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Antonio Gibson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAntonio Gibson's Basic Stats

Antonio Gibson
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.4
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.39
Burst Score (Rank): 118.50 (49%)

Antonio Gibson's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
47 0.3 2.6 18.7 0.1 8.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
34.3 0.3 3.3 27.3 0.1 8.4

Antonio Gibson's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#28 Running Back

151.6 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 203.1 821.1 7 1.8 1.5 30.9 238.7 1.1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAntonio Gibson's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Over his 2 NFL seasons, Gibson has handled the league’s 7th-most carries and 8th-most total opportunities (carries + targets).
  • His rushing attempts per game increased by 4.0 last season, from 12.1 to 16.1. His targets per game got a slight bump: 3.14 to 3.25.
  • The latter got a big boost from J.D. McKissic’s Week 12 injury. Gibson went from 8.1% target share in games with McKissic to 15.2% in games McKissic missed.
  • Last year found Gibson ranking 4th in the league in total opportunities but tied for just 13th in Dominator Rating, which looks at an RB’s share of team offensive production.
  • He tied for just 16th among RBs in red-zone snap share.
  • Gibson played through a shin stress fracture throughout 2021, adding a Week 6 calf injury and a December toe issue. He initially suffered a turf-toe type of injury in Dec. 2020, which reportedly lingered through the following offseason (but didn’t keep Gibson off the field).
  • Washington matched Buffalo’s contract offer to keep J.D. McKissic from leaving in free agency.
  • The team selected Alabama RB Brian Robinson in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. HC Ron Rivera has since indicated that he’d like to deploy Gibson and Robinson in a similar fashion to how his early Panthers teams used RBs DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart.
  • Yearly carry counts for Williams and Stewart:
    • 2011: Williams 155, Stewart 142
    • 2012: Williams 173, Stewart 93 (in 9 games)
    • 2013: Williams 201, Stewart + Mike Tolbert 149 (Stewart missed 10 games)
    • 2014: Stewart 175, Williams + Tolbert 99 (in 14 combined games)


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Washington is saying with both words and actions that it wants to limit Gibson’s workload more than it did the past 2 years. J.D. McKissic returns to keep the passing-game lead, while rookie Brian Robinson adds a thumping presence between the tackles. Gibson looks likely to lose both targets and carries vs. last year’s numbers, and he could lose further touches near the goal line. Fantasy drafters have been apprehensive all offseason, allowing Gibson to slip into late Round 5 and even Round 6 since the Robinson addition and the Williams-Stewart comparisons. Gibson doesn’t carry a ton of risk in Round 6, but there’s potential for this to be a frustrating fantasy situation all year. That’s less of a concern for best-ball drafting but should make you wary of counting on Gibson in a lineup-setting format.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Brian Robinson, RB WAS

8:36pm EST 11/27/22

Robinson delivers big game vs. Falcons

Commanders RB Brian Robinson delivered his 1st career 100-yard game in Sunday's win over the Falcons, rushing for 105 on 18 carries. He added 2 catches for 20 yards, including a 14-yard TD. Robinson reclaimed the rushing lead from Antonio Gibson after trailing his teammate there in Week 11. Robinson still ran half has many pass routes as Gibson, according to Pro Football Focus, and beat him by just 4 total snaps. We'd credit the production -- at least in large part -- to the matchup. Sunday marked the 1st time this season that Robinson averaged more than 3.8 yards per carry. And his 2nd-best mark in that category came last week against Houston. Robinson's 3rd straight game of 15+ carries does at least make him a potential volume play in Week 13 against the Giants. We'll see how he fares there before a Week 15 rematch with the Giants (after Washington's bye). Gibson totaled just 9 carries for 32 yards and 3 catches for 22 against Atlanta.

View all Brian Robinson Shark Bites »

Commanders RB Antonio Gibson played twice as many snaps as Brian Robinson Jr. (46-23) in Sunday's win over the Texans. He carried 18 times for 72 yards (4.0 per rush) and caught all 3 of his targets for 31 more. Robinson carried 15 times for 57 yards (3.8) and didn't see a target. The team's only rushing TD went to WR Curtis Samuel, who carried twice for 18 yards for the game. Week 12 holds another high-upside matchup with the Falcons.

View all Antonio Gibson Shark Bites »

Commanders RB J.D. McKissic (neck) has been placed on IR and will miss the rest of the season, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. McKissic's injury requires "a few months of rehab," per Rapoport. Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson will continue to handle backfield duties for Washington.

View all J.D. McKissic Shark Bites »

Commanders RB J.D. McKissic (neck) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Texans. That again leaves the backfield to Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson against the #32 RB defense.

View all J.D. McKissic Shark Bites »

Commanders RB J.D. McKissic (neck) remained sidelined on Wednesday. We haven't heard a timeline for his return. Look for Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson to again handle backfield work in this weekend's plus matchup vs. the Texans.

View all J.D. McKissic Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Antonio Gibson, RB WAS
Dynasty MVP 109.5
Position Rank #38 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
450
594
594
Dynasty Write-up
Gibson racked up 1,331 total yards in his 2nd NFL season while playing through a stress fracture in his shin. It hasn't been an encouraging offseason, though, with Washington re-signing J.D. McKissic and drafting Brian Robinson.

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