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Matt Ryan - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Matt Ryan
ATL

QB ATL

#19 Quarterback

343 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 13 Yr(s)
Age: 36
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.89

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Atlanta got a decent outing from Ryan in a road victory at Carolina. But decent outings from him right now won’t cut it for fantasy.

Ryan completed 19 of 28 passes for 190 yards, 1 TD and no INTs against a Panthers D that’s been tough all year. That would be a more encouraging line if it weren’t his 4th game of less than 200 passing yards among the past 5 weeks. Ryan has 2 TOTAL touchdown throws in that time.

So matchups with San Francisco and Detroit the next 2 weeks don’t look scary. But the prospect of starting Ryan in any league of 12 teams or fewer teams kinda does.
Week 12
Ryan completed 19 of 29 passes for 190 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT in the Falcons’ Week 12 win over the Jaguars.
Ryan wasn’t asked to do much in this one as the Falcons built an early lead behind the production of Cordarrelle Patterson.
Ryan threw his lone TD pass to Russell Gage and mostly checked down throughout the entire game. The Falcons don’t have any down the field options with Julio Jones gone and Calvin Ridley still not with the team.
Ryan has a tremendous matchup in Week 13 at home against the Bucs, who allow a ton of pass attempts every game. But Ryan will have to nickel and dime his way down the field against the weakness of the Bucs defense.
Week 10
We know only half of Freddy Fender’s duo as applied to the Falcons on Sunday. They clearly wasted the day on their trip to Arlington. Only they know whether they got wasted Sunday night, but it would be a good bet. Ryan was the leader of the mess at AT&T Stadium, and he didn’t stick around on the field for long after Dallas took a 36-3 halftime lead. The Atlanta QB wasn’t even as good as his meager statistics: 9 for 21, 117 yards, 2 INT. His passer rating of 21.4 was the worst of his 14-year career. When the Falcons were in the game in their 1st 2 possessions, Ryan missed on 2 passes before Atlanta settled for an FG to pull within 7-3 and then threw 3 incomplete passes, including a 4th-and-7 misfire for WR Russell Gage that was the last time the Falcons had a chance to take a lead.
It’s unlikely that Ryan would lose his starting role. In relief against Dallas, backup QB Josh Rosen completed only 1 of 6 passes for 16 yards, and 1 was intercepted. And that was more and better than what Rosen had done in the 1st half of the season – just 2 incomplete passes. Ryan’s best hope for success will be in Week 12, when the Jaguars will be sandwiched between the more dangerous Patriots and Buccaneers.
Week 9
In a surprising upset, Ryan completely dominated the Saints for 343 yards and 2 TDs. Ryan was on point all day, completing 77% of his passes for over 11 yards per attempt. This was an encouraging sign for Ryan as he was coming off a down game the prior week vs. Carolina. It is going to be hard for Ryan to find consistency on a week-to-week basis without Calvin Ridley on the field.
Heading into Week 10 the Falcons take on the Cowboys in what could be a shootout. The Cowboys are coming off a down game vs. the Broncos but should be able to bounce back with Dak Prescott one week healthier. This could game flow could make Ryan a potential streamer in Week 10.
Week 8
Ryan delivered perhaps his worst performance of the year Sunday against the Panthers. He posted his 1st multiple-INT outing since Week 2 (at Tampa Bay) and threw for a season-low 146 yards -- despite completing 74.1% of his 27 pass attempts.

Ryan did find Cordarrelle Patterson or a short throw that the newly minted offensive superstar took into the end zone. But the QB also found LB Shaq Thompson and CB Stephon Gilmore for bad INTs.

And it’s tough to blame Calvin Ridley’s absence too much for the performance. Ridley also missed the Week 5 win over the Jets in London. Ryan threw or a season-hith 342 yards and 2 scores in that one.

Ryan should not be in fantasy plans for Week 9 at New Orleans. We’ll see if he can work his way back into those plans beyond the coming weekend.
Week 7
Coming off a bye week, Ryan posted a 336-2-1 passing line against Miami. He’s now hit 2+ passing scores in 4 straight. This one turned up scores to Russell Gage on a deep ball and Calvin Ridley on a slickly designed red zone pass. Overall, it’s clear that he’s gaining confidence in new HC Arthur Smith’s offense. Even his INT was a ball ripped away from Calvin Ridley. Next up is a home matchup with a Panthers pass D that ranked 18th in fantasy points allowed to QBs entering Week 7.
Week 5
Ryan threw for 342 yards and 2 TDs in the 27-20 win over the Jets in London on Sunday. He connected on 33 of his 45 attempts, hooking up with 8 different receivers along the way. Ryan really got things going with rookie TE Kyle Pitts (9-119-1). His other TD went to TE Hayden Hurst.

Ryan has turned up his production the past few weeks with multiple TDs in 4 straight games. He delivered in this game despite going without WRs Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage.

