Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

A.J. Brown - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsA.J. Brown's Basic Stats

A.J. Brown
ADP: 2.2
Bye: 10
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.2
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.49
Speed Score: 109.70
SPARQx (Rank): 119.50 (88%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.10 (56%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.25 (49%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.12 (66%)

A.J. Brown's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.3 74.3 0.6 11
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.4 83.1 0.6 11.9

A.J. Brown's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#6 Wide Receiver

182.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
2.2 80.8 1276.9 9.1 3.2 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsA.J. Brown's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Brown delivered a WR5 finish in his debut season with the Eagles.

At 26, only an injury could derail another WR1 season. He’s in play as an early-to-mid Round 2 pick across formats.


What We Learned Last Year
  • The Eagles acquired Brown from Tennessee for the 18th and 101st overall picks.
  • Brown then signed a four-year deal with $57 million guaranteed.
  • His connection with QB Jalen Hurts, who took another step forward, showed up immediately.
    • Brown finished as a top-15 PPR WR eight times in 2022. He ranked top-5 three times.
    • Overall, he ranked as the WR5, his best career finish.
    • He set career highs in catches (88) and yards (1,496). He tied a career high with 11 TDs, boosted by the league’s second-highest red-zone target share (34%).
    • He handled a personal-best 145 targets. Only eight WRs saw more.
  • Brown ranked third league wide in percentage of team air yards (41.3%).
    • He dominated on deep balls with a near-perfect 99.9 Pro Football Focus deep receiving grade.
  • AJB was strong after the catch, too. He ranked fifth at the position in yards after catch per reception (6.6).
  • Despite a history of knee trouble, Brown played all 17 games and reached 1,000 snaps for the first time in his career.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Only 26, Brown’s squarely in his prime.
  • The nucleus of this offense – QB Jalen Hurts, WR DeVonta Smith, TE Dallas Goedert, and a stout O-line – remains intact.
  • The backfield lost RB Miles Sanders but looks deeper with the arrivals of Rashaad Penny and receiving back D’Andre Swift.
    • Philly RBs combined for a 12% target share in 2022. That’ll likely increase in 2023, but don’t expect Brown’s workload to suffer.
  • OC Shane Steichen left to take the Colts’ HC job. We largely expect the same offense under QBs coach-turned-OC Brian Johnson.
  • Per The Athletic, The Eagles had halftime leads in 16 of 20 games last season.
    • Philly held double-digit halftime leads in 11 games.
    • They averaged 18.9 pass attempts in the first half of games; 12.3 pass attempts in the second half.
  • A tougher schedule should find more passing for Philly and Hurts, who’s entering only Year 3 as the starter.
    • This defense likely takes a step back after posting a whopping 70 sacks. It’s another reason to believe Hurts’ volume – only ~30 passes per game in 2022 – improves.

Adjust A.J. Brown's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and DMVP based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

A.J. Brown, WR PHI

11:39pm EDT 9/14/23

Frustrating night for A.J. Brown

Eagles WR A.J. Brown mustered just four catches for 29 scoreless yards in Thursday night's win over the Vikings. He was visibly frustrated on a night when Philly's passing game struggled to get anything done outside of two deep balls to WR DeVonta Smith. Brown had a 25-yard TD in the fourth quarter negated by a holding penalty on RB Rashaad Penny -- and then appeared to be interfered with on a potential TD on the very next play. The Eagles' passing game has looked disjointed through two weeks, but we expect it to get rolling soon. Brown remains a fantasy must-start with week-winning upside. Although there's very little separating him and Smith in terms of fantasy value at this point.

View all A.J. Brown Shark Bites »

Eagles TE Dallas Goedert drew just 1 target in Sunday's win over the Patriots and went catchless. Philly's limited receiving production (170 yards) primarily went to WRs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Brown caught 7 of 10 targets for 79 yards. Smith added a 7-47-1 line on 10 targets. RB Kenneth Gainwell was the only other Eagle to draw more than 2 looks. Goedert and the Eagles face a much softer Vikings defense in Week 2. Expect to see the Eagles TE still among our top 12 for Week 2.

View all Dallas Goedert Shark Bites »

Eagles WR DeVonta Smith spent part of the winter rehabbing a toe injury from Super Bowl 57. He’s back to 100% and looking to appear in all 17 games for the third straight season. (So much for those concerns about his slim frame.) In 2022, Smith nearly matched A.J. Brown in target share (27% vs. 28.6%). The ‘Bama product finished as the PPR WR9, up from a WR29 finish as a rookie. Top-12 fantasy upside remains in a condensed Eagles passing game. Smith turns just 25 in November.

View all DeVonta Smith Shark Bites »

The Eagles and QB Jalen Hurts have agreed to a five-year contract extension, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. The deal reportedly includes $255 million in total money, with $179.304 million in guarantees -- plus an extra $15 million in incentives. The pact also comes with a no-trade clause, the first the team has ever given out, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. This obviously locks Hurts in as Philly's starter for the foreseeable future, which is good news for his spot in the dynasty rankings. This could also be a key move in the Lamar Jackson saga. Hurts' deal -- along with other recent second QB contracts -- seems to set the market.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

The Eagles promoted Brian Johnson to OC. The 36-year-old has spent the past 2 seasons as Philly's QB coach, helping QB Jalen Hurts develop into 1 of the game's best. While this will be Johnson's first NFL OC gig, he does have 4 years of OC experience at the college level (2012-2013 at Utah, 2017 at Houston and 2020 at Florida). With Johnson's promotion and HC Nick Sirianni back, there should be plenty of continuity for the Eagles' offense in 2023, despite the loss of OC Shane Steichen.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

A.J. Brown, WR PHI
Dynasty MVP 153.3
Position Rank #5 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
489
793
1,385
Dynasty Write-up
As a first-year Eagle, Brown shoved aside injury concerns to set a career-high in catches and yards. QB Jalen Hurts really took off as a passer, which should help dynasty managers sleep at night. Brown is only 25 years old.
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2023 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2023 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2023 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play