Week 10 FanDuel Tournament Picks
NFL DFS Picks for Tournament and GPP Play
Sam Howell, Commanders ($7,200) at Seahawks
Ownership projection: 4%
Howell sits tied for third in our ceiling projections. And it’s no mystery why.
He’s hit 26 FanDuel points twice already, boosted by high volume. On the year, he’s averaged nearly 40 attempts. Washington also sits third in pass-rate over expected, both overall and within the past four weeks.
With Jahan Dotson emerging and Howell’s sack rate improving, the first-year starter projects as a sensible tournament pick. Dotson ($6,200) and Terry McLaurin ($6,800) are fairly priced for stacks.
Also consider: Joe Burrow
Aaron Jones, Packers ($6,800) at Steelers
Ownership projection: 13%
The Steelers enter the weekend set to be without S Minkah Fitzpatrick and run-stuffing DT Montravius Adams. Veteran DL Cam Heyward is slated to return, but there’s still value in playing Jones at only $6.8K.
Green Bay’s lead back is coming off a game with 26 opportunities -- his most since Week 10 of last season. At least for now, his early-season hamstring issue seems to be resolved.
James Conner, Cardinals ($6,500) vs. Falcons
Ownership projection: 16%
Conner is on track to return from a multi-week knee injury. He was a limited participant in practice all week.
If active, I expect him to see a good majority of the work with Arizona’s backfield absent a clear RB2. Conner averaged nearly 18 opportunities per game across four healthy appearances.
This matchup looks fine, too. Atlanta recently lost DT Grady Jarrett to an ACL tear. DT David Onyemata is questionable for Sunday with an ankle injury.
Also consider: Joe Mixon, David Montgomery, Bijan Robinson, Alexander Mattison
Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals ($9,300) vs. Texans
Ownership projection: 22%
I think this ownership number might be high for Chase, despite Cincinnati ruling out Tee Higgins.
That’s because Chase is listed as questionable with a back injury that limited him in Week 9. He’s expected to play, but we’ll keep an eye on his status Sunday morning.
Chase was fed 19 targets in the one game Higgins missed earlier this season. That's not what you're expecting against Houston, although it’s clear his upside increases. The Bengals are implied for 26.75 points – second-highest on the slate.
DeAndre Hopkins, Titans ($7,100) at Tampa Bay
Ownership Projection: 18%
Hopkins has totaled a solid 25% target share in two games alongisde Will Levis. Tennessee remains thin at pass-catcher, as Treylon Burks will miss another game.
The Bucs have listed two CBs (Jamel Dean and Carlton Davis) as questionable for Sunday. Even if they’re active, Tampa Bay sets up as a team more vulnerable vs. the pass than the run.
Deebo Samuel, 49ers ($7,000) at Jaguars
Ownership projection: 4%
Samuel missed the past two games with a shoulder injury. After participating fully in practice Wednesday-Friday (and ultimately being removed from the injury report), he looks poised to see his pre-injury role.
Samuel started the season with games of 7, 9 and 12 targets -- plus 8 total carries over that stretch. So his upside isn't in question. Mix in his affordable price and the low projected ownership, and his appeal grows.
Also consider: D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Chris Olave, Marquise Brown, Tank Dell, Jahan Dotson
Dalton Schultz, Texans ($6,100) at Bengals
Ownership projection: 6%
Schultz's targets have gone 10, 7, 5, 11 over his past four. Favorable volume figures to remain with Nico Collins out.
The former Cowboy has also scored in four of his past five matchups.
Over the last four weeks, opposing offenses have recorded the second highest pass rate over expected against Cincinnati. Houston should lean pass for another week with Dameon Pierce sidelined.
Game flow should help as well. The Texans have been installed as 6.5-point road underdogs.
Also consider: Trey McBride
Buccaneers ($4,000) vs. Titans
Also consider: Cowboys
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