Ryan has a Week 6 bye, followed by tougher matchups against Miami and Carolina.
Week 4
With help from 42 attempts -- and some excellent individual efforts from Cordarrelle Patterson -- Ryan threw 4 TDs for the first time since Week 6 of 2020. He capitalized on a matchup with Washington’s struggling pass D, but the schedule remains favorable in the short term. Ryan gets the injury-riddled Jets next, followed by a date with the Dolphins.
Week 3
Ryan threw for 243 yards and 2 TDs in the thrilling comeback win over the Giants last weekend. He connected on 27 of his 36 passes while hooking up with 7 different receivers. His first score went to WR Olamide Zaccheaus just before halftime and his 2nd went to backup TE Lee Smith late in the 4th quarter to tie the game at 14. He later authored the game-winning FG drive as time expired. This hasn’t been the best start to the season for Matty Ice, as you can clearly see he is struggling without WR Julio Jones. But also not having a top-tier RB to trust has put more pressure on him to succeed. Ryan will remain an uninspiring QB2 for Sunday's date with Washington.
Week 2
Ryan completed 35 of 46 passes for 300 yards, 2 TDs and 3 INTs in the Falcons' 48-25, Week 2 loss to the Bucs.
Ryan and the Falcons made it a game late in the 3rd quarter as they cut the deficit to 3 points, but Ryan proceeded to throw 2 INTs in the 4th quarter that were both returned for TDs by the Bucs’ Anthony Edwards. Both balls were tipped at the line of scrimmage and went up in the air for grabs.
Ryan had a useable fantasy day with over 300+ yards and 2 scores — plus a 2-point conversion. But he struggled with accuracy at times and was often shaky in the pocket behind a weak offensive line.
Ryan figures to be among the league leaders in passing attempts this season but offers no upside with his legs which renders him as a QB2 play going forward.
The Falcons do have an excellent matchup in Week 3 against the Giants.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • In 2020, Ryan played all 16 games for the 10th time over the past 11 seasons.
  • He underwhelmed as a fantasy asset, though. Despite finishing #1 in pass attempts (626), he ranked 12th in total fantasy points.
  • Since spiking up to a 7.1% TD rate in 2016, Ryan’s gone 3.8%, 5.8%, 4.2% and 4.2% over the past 4 seasons.
  • In 9 games with Julio Jones, Ryan finished as the QB5, QB6, QB25, QB1, QB17, QB10, QB10, QB24, QB25
  • Without Julio: QB27, QB23, QB18, QB27, QB6, QB15, QB10
  • Jones, of course, was dealt to the Titans in June. His loss should at least be absorbed a bit by rookie TE Kyle Pitts, who looks like a generational TE prospect due to eye-popping length/athleticism/production.
  • Atlanta’s O-line allowed pressure on 34.1% of Ryan’s dropbacks — 13th most among 36 QBs with 200+ dropbacks.
  • That contributed to Ryan’s mid-pack adjusted completion rate of 76.7%. As a pure pocket passer, getting improved O-line play will be key for the now 36-year-old.
  • Look for Atlanta to roll out 2 new O-line starters after losing veterans Alex Mack and James Carpenter. 2nd-year 3rd-rounder Matt Hennessy should step in at center; veteran Josh Andrews (and a host of others) will compete for the LG spot. Overall, we don’t anticipate high-end play up front.
  • The Falcons brought in new HC Arthur Smith and OC Dave Ragone. Smith, the former OC in Tennessee, will have his hands all over this offense. He orchestrated a run-first, play-action heavy offense with the Titans, but that was with Derrick Henry in the backfield. There’s no such talent in Atlanta’s backfield.
  • A suspect defense should help this offense lean pass once again. Ryan’s actually attempted 600+ passes in 3 straight seasons. He’s gone over 600 in 7 of his past 9 campaigns.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

A chunk of Ryan’s fantasy upside disappeared with the Julio Jones trade. A healthy Jones, even at 32, remains a top-10 WR.

While Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts form an intriguing top-2, it’s not enough for Ryan to become much more than a streaming option.

We’ll see how his ADP settles, but he’s not a primary draft-day target regardless.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The forecast for tonight's Falcons-Panthers game calls for a 40% chance of rain with winds of 10-20 mph and gusts up to 25 mph. That's not quite enough wind for us to adjust our projections for this game. But you might use the weather as a tie-breaker if deciding between 2 similarly ranked players.

View all Matt Ryan Shark Bites »

The Falcons have been cleared to re-open their facility after no positive COVID results from Thursday's round of testing, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. The Atlanta-Minnesota game remains on for Sunday as of now. We'll let you know if that changes.

View all Matt Ryan Shark Bites »

The Falcons are shutting down their facility after getting back 4 positive COVID tests on Thursday morning, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Atlanta's game against the Vikings this weekend is now in question. Stay tuned.

Update: A source tells Schefter that the Falcons had just 1 positive test, and it wasn't a player. That has us a bit more optimistic that this game will happen this week.

View all Matt Ryan Shark Bites »

Falcons QB Matt Ryan (ankle) practiced all week and will play against the Saints on Sunday. New Orleans has tightened up against the pass lately, allowing just 5.8 yards per attempt and 4 total passing scores over the last 4 games. But Ryan remains in the lower-end QB1 mix in a game that should find him playing catch-up and chucking it plenty.

View all Matt Ryan Shark Bites »

Falcons QB Matt Ryan (ankle) was limited in Wednesday's practice. He's fully expected back for this weekend's game against the Saints, but we'll continue to monitor his status over the next few days.

View all Matt Ryan Shark Bites »

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