Fantasy Football Redraft

Fantasy Takeaways from Week 14 Usage

By Jared Smola 9:20am EST 12/14/22

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Arizona Cardinals

RB snap rates:

James Conner - 95%
Keaontay Ingram - 12%
Corey Clement - 4%

Route rates:

James Conner - 76%
Keaontay Ingram - 14%
Corey Clement - 5%

Marquise Brown - 95%
DeAndre Hopkins - 88%
A.J. Green - 69%
Robbie Anderson - 36%
Greg Dortch - 5%

Trey McBride - 58%
Stephen Anderson - 12%
Maxx Williams - 9%

Takeaways:

• More workhorse usage for Conner, who tallied 15 carries and 7 targets despite briefly leaving the game with an upper-body injury.
• The Cardinals opted to play a combination of Green and Anderson over Dortch. Brown operated as the primary slot receiver (60% of his snaps in the slot).
• McBride’s route rate was scaled back coming out of the bye week. He’s not a viable Week 15 fantasy play.

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons had a Week 14 bye.

Baltimore Ravens

RB snap rates:

J.K. Dobbins - 43%
Gus Edwards - 34%
Kenyan Drake - 18%
Justice Hill - 3%

Route rates:

J.K. Dobbins - 35%
Kenyan Drake - 26%
Gus Edwards - 9%
Justice Hill - 0%

Demarcus Robinson - 74%
Devin Duvernay - 61%
DeSean Jackson - 35%
James Proche - 17%

Mark Andrews - 96%
Isaiah Likely - 48%
Josh Oliver - 30%

Takeaways:

• Dobbins handled 15 of 29 RB carries (52%) in his return from knee trouble. Consider him a RB3 for now – and we’ll see if his share of the backfield work grows.
• Andrews registered a 35% target share, but that meant just 6 targets on a day when the Ravens found themselves down to their 3rd-string QB and threw just 17 passes.

Buffalo Bills

RB snap rates:

Devin Singletary - 49%
James Cook - 41%
Nyheim Hines - 17%

Routes rates:

Devin Singletary - 43%
James Cook - 35%
Nyheim Hines - 16%

Gabriel Davis - 95%
Stefon Diggs - 92%
Isaiah McKenzie - 73%
Khalil Shakir - 14%
John Brown - 3%

Dawson Knox - 89%
Quintin Morris - 19%

Takeaways:

• The Bills again deployed a 2.5-man committee backfield. Opportunities:
  • Singletary - 8 carries, 2 targets
  • Cook - 4 carries, 1 target
  • Hines - 1 carry, 1 target
• Knox’s strong recent route rates translated to a team-high 7 targets (26% share) in this one.

Carolina Panthers

RB snap rates:

D’Onta Foreman - 48%
Chuba Hubbard - 32%
Raheem Blackshear - 19%

Routes rates:

Raheem Blackshear - 28%
D’Onta Foreman - 24%
Chuba Hubbard - 21%

D.J. Moore - 100%
Terrace Marshall - 86%
Shi Smith - 38%
Laviska Shenault - 28%

Ian Thomas - 41%
Tommy Tremble - 38%
Stephen Sullivan - 31%

Takeaways:

• The Panthers have racked up an absurd 80 RB carries over their past 2 games. Here’s how those carries have been distributed:
  • Foreman - 56%
  • Hubbard - 39%
  • Blackshear - 5%

Chicago Bears

The Bears had a Week 14 bye.

Cincinnati Bengals

RB snap rates:

Joe Mixon - 58%
Samaje Perine - 43%
Trayveon Williams - 3%

Route rates:

Samaje Perine - 50%
Joe Mixon - 43%
Trayveon Williams - 2%

Ja’Marr Chase - 100%
Trenton Irwin - 93%
Trent Taylor - 89%
Tee Higgins - 2% (injured)
Tyler Boyd - 2% (injured)

Mitchell Wilcox - 68%
Devin Asiasi - 20%

Takeaways:

• This was Mixon’s lowest snap rate in a healthy game this season. He’d been hovering in the low 70% range. Mixon still handled 14 of 19 RB carries (74%) but garnered just 2 of 8 RB targets (25%). If this usage holds, he’ll be more of a high-end RB2 the rest of the way.

