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Playoff Rankings


Maybe we say this every year ... but this year's NFL playoffs feel more wide open than ever. There wasn't a single consistently dominant team during the regular season. And all 14 playoff teams enter with some questions.

The numbers and Vegas odds have the Packers as the favorite to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. FiveThirtyEight's model has Green Bay with a 50% chance to win the NFC and a 27% chance to win the Super Bowl. The Bucs (24%) and Cowboys (13%) are the only other NFC teams with more than a 7% chance to win the conference. The Vegas odds have the Packers as the favorite to come out of the NFC, the Bucs 2nd but the Rams 3rd, ahead of the Cowboys.

The AFC side is funky. Most would agree that the Chiefs and Bills are the conference's best teams. But it's the Titans with the all-important 1st-round bye. So FiveThirtyEight has chances to make the Super Bowl as the following: Chiefs 38%, Titans 31%, Bills 16%. FiveThirtyEight's rating system has the Chiefs and Bills as better than the Titans -- but Buffalo will play in Kansas City in the Divisional Round if both teams win their 1st games.

The rankings below skew heavily toward a Packers-Bills Super Bowl. The NFC goes through Lambeau Field -- and Aaron Rodgers is 17-2 at home over the past 2 seasons. The Bills have been 1 of the more inconsistent teams in the league this year. But they might just have the highest ceiling when everything is clicking.

A final note: There are a bunch of injuries we'll be tracking leading up to the start of the playoffs. Injured guys are italicized below, and we'll continue to update these rankings throughout the week.


Top 60 Overall

  1. Davante Adams, WR, Packers
  2. Stefon Diggs, WR, Bills
  3. Aaron Jones, RB, Packers
  4. Devin Singletary, RB, Bills
  5. Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals