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Player Profile

A.J. Brown - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsA.J. Brown's Basic Stats

A.J. Brown
PHI

WR PHI

#6 Wide Receiver

194.9 Projected Points

ADP: 2.2
Bye: 10
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.2
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.49
Speed Score: 109.70
SPARQx (Rank): 119.50 (88%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.10 (56%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.25 (49%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.12 (66%)

A.J. Brown's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.3 74.3 0.6 11
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.4 83.1 0.6 11.9

A.J. Brown's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#6 Wide Receiver

182.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
2.2 80.8 1276.9 9.1 3.2 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsA.J. Brown's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Brown delivered a WR5 finish in his debut season with the Eagles.

At 26, only an injury could derail another WR1 season. He’s in play as an early-to-mid Round 2 pick across formats.


What We Learned Last Year
  • The Eagles acquired Brown from Tennessee for the 18th and 101st overall picks.
  • Brown then signed a four-year deal with $57 million guaranteed.
  • His connection with QB Jalen Hurts, who took another step forward, showed up immediately.
    • Brown finished as a top-15 PPR WR eight times in 2022. He ranked top-5 three times.
    • Overall, he ranked as the WR5, his best career finish.
    • He set career highs in catches (88) and yards (1,496). He tied a career high with 11 TDs, boosted by the league’s second-highest red-zone target share (34%).
    • He handled a personal-best 145 targets. Only eight WRs saw more.
  • Brown ranked third league wide in percentage of team air yards (41.3%).
    • He dominated on deep balls with a near-perfect 99.9 Pro Football Focus deep receiving grade.
  • AJB was strong after the catch, too. He ranked fifth at the position in yards after catch per reception (6.6).
  • Despite a history of knee trouble, Brown played all 17 games and reached 1,000 snaps for the first time in his career.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Only 26, Brown’s squarely in his prime.
  • The nucleus of this offense – QB Jalen Hurts, WR DeVonta Smith, TE Dallas Goedert, and a stout O-line – remains intact.
  • The backfield lost RB Miles Sanders but looks deeper with the arrivals of Rashaad Penny and receiving back D’Andre Swift.
    • Philly RBs combined for a 12% target share in 2022. That’ll likely increase in 2023, but don’t expect Brown’s workload to suffer.
  • OC Shane Steichen left to take the Colts’ HC job. We largely expect the same offense under QBs coach-turned-OC Brian Johnson.
  • Per The Athletic, The Eagles had halftime leads in 16 of 20 games last season.
    • Philly held double-digit halftime leads in 11 games.
    • They averaged 18.9 pass attempts in the first half of games; 12.3 pass attempts in the second half.
  • A tougher schedule should find more passing for Philly and Hurts, who’s entering only Year 3 as the starter.
    • This defense likely takes a step back after posting a whopping 70 sacks. It’s another reason to believe Hurts’ volume – only ~30 passes per game in 2022 – improves.
View WR Fantasy Rankings »

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A.J. Brown, WR PHI

11:39pm EDT 9/14/23

Frustrating night for A.J. Brown

Eagles WR A.J. Brown mustered just four catches for 29 scoreless yards in Thursday night's win over the Vikings. He was visibly frustrated on a night when Philly's passing game struggled to get anything done outside of two deep balls to WR DeVonta Smith. Brown had a 25-yard TD in the fourth quarter negated by a holding penalty on RB Rashaad Penny -- and then appeared to be interfered with on a potential TD on the very next play. The Eagles' passing game has looked disjointed through two weeks, but we expect it to get rolling soon. Brown remains a fantasy must-start with week-winning upside. Although there's very little separating him and Smith in terms of fantasy value at this point.

View all A.J. Brown Shark Bites »

Related Players DeVonta Smith

Eagles TE Dallas Goedert drew just 1 target in Sunday's win over the Patriots and went catchless. Philly's limited receiving production (170 yards) primarily went to WRs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Brown caught 7 of 10 targets for 79 yards. Smith added a 7-47-1 line on 10 targets. RB Kenneth Gainwell was the only other Eagle to draw more than 2 looks. Goedert and the Eagles face a much softer Vikings defense in Week 2. Expect to see the Eagles TE still among our top 12 for Week 2.

View all Dallas Goedert Shark Bites »

Related Players A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith

Eagles WR DeVonta Smith spent part of the winter rehabbing a toe injury from Super Bowl 57. He’s back to 100% and looking to appear in all 17 games for the third straight season. (So much for those concerns about his slim frame.) In 2022, Smith nearly matched A.J. Brown in target share (27% vs. 28.6%). The ‘Bama product finished as the PPR WR9, up from a WR29 finish as a rookie. Top-12 fantasy upside remains in a condensed Eagles passing game. Smith turns just 25 in November.

View all DeVonta Smith Shark Bites »

Related Players A.J. Brown

The Eagles and QB Jalen Hurts have agreed to a five-year contract extension, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. The deal reportedly includes $255 million in total money, with $179.304 million in guarantees -- plus an extra $15 million in incentives. The pact also comes with a no-trade clause, the first the team has ever given out, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. This obviously locks Hurts in as Philly's starter for the foreseeable future, which is good news for his spot in the dynasty rankings. This could also be a key move in the Lamar Jackson saga. Hurts' deal -- along with other recent second QB contracts -- seems to set the market.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Related Players Lamar Jackson, Dallas Goedert, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith

The Eagles promoted Brian Johnson to OC. The 36-year-old has spent the past 2 seasons as Philly's QB coach, helping QB Jalen Hurts develop into 1 of the game's best. While this will be Johnson's first NFL OC gig, he does have 4 years of OC experience at the college level (2012-2013 at Utah, 2017 at Houston and 2020 at Florida). With Johnson's promotion and HC Nick Sirianni back, there should be plenty of continuity for the Eagles' offense in 2023, despite the loss of OC Shane Steichen.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Related Players Dallas Goedert, A.J. Brown, Kenneth Gainwell, DeVonta Smith

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

A.J. Brown, WR PHI
Dynasty MVP 153.3
Position Rank #5 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
489
793
1,385
Dynasty Write-up
As a first-year Eagle, Brown shoved aside injury concerns to set a career-high in catches and yards. QB Jalen Hurts really took off as a passer, which should help dynasty managers sleep at night. Brown is only 25 years old.

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