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Jonnu Smith - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Jonnu Smith
NE

TE NE

#11 Tight End

96 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 14
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 248
40 Time: 4.62

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

2

DS Projection

4

Consensus

38 other sites
5

High Ceiling

6.2

Rest of
Season

5

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2 22.1 0.3 4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.8 32 0.3 5
Week 5
Smith has turned into a glorified 6th offensive lineman for the Patriots. He played 40 snaps in Sunday’s win over the Texans but blocked on 33 of them. Smith ran just 6 pass routes. The other snap was a carry that Smith took for 5 yards.

Smith finished this game with just 2 targets. That ranked 6th on the team and was just 6.7% of the team total. TE Hunter Henry saw 8 targets on 22 pass routes.

Henry is clearly New England’s top pass-catching TE right now. Smith can’t be trusted in fantasy lineups and can be dropped from rosters if you need help elsewhere.
Week 3
The Patriots TE situation is tough to trust as New England has opted for more 3-WR sets than we thought. This has led to inconsistent usage as Jonnu Smith (16 targets) and Hunter Henry (13) have split TE work nearly right down the middle. Smith offers more TD potential as he has outpaced Henry 3-1 in red zone looks, but Smith is behind all 3 WRs in that area. With Henry and Smith falling to 4th and 6th respectively in routes, it will be hard to trust either as a consistent fantasy option.
This week the Patriots take on the Buccaneers, who allowed solid fantasy days to TEs in 3 straight games. The loss of James White could open the door for another pass catcher.
Week 1
Smith’s Patriots debut was underwhelming. Sure, we liked to see the Pats get him involved on a jet sweep that netted 6 yards. But while Smith caught all 5 of his targets, they went for just 42 yards. Those 5 targets also ranked 4th on the team behind Jakobi Meyers, James White and Nelson Agholor. Smith’s routes run were of equal concern, as Hunter Henry ran 4 more routes (23 vs. 19). He at least draws a cupcake Week 2 matchup against the Jets. Plus, Mac Jones carried over his strong preseason, displaying veteran-like poise and decision-making. The former Titan remains a fringe TE1.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • With Delanie Walker out of Tennessee last year, Smith set career highs across the board with 65 targets, 41 catches, 448 yards and 9 scores (1 rushing).
  • Smith missed just 1 game with a knee injury and 1 half with an ankle sprain.
  • Still, 2020 was a bit of a disappointment. Smith saw only 47% of Tennessee’s TE targets. Anthony Firkser saw 53 targets under then-OC Arthur Smith, the team’s former TE coach.
  • Consistency simply wasn’t there. After tallying 18-221-5 over his first 4 games, Smith managed just 23-223-3 over his final 10 appearances.
  • Smith ranked 4th among 26 TEs with 50+ targets in yards after catch per reception (5.76). That further built his resume as a strong post-catch athlete.
  • Smith played 41.4% of his snaps in the slot or out wide, a sign of his pass catching versatility.
  • The Pats signed Smith to a 4-year deal worth $50 million. His average annual salary ($12.5 million) matches that of fellow newcomer Hunter Henry. (Henry signed 1 day after Smith.)
  • Of course, Henry’s a potential roadblock to Smith’s upside. But we should see the Patriots rank at or near the top of the league in 2-TE sets. Don’t expect his usage to be puzzling like it was in Tennessee.
  • The Pats retained Cam Newton on a 1-year deal and added Mac Jones in Round 1 of the 2021 draft. Newton looked like a shell of himself in 2020, but we expect him to at least enter Week 1 as the starter.
  • Jones started only 1 season at Alabama, but he showed pro-level accuracy on tape.
  • Only 6% of Newton’s targets went to TEs in 2020 — lowest in the NFL. There’s no doubt that’ll change massively in ’21. While the Pats added WRs Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne to pair with Jakobi Meyers, the strength of this offense now lies at TE.
  • What figures to remain is the Pats’ run-heavy game plan. With a restocked defense and a well-built O-line, look for another low-volume pass attack.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Smith looked like a sure-fire TE1 upon signing with the Pats. He’s now on the edge of that territory following the signing of Hunter Henry.

The Pats relative lack of WR talent provides hope that Smith can still produce top-12 totals alongside Henry. Smith’s huge contract — even coming off an uneven 2020 — certainly signals that the Pats have high hopes. Just expect some bumps along the way.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Jonnu Smith (hip) is active for today’s game vs. the Jets. He was added to the injury report on Thursday, limited in the final 2 practices of the week and listed as questionable. So Smith carries elevated risk in fantasy lineups today.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Jonnu Smith (hip) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Jets. He was added to the injury report on Thursday and limited in the final 2 practices of the week. Smith ran a route on just 45% of pass plays in the opener, so he was a shaky fantasy play even before this injury. TE Hunter Henry’s Week 2 projection will get a big boost if Smith is out.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

The Patriots added TE Jonnu Smith to the injury report Thursday. He was limited by a hip issue. We'll see whether that's something to worry about heading into Sunday's visit to the Jets.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Jonnu Smith (ankle) was a full participant in Monday's practice, according to NESN's Zack Cox. Smith was sidelined for a week, but we can now cross him off the list of injured played to worry about.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Jonnu Smith sprained his left ankle in Sunday’s practice. ESPN’s Mike Reiss reports that it’s a low-ankle sprain. “No firm timetable on his return, but based on the initial diagnosis, it isn’t considered a serious injury,” Reiss says. We’ll see how long Smith sits. Hunter Henry, of course, is already out with a shoulder injury. So New England suddenly looks thin — for the moment — at TE. That means opportunity for a WR corps without much separation so far.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

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