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T.J. Hockenson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsT.J. Hockenson's Basic Stats

T.J. Hockenson
ADP: 4.9
Bye: 13
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.3
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 248
40 Time: 4.70
Speed Score: 103.70
SPARQx (Rank): 115.20 (76%)
Burst Score (Rank): 127.10 (90%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.20 (88%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.28 (92%)

T.J. Hockenson's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.6 53.6 0.4 7.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.1 52.4 0.4 7.8

T.J. Hockenson's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Tight End

125.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.9 82.1 837.6 6.9 1.2 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsT.J. Hockenson's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Hockenson immediately became Minnesota’s No. 2 target after last year’s trade. We’re not betting that the offseason swap of Adam Thielen for rookie Jordan Addison will alter that much. Hockenson looks like a fairly safe PPR bet in a pass-happy offense.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Hockenson spent the first half of 2022 with the Lions. He was traded to the Vikings before the NFL trade deadline and finished as the TE2 overall in PPR scoring.
  • He finished 10 games within the top 10 of weekly scoring at the position last season, with five other games in the top 24.
  • Hockenson’s opportunities increased after the trade:
    • Lions (Week 1-8): 6.1 targets (18.1%), 54.9 receiving yards (16.5% air yards share), 0.5 TDs, 11.6 PPR points per game
    • Vikings (Week 9-18): 8.6 targets (21.8% target share), 50.2 receiving yards (19.2% air yards share), 0.3 TDs, 12.7 PPR points per game
  • Among 27 TEs who saw 50+ targets last season, Hockenson ranked ninth in Pro Football Focus receiving grade, seventh in yards per route run (1.60), and fourth in yards after catch (426).

What to Expect in 2023
  • Bet on the Vikings remaining pass happy. They ranked fifth in the league in pass rate in HC Kevin O’Connell’s first season. They replaced departed WR Adam Thielen with first-round WR Jordan Addison. And Minnesota booted lead RB Dalvin Cook.
  • We’ll see whether Addison’s arrival adds any target challenge for Hockenson. We’re betting the rookie will battle fourth-year WR K.J. Osborn for opportunities more than siphoning work from Hockenson.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Jefferson, WR MIN

4:29pm EDT 10/1/23

Justin Jefferson scores twice on light passing day

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson didn't let a mere 139-yard passing day for his team get in the way Sunday. Jefferson posted a 6-85-2 receiving line in the win over Carolina. He drew a target on 47.4% of Kirk Cousins' pass attempts, accounting for 50% of the team's receptions, 61.2% of receiving yards, and 100% of the offensive scoring. TE T.J. Hockenson ranked second on the team with just 3 targets, catching two for 24 yards. RB Cam Akers was the only other Viking to catch more than one pass. WR K.J. Osborn finished with 1 reception for 16 yards on 2 targets. WR Jordan Addison went catchless on 1 target. Minnesota gets the Chiefs back home in Week 5 and then a high-upside matchup at Chicago in Week 6.

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson made a team-high 8 receptions for 78 yards in Sunday's loss to the Chargers. It was his third game with 7+ catches to open the year. Hockenson drew a season-high 11 targets but has garnered 8+ in every game. He ceded a TD to TE Josh Oliver, among 2 receptions for 4 yards for the mainly blocking TE. Hockenson is a strong fantasy starter across formats.

View all T.J. Hockenson Shark Bites »

The Vikings and TE T.J. Hockenson have agreed to a four-year extension that keeps him in Minnesota through the 2027 season. Hockenson is getting $66 million over the four new years with $42.5 million guaranteed, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. Hockenson has missed most of training camp with an alleged ear infection and stiff back -- but we're guessing this new contract heals him up. We'll keep an eye on Hockenson's status, but he should be ready to go for Week 1.

View all T.J. Hockenson Shark Bites »

Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson is over the ear infection that has sidelined him in camp but is now out with lower-back stiffness, according to insider Sam Ekstrom. Like the ear issue, this doesn't sound like a major concern. But it's certainly been a less-than-ideal August for Hockenson. We'll let you know when he gets back on the field.

View all T.J. Hockenson Shark Bites »

Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson said Monday that an ear infection early in camp was affecting his equilibrium. That has kept him out of contact and team drills, according to ESPN's Kevin Seifert. Hockenson also said he didn't know if he would participate in upcoming joint practices with the Titans. This doesn't sound like a big issue. But avoiding contact for that long suggests it's something we need to at least be aware of. We'll see how the rest of August goes for Hockenson. For now, he's not moving down our fantasy football rankings, though.

View all T.J. Hockenson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

T.J. Hockenson, TE MIN
Dynasty MVP 91.6
Position Rank #3 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
299
470
814
Dynasty Write-up
A surprise mid-season trade found Hockenson leaving Detroit for Minnesota. While in total, he set career-highs in catches and yards, he still faces long-term QB questions. On the plus side: Hockenson turns just 26 in July.
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