Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Aaron Jones - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAaron Jones's Basic Stats

Aaron Jones
ADP: 2.6
Bye: 14
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27.8
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 208
40 Time: 4.56
SPARQx (Rank): 112.00 (54%)
Burst Score (Rank): 127.30 (88%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.02 (89%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.82

Aaron Jones's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
48.7 0.4 3.2 25.4 0.2 10.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
56.2 0.5 3.9 32.3 0.2 12.9

Aaron Jones's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Running Back

192 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
2.6 188.6 858.3 7.5 1.9 1.5 58.4 449.3 3.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAaron Jones's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • After flirting with other teams in free agency, Jones returned to GB last March on a 4-year, $48 million deal.
  • He missed 1 game with a Week 10 right MCL sprain (and 1 for rest in Week 18). He sprained his left MCL in 2017; his right MCL in 2017 and 2018.
  • When active, Jones saw AJ Dillon take a bite out of his rushing role. In 15 games together, Jones barely out-carried Dillon, 171-162. Jones predictably topped him in targets (65-30).
  • Jones’ 4 rushing scores dipped from 9 the year prior. He handled 37.2% of Green Bay's red zone rushes — 2nd behind Dillon’s 45.3%.
  • Jones’ PFF Elusive Rating (63.2), YAC per attempt (3.15) and YPC (4.6) all marked clear declines from 2020. Health likely played a role.
  • All told, Jones finished as an RB1 only 4 times, although he added an RB13 finish.
  • He ran behind a Packers O-line that ranked 23rd in PFF run blocking grade. Injuries and depth concerns have this unit profiling similarly in 2022.
  • Dillon returns to steal a sizable chuck of the backfield touches. Only in year 3, Dillion’s likely nearing peak form.
  • The loss of Devante Adams, though, allows for greater TD potential. Last year, Adams garnered 14 targets inside the 10 yard-line, converting 7 into scores.
  • Green Bay added bodies at WR. But between rookies Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs and veteran Sammy Watkins, there’s no lock to produce right away. So Jones should remain a major pass-catching threat.
  • Aaron Rodgers certainly remains one of the game’s top QBs. Last year, he ranked 3rd in PFF passing grade; 1st in QBR.
  • Wes Hodkiewicz of Packers.com expects RBs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon to have a “big role” in the passing game.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Jones, 28 in December, probably won’t carry an RB1 ceiling for much longer.

He’s played a full season only once in his 5-year career. And AJ Dillon has clearly emerged as a worthy backfield partner.

The path to Jones delivering as a fringe RB1 is via the receiving game. With Green Bay missing ~240 targets from 2021, Jones is a prime candidate to see a boosted role. He’s ultimately fairly priced at a current RB12 ADP.

Adjust Aaron Jones's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and DMVP based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Aaron Jones, RB GB

10:30am EDT 9/26/22

Green Bay RBs shut down

Packers RB Aaron Jones mustered only 12 carries for 36 yards in Week 3. Facing a stout Bucs defense, A.J. Dillon (12-32) struggled to get going, too. Jones, though, lost a fumble just shy of the goal line after taking a hard shot from DT Vita Vea. A score there would have been huge, as Jones finished with only 3 catches for 11 yards on 4 targets. (Dillon added just 2 grabs for 6 yards on 3 targets.) This ground game will look to rebound against New England in Week 4. The Pats have allowed only 3.8 YPC to opposing RBs through 3 games.

View all Aaron Jones Shark Bites »

Packers RB Aaron Jones dominated the Bears in Week 2, rushing 15 times for 132 yards and 1 score. He chipped in with 3 catches for 38 yards and another score. AJ Dillon out-carried Jones by 3, but note that Dillon handled 3 consecutive carries on Green Bay’s final, clock-killing drive…when the Packers led by 17. Per Next Gen Stats, Jones posted 4.91 rushing yards over expected per attempt — best among all Week 2 rushers. It was a much-needed bounce-back after his Week 1 dud. The upcoming schedule (at Bucs, vs. Patriots) isn’t ideal, but you can start Jones with confidence.

View all Aaron Jones Shark Bites »

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has noticed improvement in RB AJ Dillon’s receiving ability. "I feel like of all the people we've had the last three years, he's got to be on a very short list of guys who have improved so drastically, and his pass-catching ability is really, really solid," Rodgers said. "He's made difficult catches look easy over the last couple years and this training camp, and I couldn't be more proud of (number) 28 and his approach, the way that he's handled not just being a player in this locker room, an ascending player, but a member of this community.” HC Matt LaFleur had similar complimentary things to say, including an endorsement of Dillon's pass protection. Wes Hodkiewicz of Packers.com writes that the Packers have “big plans” for Dillon and Aaron Jones, noting their potential to play both RBs at once. We’ll see on that, but it’s clear Dillon, only 24, is an ascending 3rd-year player.

View all A.J. Dillon Shark Bites »

Matt Schneidman of The Athletic expects the snap shares of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon to stay “in the same vicinity” this season. Jones saw ~52% of the snaps in 2021; Dillon handled ~43%. Jones’ ability in the passing game gives him the leg up, but Dillon has made it a point of emphasis this offseason. “Coming in, I was always the big back who’s only good for third-and-short, so I really want to be and I think of myself as an APB, an all-purpose back, no matter what the situation,” Dillon said. “And I feel like last year was a good start, a good foothold if you will, but there’s still a couple opportunities I wish I had caught the ball and been in better placement or ran a route better. So I’m happy with the improvement, but obviously still working on it.” In FFPC drafting, Jones is currently coming off the board around RB10, with Dillion averaging out as the RB26.

View all A.J. Dillon Shark Bites »

Wes Hodkiewicz of Packers.com expects RBs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon to have a “big role” in the passing game. Jones saw 65 targets in 2021; Dillion handled 37. While Green Bay added several bodies to the WR corps, there’s uncertainty regarding how they’ll replace 224 targets left by Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Current projections have Jones for a career-high in catches.

View all Aaron Jones Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Aaron Jones, RB GB
Dynasty MVP 134.4
Position Rank #23 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
556
726
726
Dynasty Write-up
A.J. Dillon is a real threat to Jones' rushing volume. But Jones remained effective in 2021, averaging 4.7 yards per carry and racking up a career-high 52 catches. He'll play this coming season at age 27.
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy

Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2022 Draft Package Now - Sept 15th

$39

Get Instant Access
2022 In-Season Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$39

Get Access Sept. 5th
2022 DFS Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$49

Get Access Sept. 5th
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual auto-renew
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool
Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice
Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access
Draft Sharks App
All–Access Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept. 5th Get Access Sept. 5th Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play