Cleveland Browns

RB snap rates:

Nick Chubb - 63%
Kareem Hunt - 39%

Route rates:

Nick Chubb - 49%
Kareem Hunt - 33%

Donovan Peoples-Jones - 100%
Amari Cooper - 90%
David Bell - 78%
Michael Woods - 12%
Demetric Felton - 8%

David Njoku - 90%
Harrison Bryant - 12%
Pharaoh Brown - 2%

Takeaways:

• Cooper aggravated his hip injury on the 1st play of this game. He ran his normal allotment of routes but finished with just 2 catches on 7 targets for 42 yards. We’ll keep a close eye on his practice participation this week.
• Peoples-Jones led Cleveland with 12 targets for a big 29% share.
• Njoku was a full-go in his return from a knee injury, posting a 90% route rate, 21% target share and 7-59-1 line. He’s a potential top-5 TE the rest of the way.

Dallas Cowboys

RB snap rates:

Tony Pollard - 58%
Ezekiel Elliott - 49%

Route rates:

Tony Pollard - 60%
Ezekiel Elliott - 33%

CeeDee Lamb - 100%
Michael Gallup - 81%
Noah Brown - 81%
James Washington - 17%

Dalton Schultz - 88%
Sean McKeon - 5%
Jake Ferguson - 2% (injured)
Peyton Hendershot - 2%

Takeaways:

• Pollard and Elliott continue to split work almost right down the middle. Over the last 4 weeks:
  • Pollard - 152 snaps, 55 carries, 16 targets
  • Elliott - 132 snaps, 63 carries, 10 targets
• Cowboys WR/TE targets over the last 4 weeks:
  • Lamb - 29 (22.5% share)
  • Gallup - 25 (19.4%)
  • Schultz - 25 (19.4%)
  • Brown - 10 (7.8%)

Denver Broncos

RB snap rates:

Latavius Murray - 53%
Marlon Mack - 31%
Mike Boone - 15% (injured)

Route rates:

Latavius Murray - 43%
Marlon Mack - 23%
Mike Boone - 9% (injured)

Kendall Hinton - 88%
Jerry Jeudy - 82%
Brandon Johnson - 71%
Jalen Virgil - 14%
Montrell Washington - 5%

Greg Dulcich - 73%
Eric Saubert - 21%
Eric Tomlinson - 18%
Albert Okwuegbunam - 4%

Takeaways:

• Boone’s likely season-ending ankle injury should turn this into a 2-man backfield. We’ll see if Mack’s 66-yard receiving score in the loss to Kansas City earns him more playing time going forward.
• Dulcich managed just 3 catches for 42 yards but posted another strong route rate and target share (18%).
• Albert O sighting!

Detroit Lions

RB snap rates:

Jamaal Williams - 37%
D’Andre Swift - 35%
Justin Jackson - 30%

Route rates:

D’Andre Swift - 41%
Justin Jackson - 29%
Jamaal Williams - 17%

Amon-Ra St. Brown - 90%
D.J. Chark - 90%
Josh Reynolds - 68%
Jameson Williams - 15%
Kalif Raymond - 15%

Shane Zylstra - 37%
Brock Wright - 34%
James Mitchell - 15%

Takeaways:

• Swift's per game averages when on the injury report this season (8 games):
  • 5.1 carries
  • 4.5 targets
  • 42.8 total yards
• Swift's averages when off the injury report (2 games):
  • 14.5 carries
  • 4.5 targets
  • 143.0 total yards
• Jameson Williams still isn’t playing nearly enough to be a viable fantasy starter.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers had a Week 14 bye.

Houston Texans

RB snap rates:

Dameon Pierce - 55% (injured)
Dare Ogunbowale - 27%
Eno Benjamin - 12%
Rex Burkhead - 8%

Route rates:

Dare Ogunbowale - 37%
Dameon Pierce - 20% (injured)
Eno Benjamin - 7%
Rex Burkhead - 7%

Chris Moore - 93%
Phillip Dorsett - 93%
Amari Rodgers - 70%
Jalen Camp - 7%

Jordan Akins - 73%
Teagan Quitoriano - 43%
Brevin Jordan - 10%
O.J. Howard - 3%

Takeaways:

• Pierce is expected to miss at least 1 game with his ankle injury; Benjamin was released on Tuesday. That leaves Houston with Ogunbowale, Burkhead and potentially Royce Freeman and/or Gerrid Doaks in the backfield. Hopefully you can avoid the situation, but Ogunbowale looks like the best fantasy play of the bunch because he’s the best bet for passing-game work.
• A 93% route rate and ludicrous 41% target share puts Moore on the radar in deeper leagues for as long as WRs Nico Collins and Brandin Cooks are out.

