Bottom Line

Gibson took a step back last year. After a strong start – one with RB Brian Robinson sidelined – Gibson quickly lost his lead job.

The good news is Washington didn’t add legit competition for Gibson’s 2023 receiving role. And there’s a blank slate here for the unit overall following the arrival of former Chiefs OC Eric Bieniemy.

We’re not excited to draft any Commanders RB. But we’ll give the edge to the pass catcher in Gibson, who’s also coming off the board about half a round after Robinson in early drafts.

What We Learned Last Year

• Gibson’s workload took a predictable hit following the addition of rookie RB Brian Robinson.
  • After seeing 16.1 carries per game in 2021, that number dipped to 9.9 last fall.
  • In 11 games together, Robinson out-carried him 181-96.
  • However, Gibson maintained the upper hand as a receiver, leading Robinson in targets 42-11.
• Overall, Gibson finished as a top-12 PPR RB twice; a top-24 RB seven times.
• Gibson missed the final two games with an MCL sprain and a foot fracture.
  • He underwent surgery on the foot in January, per HC Ron Rivera.
• Gibson ran behind a poor O-line and dealt with a pair of inconsistent QBs (Carson Wentz and Taylor Heinicke).
  • Washington ranked fourth in plays per game but just 24th in points per game.
  • No surprise, then, that Gibson mustered only 3 rushing TDs, two of those with Robinson inactive.
  • This duo saw similar red-zone usage. Gibson averaged 1.66 RZ carries per game; Robinson 1.91.

What to Expect in 2023

• This offseason, HC Ron Rivera talked about giving Gibson more work, an attainable goal after the light usage in 2022.
• RB J.D. McKissic was released. That removes 40 targets from last year’s offense, and some figure to shift Gibson’s way.
• Rookie RB Chris Rodriguez arrived in Round 6, but he’s not a receiving back (or a candidate for a major Year 1 role).
• Eric Bieniemy joined on as the OC, replacing Scott Turner.
  • He’s spent the past 10 years in Kansas City – five as the RBs coach, five as the OC.
  • He worked in a collaborative play-calling role with HC Andy Reid as the Chiefs offense ranked top 6 in points and yards in each of Bieniemy’s seasons as OC.
  • Chiefs RBs ranked sixth, 20th, 12th, seventh, and eighth in yards per carry.
  • His lead backs over that stretch:
    • Kareem Hunt
    • Damien Williams
    • Clyde Edwards-Helaire
    • Darrel Williams
    • Isiah Pacheco
  • Ben Standig of The Athletic suggests that the team might implement more RB screens. Excellent news for Gibson, who averaged a career-high 7.7 yards per catch in 2022.
• Washington’s offense still presents more questions than answers.
  • Sam Howell is the heavy favorite to start Week 1. But he saw the field for only the Week 18 start as a rookie.
  • The O-line looks average. They at least injected fresh talent in LG Nick Gates and RT Andrew Wylie.