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Allen Robinson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAllen Robinson's Basic Stats

Allen Robinson
ADP: 7.1
Bye: 7
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 28.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.56
Speed Score: 103.20
SPARQx (Rank): 124.10 (93%)
Burst Score (Rank): 129.80 (87%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.00 (76%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.32 (92%)

Allen Robinson's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#23 Wide Receiver

146.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
7.1 80.7 1013.2 7.7 2.5 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAllen Robinson's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • Robinson is coming off an ugly 2021 season. He missed 5 games, 3 with a hamstring injury and 2 on the COVID list, and mustered just 38 catches for 410 yards and 1 TD.
  • Robinson finished 94th among WRs in both PPR and non-PPR points per game.
  • He dealt with shaky QB play from Justin Fields, Andy Dalton and Nick Foles. The Bears ranked 23rd in Pro Football Focus’ passing grades.
  • But Robinson wasn’t very good in his own right. Among 89 WRs with 50+ targets last season, Robinson ranked 65th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades and 80th in yards per route run.
    • By comparison, teammate Darnell Mooney ranked 30th in PFF grade and 38th in yards per route run.
  • Robinson turns 29 in August.
  • He ranked 5th and 12th in PFF receiving grade the previous 2 years; 18th and 29th in yards per route.
  • Robinson inked a 3-year, $46.5 million deal with the Rams in free agency. It makes him the league’s 21st-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary.
  • Robinson gets a huge upgrade in quality of offense with the move from Chicago to Los Angeles. Here’s how the Bears and Rams ranked in basic offensive categories last year:
  • Matt Stafford will easily be the best QB Robinson has ever played with.
  • The Rams return last year’s top 3 target-getters in WR Cooper Kupp, WR Van Jefferson and TE Tyler Higbee.
  • But WR Robert Woods was traded to the Titans in March. And WR Odell Beckham remains unsigned as of mid-June after tearing his ACL in the Super Bowl.
    • Those 2 combined for 19.3% of the Rams’ targets, 17.7% of the catches, 17.6% of the receiving yards and 22.0% of the receiving TDs last year.
    • Woods played the first 9 games of last season before tearing his ACL. Beckham then played the final 8 games after being acquired from the Browns. They combined for 222.7 PPR points in those 17 games, which would have ranked 23rd among WRs.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Robinson’s 2021 season was concerning. He was in a bad Bears offense, but his underlying metrics were bad, including a Pro Football Focus receiving grade that landed him 65th among 89 qualifiers.

But Robinson was excellent the previous couple of years and will play this season at just 29. A bounce-back is certainly doable, especially with the massive upgrade in supporting cast he gets with the move to Los Angeles.

Even if Robinson’s own performance doesn’t return to pre-2021 levels, the opportunity with the Rams should at least make him a lower-end fantasy starter. And if his play does rebound, a top-20 fantasy finish is likely.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Allen Robinson, WR LAR

11:55am EDT 6/20/22

Rams OC talks A-Rob

New Rams OC Liam Coen gave his early impressions of WR Allen Robinson. "I think his route tree is extremely expanded from probably years ago, or maybe what we've had our other receivers do," Coen said at minicamp. "I mean, he can run a lot of routes that Cooper [Kupp] can, you know – some of those option routes and choice routes and things that we asked Cooper to do – because he just has an unbelievable ability to play underneath, himself.” Robinson, 29 in August, looks primed for a rebound alongside Matt Stafford and Sean McVay. He profiles as a top-20 WR for the upcoming season.

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Rams QB Matt Stafford likes what he's seen from WR Allen Robinson so far this offseason. "I've been very, very impressed with his ability to grasp our offense, his role in our offense," Stafford said. "His understanding even when he might miss something or mess something up, the reason is so sound on why he did something." Robinson is coming off an ugly 2021 but is in a prime bounce-back spot with a clear path to #2 WR duties in a strong Rams offense.

View all Allen Robinson Shark Bites »

The Rams are signing WR Allen Robinson to a 3-year, $46.5 million deal. It's a particularly surprising move considering the money. The Rams obviously return Cooper Kupp, get Robert Woods back from his ACL tear and retain Van Jefferson. There had also been reports of the team being interested in re-signing Odell Beckham Jr. (whose Super Bowl ACL tear makes it unlikely that he begins the season on time). The investment in Robinson clearly points to the team believing the veteran wideout will rebound from his 2021 performance. We'll see whether it also indicates concern for Woods' recovery or means that Jefferson's role will shrink. Robinson could have landed in better situations for his target volume, but Matthew Stafford will easily be the best QB he has played with. Robinson has been going low in WR4 range of early best-ball drafts and remains a solid-to-good shot to take if he continues to go in that range.

View all Allen Robinson Shark Bites »

Citing team sources, league insider Adam Caplan said on the Inside The Birds podcast that the Bears “felt” Allen Robinson “lost his long speed” last year. It's an interesting nugget, although it's clear the Bears' old ragime (led by HC Matt Nagy and GM Ryan Pace) wasn't the best at evaluating talent. Caplan also said Chicago planned to move Robinson more into the slot in 2021 — but they failed to find anyone to take his place outside. The former Jag still played 31.6% of his snaps in the slot, up from 25.4% in 2020. A lingering hamstring injury and an inability to mesh with the QBs led to an ugly 38-410-1 line in 12 games. Only 29 (in August), Robinson, a free agent, could be in for a bounce-back year if he finds the right home.

View all Allen Robinson Shark Bites »

Bears WR Allen Robinson has been activated from the COVID list. He figures to siphon a few targets from WR Darnell Mooney and TE Cole Kmet this weekend, but A-Rob isn't a fantasy option vs. the Giants.

View all Allen Robinson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Allen Robinson, WR LAR
Dynasty MVP 112.2
Position Rank #38 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
418
658
658
Dynasty Write-up
2021 couldn't have gone much worse than it did for Robinson. But from his rookie season (2014) through 2020, Robinson ranked 16th among WRs in PPR points per game. He doesn't turn 29 until August and could step right into the target share that Robert Woods left behind.

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