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts had a Week 14 bye.

Jacksonville Jaguars

RB snap rates:

Travis Etienne - 75%
JaMycal Hasty - 25%

Route rates:

Travis Etienne - 59%
JaMycal Hasty - 15%

Christian Kirk - 100%
Zay Jones - 93%
Marvin Jones - 61%
Jamal Agnew - 15%

Evan Engram - 83%
Chris Manhertz - 13%
Dan Arnold - 11%

Takeaways:

• Etienne didn’t see a single target on 42 Trevor Lawrence pass attempts. His route rate remained solid, though, so Etienne still projects for 2-3 targets per game going forward.
• Zay Jones has tallied double-digit targets in 3 of his last 4 games. He’s seen 28% of Jaguars targets over that span and ranks 6th among all WRs in targets over the last 5 weeks, despite a bye week in there.
• Engram has been registering high-end route rates all season and mixing in big target games. So, while we couldn’t have predicted this, it wasn’t shocking to see him turn in a huge fantasy outing.

Kansas City Chiefs

RB snap rates:

Jerick McKinnon - 57%
Isiah Pacheco - 43%

Route rates:

Jerick McKinnon - 55%
Isiah Pacheco - 27%

JuJu Smith-Schuster - 86%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling - 75%
Justin Watson - 70%
Skyy Moore - 25%

Travis Kelce - 82%
Noah Gray - 45%
Jody Fortson - 7%

Takeaways:

• McKinnon has averaged 5.2 targets and 3.8 catches over his last 5 games. He’s now added 14 carries over his last 2. Most intriguing is that McKinnon has 3 carries and 4 targets from inside the opponent’s 10-yard line over the past 5 weeks.
• Pacheco has 10 carries and 0 targets inside the 10-yard line over that same span.
• Smith-Schuster got back to full playing time in Week 13. He got back to big volume – 11 targets for a 26% share – in this one.

Las Vegas Raiders

RB snap rates:

Josh Jacobs - 83%
Ameer Abdullah - 13%
Zamir White - 5%
Brandon Bolden - 2%

Route rates:

Josh Jacobs - 68%
Ameer Abdullah - 32%
Brandon Bolden - 4%
Zamir White - 0%

Davante Adams - 100%
Mack Hollins - 96%
Keelan Cole - 64%
D.J. Turner - 8%

Foster Moreau - 96%

Takeaways:

• Moreau’s elite route rates keep him on the fantasy radar if TE Darren Waller remains out, but he’s now averaged just 3.6 targets on an 11% target share over the past 5 weeks.

Los Angeles Chargers

RB snap rates:

Austin Ekeler - 59%
Joshua Kelley - 40%
Isaiah Spiller - 3%

Route rates:

Austin Ekeler - 41%
Joshua Kelley - 34%
Isaiah Spiller - 0%

Keenan Allen - 91%
Josh Palmer - 81%
Mike Williams - 72%
DeAndre Carter - 16%

Gerald Everett - 67%
Tre McKitty - 24%
Stone Smartt - 3%

Takeaways:

• Williams’ big game came on an underwhelming 72% route rate and 12% target share, but I’d expect both marks to rise as he puts that ankle injury further behind him.

Los Angeles Rams

RB snap rates:

Cam Akers - 42%
Kyren Williams - 30%
Malcolm Brown - 28%

Route rates:

Malcolm Brown - 32%
Cam Akers - 27%
Kyren Williams - 20%

Van Jefferson - 100%
Ben Skowronek - 86%
Tutu Atwell - 66%
Austin Trammell - 20%
Brandon Powell - 14%

Tyler Higbee - 70%
Brycen Hopkins - 7%

Takeaways:

• The Rams devolved into a 3-man committee backfield on Thursday night, with Brown leading in routes. Opportunities:
  • Akers - 12 carries, 1 target
  • Williams - 3 carries, 2 targets
  • Brown - 1 carry, 2 targets
• WR target shares from QB Baker Mayfield:
  • Atwell - 26%
  • Skowronek - 23%
  • Jefferson - 11%
  • Trammell - 6%
  • Powell - 6%

