Show Navigation
Show Menu

Week 13 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

By Jared Smola 9:53pm EST 12/1/23

Top Plays for Head-to-Head and 50/50 Contests

Here are the guys I’m zeroing in on for DraftKings Week 13 cash games:

 

Quarterback

Brock Purdy, 49ers ($6,100)

The pricing algorithm on Purdy is still broken.

Granted, he’s coming off his second-worst fantasy outing of the season. But that was a divisional road game, which tend to be tricky.

Prior to that, Purdy had topped 23 DraftKings points in three straight games; and 21 points in six of eight.

He’s in an excellent bounce-back spot this weekend against the pass-funnel Eagles. Philly ranks fourth in run defense DVOA but 21st in pass defense. As a result, they own the league’s second-highest pass rate over expected against.

Expect elevated passing volume for Purdy in this one.

His 49ers’ 25.25-point implied total is tied for third-highest on the main slate.

Also consider:

  • Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins ($7,900)

 

Running Backs

Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions ($6,700)

Gibbs has been out-carried 27 to 19 by David Montgomery over the past two weeks.

But he’s racked up 14 targets over those two games – and has a whopping 34 targets over his last five outings.

Gibbs is in an Alvin Kamara-esque role right now, which is super valuable in DraftKings’ full PPR scoring.

I like the Lions’ chances of a big bounce-back game vs. a banged-up New Orleans defense this weekend.

The Saints have coughed up 5.1 yards per carry to RBs over their last four games and are down to 22nd in run defense DVOA.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots ($6,000)

Stevenson has been getting elite passing game usage for a while now. He’s seen 5+ targets in five of his last six games (and four in the other).

He tacked on to that a bigger early-down role coming off the bye last week. Stevenson set season highs with a:

  • 78% snap rate
  • 68% carry share

The result: 21 carries, five targets, and 21.7 DraftKings points.

This weekend brings the Chargers’ 21st-ranked RB defense to town. 

Zack Moss, Colts ($4,600)

We won’t spend too much time here. Moss is the first real lock-button play we’ve had this season. (At least that I can remember. I’m getting old.)

Jonathan Taylor’s thumb injury leaves Moss back in the feature role he played in Weeks 2 through 4. He tallied 22, 33, and 19 opportunities (carries + targets) in those games, scoring 20.7, 25.5, and 9.0 DK points.

Moss gets a tough on-paper matchup vs. the Titans on Sunday. But he smoked them for 165 yards and two TDs on 23 carries in Week 5, Taylor’s first game back.

Moss is about $2,000 underpriced.

Also consider:

  • Bijan Robinson, Falcons ($6,700)
  • Rachaad White, Buccaneers ($6,300)

  

Wide Receivers

Tyreek Hill, Dolphins ($9,600)

Fantasy’s No. 1 WR gets the No. 32 WR defense.

It’s a particularly good matchup for Hill against a Commanders pass defense that gives up explosive pass plays in bunches. No team has allowed more completions of 15+ yards.

Josh Downs, Colts ($5,100)

Downs underwhelmed with just 9.3 DraftKings points last week.

But he saw another 13 targets from QB Gardner Minshew.

In five healthy games with Minshew this season, Downs has averaged:

  • 9.6 targets
  • 6.0 catches
  • 63.6 yards
  • 0.4 TDs

Sunday brings a matchup against the Titans’ 27th-ranked WR defense.

Curtis Samuel, Commanders ($4,100)

Samuel has caught 4+ balls in six of nine full games this season.

Washington should chuck it a bunch, as usual, as 9.5-point underdogs to Miami this weekend.

And Samuel has the best matchup among Washington’s three primary receivers against Dolphins slot CB Kader Kohou, who ranks 93rd among 96 qualifying CBs in passer rating allowed in coverage.

Also consider:

  • Michael Pittman, Colts ($7,100)
  • Greg Dortch, Cardinals ($3,700)

 

Tight Ends

David Njoku, Browns ($4,100)

Njoku has seen 8+ targets in five of his last six games. He saw six in the other.

That’s awesome volume at a position at which it’s tough to find reliable volume.

QB Joe Flacco adds some unknown to Njoku’s target profile. But Flacco should be an upgrade over QBs Dorian Thompson-Robinson and P.J. Walker. And I believe Njoku’s volume has been more by design than a product of his QB.

Njoku also gets an excellent matchup this weekend vs. the Rams, who rank 29th in both TE coverage DVOA and adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Also consider:

  • Logan Thomas, Commanders ($3,600)
  • Brevin Jordan, Texans ($2,500)

  

Defense/Special Teams

Falcons ($3,400)

This might be the most I’ve ever paid for a DST in cash. And it’s not even a good defense!

But DraftKings has made DST more challenging lately, raising the salary floor and pricing up DSTs in good matchups.

The Falcons check in as the second-best DST value on the slate according to our projections, despite the elevated salary. They get QB Tim Boyle, who has thrown an INT on an absurd 7.0% of his career passes.

The Jets’ 15.75-point implied total is tied for the lowest on the main slate.

Also consider:

  • 49ers ($3,000)

 

Related Fantasy Football

NFL DFS: Wildcard Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel

NFL DFS: Wildcard Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel

3:13pm EST 1/11/24

Six games ... and a lot of difficult decisions. Let's run through an exciting DFS slate on FanDuel and DraftKings ahead of Wild Card Weekend.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

Week 18 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

12:33pm EST 1/7/24

Top DraftKings picks at every position for Week 18 head-to-head and 50/50 contests.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

Week 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

10:01pm EST 1/6/24

Top stacks and positional targets for Week 18 DraftKings tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

9:22am EST 1/6/24

Week 18 is always tough to predict, but there are still edges to be found. See where to turn in Week 18 FanDuel tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

5:04pm EST 1/5/24

With many key players resting, Week 18 FanDuel cash games figure to be the wild west. Let's see who's set to deliver DFS value.

Read More »
Week 17 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

Week 17 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

10:45pm EST 12/30/23

Top DraftKings picks at every position for Week 17 head-to-head and 50/50 contests.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 17 DraftKings Tournament Picks

Week 17 DraftKings Tournament Picks

10:41pm EST 12/30/23

Top stacks and positional targets for Week 17 DraftKings tournaments.

Read More »
Other rankings are stale  before the 2nd round.

Draft using the best dynamic tool in the industry. Our fantasy player valuations (DMVP) change during your draft in response to...

  1. Exact league settings - direct sync
  2. Opponent and Team Needs
  3. Positional scarcity & available players
  4. Ceiling, injury risk, ADP, and more!

You need a dynamic cheat sheet that easily live-syncs with your draft board and adapts throughout your draft using 17 crucial indicators.

Get your Draft War Room Today
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?
Check out thisleague-winning info
2023 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2023 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2023 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play