|ADP||Comp/Att||P Yds||P TD||INT||Att||R Yds||Fum|
What You Need to Know:
-In 2020, Ryan played all 16 games for the 10th time over the past 11 seasons.
-He underwhelmed as a fantasy asset, though. Despite finishing #1 in pass attempts (626), he ranked 12th in total fantasy points.
-Since spiking up to a 7.1% TD rate in 2016, Ryan’s gone 3.8%, 5.8%, 4.2% and 4.2% over the past 4 seasons.
-In 9 games with Julio Jones, Ryan finished as the QB5, QB6, QB25, QB1, QB17, QB10, QB10, QB24, QB25
-Without Julio: QB27, QB23, QB18, QB27, QB6, QB15, QB10
-Jones, of course, was dealt to the Titans in June. His loss should at least be absorbed a bit by rookie TE Kyle Pitts, who looks like a generational TE prospect due to eye-popping length/athleticism/production.
-Atlanta’s O-line allowed pressure on 34.1% of Ryan’s dropbacks — 13th most among 36 QBs with 200+ dropbacks.
-That contributed to Ryan’s mid-pack adjusted completion rate of 76.7%. As a pure pocket passer, getting improved O-line play will be key for the now 36-year-old.
-Look for Atlanta to roll out 2 new O-line starters after losing veterans Alex Mack and James Carpenter. 2nd-year 3rd-rounder Matt Hennessy should step in at center; veteran Josh Andrews (and a host of others) will compete for the LG spot. Overall, we don’t anticipate high-end play up front.
-The Falcons brought in new HC Arthur Smith and OC Dave Ragone. Smith, the former OC in Tennessee, will have his hands all over this offense. He orchestrated a run-first, play-action heavy offense with the Titans, but that was with Derrick Henry in the backfield. There’s no such talent in Atlanta’s backfield.
-A suspect defense should help this offense lean pass once again. Ryan’s actually attempted 600+ passes in 3 straight seasons. He’s gone over 600 in 7 of his past 9 campaigns.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line
A chunk of Ryan’s fantasy upside disappeared with the Julio Jones trade. A healthy Jones, even at 32, remains a top-10 WR.
While Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts form an intriguing top-2, it’s not enough for Ryan to become much more than a streaming option.
We’ll see how his ADP settles, but he’s not a primary draft-day target regardless.