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Mike Gesicki - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMike Gesicki's Basic Stats

Mike Gesicki
ADP: 17.8
Bye: 11
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28.0
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 250
40 Time: 4.54
Speed Score: 118.70
SPARQx (Rank): 136.90 (98%)
Burst Score (Rank): 137.10 (99%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.86 (98%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.67 (100%)

Mike Gesicki's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.9 21.5 0.1 2.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.8 19.3 0.2 2.8

Mike Gesicki's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#38 Tight End

45.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
17.8 28.4 309.1 3 0.4 1.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMike Gesicki's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Gesicki hit rock bottom in 2022. He never developed into a reliable fantasy option, despite a dynamic Fins offense that needed a true No. 3 target.

New England provides an opportunity to rehab his value on a one-year deal. There’s just no ceiling here beyond TE-streamer territory.

What We Learned Last Year
  • First-year Dolphins HC Mike McDaniel wasn’t a big fan of Geciski. The veteran TE set four-year lows in routes run (379), targets (52), catches (32), and yards (362).
  • He at least remained durable. Gesicki’s now played 17 games in back to back seasons.
  • Still, he posted only one top-6 fantasy week; three inside the top-12. He finished worse than TE18 12 times.
  • On the year, Gesicki ranked as the fantasy TE23.
  • Among 27 TEs with 50+ targets, Gesicki ranked 22nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade, 26th in catch rate, 26th in yards after catch per reception, and 25th in yards per route run.
  • He was charted with only one missed tackle forced all season, per PFF.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Gesicki signed a one-year deal in March with $3.5 million guaranteed.
  • He’ll join a TE corps featuring Hunter Henry, who’s entering a contract year.
  • Held back by a poorly designed offense, Henry tallied a down year in 2022: 59 targets, 41 catches, 509 yards, and two TDs on an 11.3% target share.
  • Gesicki gets a boost from a Pats offense that looks thin elsewhere. JuJu Smith-Schuster (who also arrived in free agency) is the unit’s only notable pass catcher.
  • HC Bill O’Brien returns to the team as a massive play-calling upgrade.
  • We don’t anticipate a pass-happy approach, given the current personnel. Current projections have the Pats at a 58% pass rate – right around league average.
  • Mac Jones’ ability to play closer to his rookie-year level will be key. Jones’ numbers fell off across the board in ‘22, but we’re optimistic he’ll improve in year three alongside O’Brien.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Hunter Henry, TE NE

8:48pm EDT 9/10/23

Hunter Henry scores in opener

Patriots TE Hunter Henry caught 5 of 6 targets in Sunday's loss to the Eagles, collecting 56 yards and a TD. His 6 targets made up just 11.1% of QB Mac Jones' 54 attempts on a day of abnormally high passing volume. Henry doubled TE Mike Gesicki's target count against the Eagles. Henry will push for fantasy-starter consideration in an upside Week 2 matchup with the Dolphins.

View all Hunter Henry Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Mike Gesicki (shoulder) returned to practice on Tuesday. He wore a red, non-contact jersey. The former Dolphin isn’t someone we’re counting on for anything close to TE1 production. Hunter Henry, who made our list of undervalued fantasy football players, is the TE target in New England.

View all Mike Gesicki Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Mike Gesicki suffered a "mild" dislocated shoulder in Monday's practice, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "While nothing is given, the hope is he’s back for Week 1 despite the AC joint injury," Rapoport adds. We're not adjusting Gesicki's projections for now but will keep a close eye on his recovery from this injury.

View all Mike Gesicki Shark Bites »

Patriots “TE“ Mike Gesicki went down with an unspecified injury in one-on-one drills Monday, according to Zack Cox of NESN. Gesicki reportedly needed help off the field and did not return. We’ll watch for more specifics.

View all Mike Gesicki Shark Bites »

It's been a "tough first two weeks of camp" for Patriots TE Mike Gesicki, The Athletic's Chad Graff writes. "He has not been frequently targeted in drills and has made little impact when targeted," Graff adds. He concludes point blankly that, "Hunter Henry is TE1 over Mike Gesicki." That's especially noteworthy considering Gesicki still sits ahead of Henry in most ADP data. That's not the case in our 2023 TE Rankings.

View all Mike Gesicki Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Mike Gesicki, TE NE
Dynasty MVP 26.7
Position Rank #67 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
89
136
232
Dynasty Write-up
Gesicki was a total bust this past year -- the first alongside HC Mike McDaniel. It was his last, too, as Gesicki signed a one-year deal with New England early in free agency. The 27-year-old enters an offense with nice short-term target opportunity.
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