Miami Dolphins

RB snap rates:

Raheem Mostert - 73%
Jeff Wilson - 16% (injured)
Salvon Ahmed - 10%

Route rates:

Raheem Mostert - 71%
Jeff Wilson - 11% (injured)
Salvon Ahmed - 11%

Jaylen Waddle - 86%
Tyreek Hill - 77%
Trent Sherfield - 63%
Cedrick Wilson - 31%
Freddie Swain - 14%

Mike Gesicki - 54%
Durham Smythe - 29%

Takeaways:

• Mostert dominated playing time in Miami’s backfield after Wilson’s injury and handled 9 of 10 RB carries.

Minnesota Vikings

RB snap rates:

Dalvin Cook - 85%
Alexander Mattison - 15%

Route rates:

Dalvin Cook - 48%
Alexander Mattison - 17%

Justin Jefferson - 96%
Adam Thielen - 92%
K.J. Osborn - 79%
Jalen Reagor - 13%

T.J. Hockenson - 88%
Johnny Mundt - 8%

Takeaways:

• After a midseason spike in targets, Cook has averaged just 2.8 on an 8% share over the last 4 weeks.

New England Patriots

RB snap rates:

Kevin Harris - 49%
Pierre Strong - 32%
Rhamondre Stevenson - 22% (injured)

Route rates:

Kevin Harris - 38%
Pierre Strong - 23%
Rhamondre Stevenson - 21% (injured)

Tyquan Thornton - 97%
Nelson Agholor - 97%
Kendrick Bourne - 72%
Marcus Jones - 15%
DeVante Parker - 10% (injured)

Hunter Henry - 59%
Jonnu Smith - 33%

Takeaways:

• Strong had the bigger outing, but the playing time suggests that Harris is the better Week 15 fantasy play if Stevenson and RB Damien Harris miss.
• Thornton and Agholor will be intriguing Week 15 fliers vs. the Raiders if Parker and WR Jakobi Meyers are out with their concussions.
• After 3 straight weeks with route rates in the mid-70s, Henry dipped to 59% in this one and registered just a 9% target share.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints had a Week 14 bye.

New York Giants

RB snap rates:

Matt Breida - 36%
Gary Brightwell - 33%
Saquon Barkley - 31%

Route rates:

Matt Breida - 40%
Gary Brightwell - 36%
Saquon Barkley - 16%

Richie James - 93% (injured)
Isaiah Hodgins - 89%
Darius Slayton - 78%
Kenny Golladay - 20%
Marcus Johnson - 11%

Daniel Bellinger - 58% (injured)
Nick Vannett - 38%
Chris Myarick - 9%

Takeaways:

• Barkley was clearly limited by his neck injury. We’ll need to keep a close eye on his practice participation this week.
• The Giants curiously used James more on the outside (36%), which led to a lower route rate for Slayton. That, of course, might be a moot point for Week 15 with James now in concussion protocol.

New York Jets

RB snap rates:

Michael Carter - 50%
Zonovan Knight - 47%

Route rates:

Michael Carter - 55%
Zonovan Knight - 29%

Garrett Wilson - 100%
Elijah Moore - 92%
Denzel Mims - 69%
Braxton Berrios - 24%
Corey Davis - 12% (injured)

Tyler Conklin - 71%
C.J. Uzomah - 24%

Takeaways:

• The Jets deployed just a 2-man backfield committee, with James Robinson scratched and Ty Johnson playing 0 offensive snaps. Knight was the lead ball carrier, handling 17 of 22 RB carries (77%), while Carter led in routes and out-targeted Knight 6 to 2.
• Moore remained New York’s primary slot receiver (66% snaps in the slot) in this one and led the team with 10 targets (21% share). He deserves WR3 consideration in Week 15, especially if Davis misses with his concussion.

