TreVeyon Henderson Fantasy Overview

2025 Role & Results

Uneven Production

Henderson’s rookie line looks fine but it came too unevenly to make him a reliable fantasy starter: 180 carries for 911 yards and 9 TDs, plus 35-221-1 as a receiver.

Henderson’s scoring came heavily bunched, with nine of his 10 total TDs coming in four games, including two with Rhamondre Stevenson inactive.

Henderson failed to reach 30 rushing yards in seven of 17 regular-season games and topped 20 receiving yards only four times.

That led to 10 weeks outside the top 24 and just four inside the top 12. Henderson finished 25th in PPR points per game and 23rd in half-PPR.

Held Back by Stevenson

In 14 games together, Rhamondre Stevenson led Henderson in snap share (59.3% to 37.5%), route rate (48.8% to 29.2%), and target share (9.1% to 7.4%).

Henderson held a narrow 133-130 carry edge, but Stevenson dominated the high-value work with a 50% to 27.3% lead in rushes inside the 5-yard line. Henderson scored on just one of his six carries from inside the 5.

A Strong O-Line Paved the Way

Henderson lagged behind Stevenson in most rushing metrics:

Henderson’s 3.16 yards before contact per attempt ranked first among 49 RBs with 100+ carries, a sign of how much help the O-line gave him. Stevenson sat at 1.88, ranking 31st in the same sample.

The Most Surprising Offense of 2025

Drake Maye’s breakout drove New England to second in points per game and third in total yards per game.

Rushing volume was an asset, with New England slotting sixth in rush attempts and eighth in rush rate. The O-line did its part, finishing 11th in adjusted line yards and 12th in ESPN run-block win rate.

Injuries Not Part of the Storyline

Henderson sustained a concussion in the first half of Week 16 but returned the next week.

At Ohio State, Henderson broke a bone in his left foot in September 2022. He also missed three games the following October with an undisclosed injury.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Can He Overtake Stevenson?

The Patriots return Henderson and Stevenson. Round 7 pick Jam Miller shouldn’t challenge their roles.

Our projections put Henderson at a 39.5% carry share, just ahead of Stevenson’s 35.5%.

Stevenson’s 10 fumbles over the past two seasons -- seven in 2024 and three in 2025 -- could push more work toward Henderson. But it’s notable that HC Mike Vrabel didn’t alter Stevenson’s role after last year’s fumbles, which came across two early-season games: Week 3 and Week 5.

Henderson said he’s focused on his blocking and pass-catching this offseason, and that work could decide whether he earns a steadier role. He ranked 34th among 43 RBs with 30+ targets in yards per catch (6.4) and 34th in PFF pass-blocking grade last year, while Stevenson ranked top-5 in both.

A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs give the Patriots more answers in the passing game, and Stevenson should still command work out of the backfield. That makes it hard to project a large receiving role for Henderson. New England’s 18% RB target share last year already landed right near the 17.6% league average.

Pats Look Strong at Pass Catcher, O-line

Maye, Brown, Doubs, and Hunter Henry should keep defenses from loading up against the run.

The O-line also remains in good shape. New England returns LT Will Campbell, RT Morgan Moses, and RG Mike Onwenu, while 2025 LG Jared Wilson shifts to C, his college position. The lone change is at LG, where the Pats will try to get a healthy season from Alijah Vera-Tucker.

The Pats showed confidence by handing him a three-year deal with $21 million guaranteed, but Vera-Tucker has still missed 41 games over the past four seasons, including all of 2025.

The Pats added insurance with Utah OT Caleb Lomu at pick No. 28, though his profile leans more pass protector than run blocker.

Expect the Pats to Run Less

The Pats return OC Josh McDaniels.

Our projections have this unit’s run rate falling to 45.2% from 46.9% in 2025, driven by Drake Maye’s Year 2 breakout and the additions of A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs.

Stevenson’s return also figures to limit Henderson’s impact as a pass catcher. Our target share projections have Stevenson at 8.5%, just ahead of Henderson’s 8.0%.

Henderson's Upside Looks Intriguing

Henderson could still grow in his age-24 season and force the Patriots to shift more work his way. Otherwise, Henderson’s fantasy appeal hinges on big-play efficiency. He averaged 5.1 yards per carry and ranked third among 49 RBs with 100+ carries in share of yards from runs of 15+ yards.

That continued the explosive profile he showed at Ohio State, where he averaged 6.4 yards per carry for his career and 7.1 in his final season.

Henderson would regain an RB1 outlook if Stevenson misses time. We have him 17th among RBs in ceiling projection, though that doesn’t even assume a Stevenson injury.

Will he Remain Hyper Efficient?

If Henderson’s efficiency slips, he could settle in as a low-end RB2 or flex. His receiving and TD outlook already look shakier with Brown and Doubs joining the offense and Stevenson returning for goal-line work, and four of Henderson’s 10 rookie TDs came from 50+ yards, a rate that’ll be tough to repeat.