% chance misses at least 2 quarters
1- 17√1-% Inj/Season
Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable
Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Index, formerly
|May 17, 2013||NFL||Back Vertebral Fracture||May MRI on disc issue revealed that he needed back surgery (reportedly not related to 2009 back injury that required surgery). Issue reportedly dated to 2012 season. Gronkowski didn't play until Week 7 of 2013.|
|Jan 13, 2013||NFL||Arm Forearm Fracture||Re-fractured left forearm (not identical injury). Gronk required 3 more surgeries, including treatment for nagging infection. He remained out until Week 7 of 2013 while also recovering from back surgery.|
|Nov 18, 2012||NFL||Arm Forearm Fracture||Gronk sustained a fractured forearm against the Colts and was sidelined the following 5 games. Had surgery November 19, 2012.|
|Sep 28, 2012||NFL||Inguinal Hip Pull||Gronk suffered a pulled hip during a practice which limited his reps that week but returned in time for the game.|
|Jan 22, 2012||NFL||Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3||Gronkowski suffered a high-ankle sprain in the AFC Championship game. He played through the injury in the Super Bowl 2 weeks later but required arthroscopic surgery later in February. He reportedly suffered multiple torn ligaments.|
|Aug 15, 2009||Non-NFL||Back Vertebral Disc Hernia||Missed entire junior year at Arizona (2009) following surgery for bulging disk in back. According to his book "It's Good to be Gronk," MRI showed badly ruptured disk that was damaging nerves in spinal cord.|
|Aug 30, 2008||Non-NFL||Cervical Throat Mononucleosis||In college, Gronkowski missed 3 games with mononucleosis and strep throat.|
|Dec 8, 2013||NFL||Knee ACL Tear Grade 3||Gronkowski suffered tears to his right ACL and MCL against the Browns. He landed on IR and had reconstructive surgery in January 9, 2014. Gronk missed the final 3 games plus 2 in the playoffs.|
|Nov 29, 2015||NFL||Knee Strain Grade 1||Team and Gronkowski family called the injury a "bone bruise/sprain of his right knee" in a joint statement. Gronk missed 1 game. Later had a January treatment than included a pain injection.|
|Aug 15, 2016||NFL||Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Gronk pulled up lame in preseason practice. He sat out the entire preseason and 1st 2 regular-season games, then remained limited at least into Week 5.|
|Nov 27, 2016||NFL||Back Vertebral Disc Hernia||Gronk suffered a herniated disc and impinged nerve that required December surgery. He left after a hit in the Jets game, but the injury reportedly originated Nov. 13 vs. Seattle. Gronk missed the final 5 games plus 3 in the playoffs.|
|Jan 21, 2018||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Gronkowski suffered a concussion on a 2nd-quarter helmet-to-helmet hit by Jaguars S Barry Church. He missed the rest of the game and entered the league protocol.|
|Oct 1, 2017||NFL||Leg Thigh Bruise||Gronkowski suffered a right thigh contusion via a leg whip against the Panthers and missed the following game at Tampa Bay.|
|Nov 13, 2016||NFL||Chest Lung Bruise||Gronk left late after a big hit by Seattle S Earl Thomas. Injury reported as bruised lung, bruised sternum and perforated lung. Original report of punctured lung proved incorrect. Later back injury and surgery also attributed to this hit.|
|Dec 8, 2013||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Gronkowski suffered a concussion on the same play that tore his right ACL and MCL. Thus, we have no way to know whether this injury would have cost him further game time.|
|Dec 8, 2013||NFL||Knee MCL Tear Grade 3||Gronkowski tore his right MCL against the Browns on the same play that tore the right ACL. He hit IR and had reconstructive surgery January 9, 2014. Gronk missed the final 3 games plus 2 in the playoffs.|
|Oct 14, 2018||NFL||Back Lower Lumbar Sprain||Gronkowski missed 1 game with an unspecified back injury. It's not clear exactly when he suffered the initial injury.|
|Oct 29, 2018||NFL||Back Lower Lumbar Sprain||Gronk suffered a setback with his back injury and missed 2 games. He returned after the Week 11 bye.|
What You Need to Know:
-Gronkowski returned to the league following 1 year in retirement. The Pats dealt him to the Bucs in April of 2020.
-Normally playing hurt, Gronk wasn’t even listed on the injury report. Good health — and a reunion with Tom Brady — helped Gronk post 77-45-623-7 as the TE8.
-High pass volume clearly helped. Tampa Bay ranked 3rd in pass rate (62.9%); Brady ranked 2nd in raw attempts (610).
-The 58.4% catch rate was certainly a disappointment. Chalk it up to some combination of rust/natural decline.
-Gronk caught a strong 62% of his contested targets. His drop rate was only 5.4%.
-Still, he wasn’t exactly consistent. He fell shy of just 8 PPR points 7 times.
-He saw 17.9% of Tampa Bay’s red zone targets (14) — 2nd most on the team behind Mike Evans.
-Chris Godwin missed 4 full games with several injuries. Gronk’s production wasn’t dependent on an absent Godwin, though: The former Patriot tallied 14-8-122-1 over that span.
-In 4 full games alongside O.J. Howard (Weeks 1-4, torn Achilles), Gronk was out-targeted 14-19. Gronk saw a team target share of just 9% over that stretch. Compare that to 13.8% without Howard.
-Howard (and Cameron Brate) returns for another year with the Bucs. But his effectiveness is a question mark coming off such a serious injury.
-Evans, Godwin and Antonio Brown (who joined in the middle of last season) all return for another go-around. Don’t bank on Gronk seeing nearly 80 targets for the 2nd straight season. His history also says we should expect some missed time in ’21. Gronk missed 14 games from 2016-2018.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line
After a year off, Gronkowski, 32, reminded us that he’s still a fantasy-relevant TE. While an O.J. Howard injury helped, Gronk retained his scoring dominance with a 15.5% TD rate (7 on just 45 catches). He should remain a red zone weapon in 2021.
Look for his volume to come down, though, with Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and Antonio Brown all returning for 2021. Gronk will also retain a high risk of injury, despite the clean 2020. He’s not one of our top TE targets.
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