Philadelphia Eagles

RB snap rates:

Miles Sanders - 66%
Kenneth Gainwell - 18%
Boston Scott - 18%

Route rates:

Miles Sanders - 47%
Kenneth Gainwell - 24%
Boston Scott - 11%

A.J. Brown - 100%
DeVonta Smith - 97%
Quez Watkins - 66%
Zach Pascal - 21%

Jack Stoll - 55%
Grant Calcaterra - 39%
Tyree Jackson - 8%

Takeaways:

• Eagles WR targets over the past 4 weeks:
  • Smith - 34 (27.2% share)
  • Brown - 29 (23.2%)
  • Watkins - 18 (14.4%)

Pittsburgh Steelers

RB snap rates:

Najee Harris - 56%
Jaylen Warren - 40%
Benny Snell - 4%

Route rates:

Najee Harris - 43%
Jaylen Warren - 38%
Benny Snell - 0%

Diontae Johnson - 95%
George Pickens - 92%
Steven Sims - 51%
Gunner Olszewski - 30%
Miles Boykin - 8%

Pat Freiermuth - 57%
Zach Gentry - 30%
Connor Heyward - 16%

Takeaways:

• It was back to the status quo in Pittsburgh’s backfield, with Harris handling most of the early-down work (12 of 17 RB carries) and Warren mixing in on passing downs (matched Harris with 3 targets).
• Johnson was targeted on 8 of QB Mitchell Trubisky’s 30 passes – good for a 27% target share. Johnson saw a 32% target share from Trubisky over the first 3 games of the season.
• Pickens saw just 3 targets in this one, giving him 5 targets over his last 2 games and an average of only 4.0 targets over his last 6.
• Freiermuth’s route rate was in the mid-50s for the 2nd straight week. He’s still managed a decent 11 targets on a strong 19% target share across those 2 games.

San Francisco 49ers

RB snap rates:

Christian McCaffrey - 70%
Jordan Mason - 30%

Route rates:

Christian McCaffrey - 79%
Jordan Mason - 4%

Brandon Aiyuk - 89%
Deebo Samuel - 54% (injured)
Jauan Jennings - 54%
Ray-Ray McCloud - 43%
Danny Gray - 11%

George Kittle - 89%
Tyler Kroft - 11%

Takeaways:

• Six of Mason’s 11 carries came with the 49ers nursing a 35-7 lead in the 4th quarter. Prior to that, McCaffrey out-carried Mason 14 to 5 and out-targeted him 3 to 0.
• Kittle disappointed in the box score again but at least saw a 22% target share. The problem in this one was that San Francisco threw it just 23 times.

Seattle Seahawks

RB snap rates:

Travis Homer - 91%
Tony Jones - 9%

Route rates:

Travis Homer - 65%
Tony Jones - 5%

Tyler Lockett - 98%
D.K. Metcalf - 95%
Marquise Goodwin - 79%
Dareke Young - 5%
Laquon Treadwell - 5%

Noah Fant - 42%
Will Dissly - 26%
Colby Parkinson - 23%

Takeaways:

• Big swing and a miss for Adam Schefter, who reported Sunday morning that Jones was expected to get the start in Seattle’s backfield. Of course, getting us off Homer was a blessing. All of those snaps and routes resulted in just 34 scoreless yards.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

RB snap rates:

Rachaad White - 53%
Leonard Fournette - 47%

Route rates:

Leonard Fournette - 48%
Rachaad White - 38%

Chris Godwin - 91%
Mike Evans - 88%
Julio Jones - 69%
Russell Gage - 40%
Scotty Miller - 14%

Cade Otton - 55%
Cameron Brate - 38%
Ko Kieft - 2%

Takeaways:

• Fournette, playing through a foot injury, didn’t do much in the 2nd half of this blowout loss. At halftime, Fournette had 3 carries and 2 targets to White’s 5 carries and 2 targets. White looks like the slightly better bet for carries going forward, with Fournette the slightly better bet for targets.

Tennessee Titans

RB snap rates:

Derrick Henry - 75%
Dontrell Hilliard - 13% (injured)
Julius Chestnut - 10%

Route rates:

Derrick Henry - 48%
Dontrell Hilliard - 16% (injured)
Julius Chestnut - 12%

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine - 96%
Robert Woods - 88%
Chris Conley - 52%
Racey McMath - 38%

Austin Hooper - 62%
Chig Okonkwo - 50%
Geoff Swaim - 2%

Takeaways:

• Henry saw a big bump in snap rate and a smaller bump in route rate from where he’d been the previous few weeks. Hilliard’s absence likely played a part in that. Hilliard has already been ruled out for Week 15.
• Okonkwo remained a part-time player but drew 6 targets on his 25 routes (24%). He remains a risk/reward fantasy play going forward.

Washington Commanders

The Commanders had a Week 14 bye.