked third in the league last season.
  • Indy waited until Round 5 to draft RB Evan Hull and added nothing to the backfield in free agency. Taylor will clearly continue to dominate the workload.
  • New HC Shane Steichen comes from a Philadelphia offense that ran on 48.4% and 51.2% of offensive plays the past two seasons. Don’t be surprised if this year’s Colts run a lot more than they did last year. Some of that will likely depend on team success, however.
  • Anthony Richardson could challenge Taylor’s work. Rookie QBs don’t tend to be good for their teammates’ production. And mobile QBs don’t tend to help the target counts for their RBs. Richardson also presents a size-speed combo that could siphon rushing scores from Taylor.
  • We’ll see whether the Colts open the year with Gardner Minshew behind center.
  • Of course, the biggest thing working against Taylor is his own contract squabble. That has kept him out of training camp to date -- though it's also possible that his ankle recovery has been a factor. It's bad enough that Taylor has requested a trade.
  • He's well outside Round 1 contention at this point ... and it's getting tougher to trust him in Round 2.

Adjust Jonathan Taylor's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and DMVP based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Evan Hull, RB IND

2:38pm EDT 9/21/23

Evan Hull will miss rest of the season

Colts RB Evan Hull will miss the rest of the season with a torn meniscus, insider Jordan Schultz reports. Go ahead and drop the rookie in all redraft leagues. The Colts are down to RBs Zack Moss, Deon Jackson, and Jake Funk for now. RB Jonathan Taylor is eligible to come off IR after Week 4.

View all Evan Hull Shark Bites »

Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (ankle) is "planning to be ready to play as early as Week 5," ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. That's when Taylor is first eligible to come off the PUP list. Taylor is "going to pass his physical and could pass it today," Schefter adds. We'll see whether Taylor is still on Indianapolis' roster come Week 5. The passed physical could make it more likely he's traded, although it sounds like the Colts have been asking for too much in return.

View all Jonathan Taylor Shark Bites »

Colts RB Deon Jackson is in line to start the season opener vs. the Jaguars, according to insider Aaron Wilson. RB Jonathan Taylor is out for at least the first four games of the season. And RB Zack Moss isn't expected back from his broken arm until Week 2 or 3, per Wilson. That leaves Indianapolis' backfield to Jackson and rookie Evan Hull, barring another addition. Hull is the more exciting player, but it sounds like the Colts will favor Jackson's experience in the opener. We're still expecting this to be a committee attack, leaving Jackson as an unexciting fantasy play.

View all Deon Jackson Shark Bites »

Discussing the decision to put RB Jonathan Taylor on the PUP list, Colts GM Chris Ballard said that Taylor is still "complaining of pain in the ankle." Taylor underwent surgery way back in January. It's impossible to know whether that ankle is actually still giving him trouble, or if it's just being used as an excuse to keep him off the field amid the contract squabble. Regardless, we know that Taylor will miss at least the first four games of the 2023 campaign. We're guessing that the ankle issue will be behind him by Week 5.

View all Jonathan Taylor Shark Bites »

Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (ankle) will remain on the PUP list, knocking him out for the first four games of the season, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Taylor would be forced to stay on the PUP list even if he's traded. At least two teams have made trade offers for Taylor, but no deal has materialized yet. Keeping Taylor on the PUP list undoubtedly hurts his trade value, making it a curious move by the Colts. We'll continue to keep a close eye on this situation, but Taylor's 2023 fantasy value obviously takes a significant hit with this news. The Colts are now set to enter the season with RBs Zack Moss (who's still working back from a broken arm), Evan Hull, and Deon Jackson. See how the Taylor news has altered the RB rankings.

View all Jonathan Taylor Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Jonathan Taylor, RB IND
Dynasty MVP 123.5
Position Rank #12 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
421
643
1,016
Dynasty Write-up
Ankle issues and a sluggish Colts offense forced a major drop in production in 2022. JT turned just 24 in January, but following a trade request, will he stick in Indianapolis? We know he'll miss the first four games on the PUP list.
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2023 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2023 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2023 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play