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Jonnu Smith - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Jonnu Smith
NE

TE NE

#12 Tight End

96 Projected Points

ADP: 11.7
Bye: 14
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 248
40 Time: 4.62

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#12 Tight End

96 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
11.7 59 668 5 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

73.9

DS Projection

96

Consensus

38 other sites
85.7

Low Ceiling

115.2

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-With Delanie Walker out of Tennessee last year, Smith set career highs across the board with 65 targets, 41 catches, 448 yards and 9 scores (1 rushing).

-Smith missed just 1 game with a knee injury and 1 half with an ankle sprain.

-Still, 2020 was a bit of a disappointment. Smith saw only 47% of Tennessee’s TE targets. Anthony Firkser saw 53 targets under then-OC Arthur Smith, the team’s former TE coach.

-Consistency simply wasn’t there. After tallying 18-221-5 over his first 4 games, Smith managed just 23-223-3 over his final 10 appearances.

-Smith ranked 4th among 26 TEs with 50+ targets in yards after catch per reception (5.76). That further built his resume as a strong post-catch athlete.

-Smith played 41.4% of his snaps in the slot or out wide, a sign of his pass catching versatility.

-The Pats signed Smith to a 4-year deal worth $50 million. His average annual salary ($12.5 million) matches that of fellow newcomer Hunter Henry. (Henry signed 1 day after Smith.)

-Of course, Henry’s a potential roadblock to Smith’s upside. But we should see the Patriots rank at or near the top of the league in 2-TE sets. Don’t expect his usage to be puzzling like it was in Tennessee.

-The Pats retained Cam Newton on a 1-year deal and added Mac Jones in Round 1 of the 2021 draft. Newton looked like a shell of himself in 2020, but we expect him to at least enter Week 1 as the starter.

-Jones started only 1 season at Alabama, but he showed pro-level accuracy on tape.

-Only 6% of Newton’s targets went to TEs in 2020 — lowest in the NFL. There’s no doubt that’ll change massively in ’21. While the Pats added WRs Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne to pair with Jakobi Meyers, the strength of this offense now lies at TE.

-What figures to remain is the Pats’ run-heavy game plan. With a restocked defense and a well-built O-line, look for another low-volume pass attack.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Smith looked like a sure-fire TE1 upon signing with the Pats. He’s now on the edge of that territory following the signing of Hunter Henry.

The Pats relative lack of WR talent provides hope that Smith can still produce top-12 totals alongside Henry. Smith’s huge contract — even coming off an uneven 2020 — certainly signals that the Pats have high hopes. Just expect some bumps along the way.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Patriots have agreed to a 4-year deal with TE Jonnu Smith, agent Drew Rosenhaus tells ESPN. The pact includes $50 million, with $31.25 million guaranteed. Smith flashed intriguing athleticism and receiving ability across 3 seasons with the Titans. He has yet to eclipse 41 receptions or reach 450 receiving yards in a season, though. Smith saw particularly odd usage with last year, garnering just 12 more targets for the season than teammate Anthony Firkser. The size of this contract suggests New England plans to feature him more as a receiver. And a roster that saw only WR Jakobi Meyers reach 50 receptions last season presents plenty of opportunity for Smith. The TE will turn just 26 this August and looks like a high-upside fantasy prospect going forward. His arrival is bad news if you were hoping for a Year 2 breakout from TE Devin Asiasi.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

Titans TE Jonnu Smith (knee) isn't listed on the final injury report and is set to return for Sunday's game vs. the Jaguars. Smith smoked Jacksonville for a 4-84-2 line back in Week 2 but rolls into the rematch with 2 or fewer catches in 6 of his last 7 games. He can only be considered a boom/bust TE2.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

Titans TE Jonnu Smith (knee) got in a limited practice on Wednesday. That would seem to put him on track to return for this weekend's game against the Jaguars, but we'll see what he does the next 2 days.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

Titans TE Jonnu Smith (knee) is out for Sunday's game against the Browns. That puts TE Anthony Firkser in play as a lower-end spot-starter in seasonal fantasy leagues and as a punt play in DFS. He's actually run just 42 fewer routes and seen only 9 fewer targets than Smith this season and will now soak up the vast majority of the TE work this weekend. It's also a plus matchup vs. a Cleveland defense sitting 27th in Football Outsiders' TE coverage rankings and 31st in adjusted fantasy points allowed to the position.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

Titans TE Jonnu Smith (knee) missed his 2nd straight practice on Thursday. It looks like he's in danger of sitting out this weekend's game against the Browns. His absence would leave Anthony Firkser as Tennessee's lead TE. We'll update the situation again tomorrow.

View all Jonnu Smith Shark Bites »

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