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Antonio Gibson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAntonio Gibson's Basic Stats

Antonio Gibson
ADP: 14.1
Bye: 14
Experience: 4
Age: 26.1
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.39

Burst Score (Rank): 118.50 (49%)

Antonio Gibson's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
24.4 0.17 2.5 18.6 0.09 6.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
33.8 0.2 3 22.8 0.1 7.4

Antonio Gibson's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#44 Running Back

117 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
14.1 84 341.6 2.38 0 0 35 260.4 1.26

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAntonio Gibson's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Once a productive RB1, Gibson bottomed out in Washington last season.

New England turns up a fine spot for passing down snaps and targets. But this unit doesn’t project as even league average when it comes to scoring. And Rhamondre Stevenson stands in the way of a significant rushing role.

Here’s the good news: Gibson is the RB50 in current Underdog drafts – well behind his spot in our PPR ranks. That makes him a player to highlight inside your Draft War Room.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Gibson’s fantasy production hit rock bottom.
    • He set career lows in carries (65), yards (265), and TDs (1).
    • Playing behind Brian Robinson Jr., Gibson hit 10 carries in only one game.
  • It wasn’t all doom and gloom, however.
    • On the small sample, Gibson tallied a league-low 3.1% tackled-for-loss rate.
    • He also ranked 4th in a 62 RB sample in yards after contact per attempt.
    • Essentially, he did well to avoid negative plays while still flashing the power/elusiveness that made him a rookie breakout.
  • Gibson also flashed as a pass catcher.
    • The pass-happy Commanders helped supply career highs in targets (59), catches (48), yards (389), and yards per catch (8.1).
    • He impressed with 8.2 yards after catch per reception.
  • Gibson missed one game with a toe injury. He sat out 2 games in 2022 with foot and knee injuries.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Look for Gibson to slot in as the main pass-catching back.
  • He signed a 3-year deal that includes $5.3 million guaranteed.
  • Gibson still has NFL youth on his side at 26.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson returns to handle the bulk of the rushing work. He’s seen roughly 13 carries per game over the past two seasons.
  • The Patriots are breaking in a new coaching staff. HC Jerod Mayo was promoted from LB coach to HC. OC Alex Van Pelt arrives after serving in the same position with Cleveland.
    • Alex Van Pelt arrives as the new play-caller. His units have ranked top 10 in rushes in four of five seasons as OC.
  • The Pats ranked 10th in run-block win rate last year, but there are questions about the ‘24 unit.
    • LT Chukwuma Okorafor wasn’t a full-time starter in Pittsburgh last year and will transition from RT.
    • G Cole Strange is expected to miss early-season games due to a knee injury, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Antonio Gibson, RB NE

6:35pm EDT 7/23/24

Antonio Gibson Opens Camp on NFI List

The Patriots have placed RB Antonio Gibson on the non-football injury list for the start of training camp. We've seen no indication yet of what ailment has Gibson sidelined. New England can activate him as soon as he passes a physical.

View all Antonio Gibson Shark Bites »

The Patriots have agreed to a four-year, $36 million extension with RB Rhamondre Stevenson, according to multiple sources. The pact includes $17 million in guarantees, indicating he'll play through at least two years of it. The extension also gives Stevenson the seventh-highest annual average salary among RBs, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter.

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Patriots new RBs coach Taylor Embree has been impressed by RB Rhamondre Stevenson's passing-game skills so far this offseason. Stevenson has averaged 4.8 targets and 3.7 catches per game over the last two years, although he's been just average in terms of efficiency. Stevenson ranked 18th among 43 qualifying RBs in yards per route in 2022 and then sunk to 27th out of 43 last year.

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The Patriots are signing RB Antonio Gibson, according to multiple reports. Gibson primarily served as a receiving back for the Commanders the past two years, averaging 3.0 receptions across 31 games while sharing the backfield with Brian Robinson Jr. He arrives as a potential threat to RB Rhamondre Stevenson's upside. But Gibson's signing might sneakily be good news for the incumbent. Everyone should have expected New England to address a backfield that found Stevenson missing five games last year and Ezekiel Elliott leading the squad in carries and receptions. Gibson opened his career as Washington's lead back before steadily losing work over the past three years. We're not downgrading Stevenson for this addition. He might even turn into a sleeper for 2024 redraft and dynasty leagues, depending on how the market reacts to Gibson. As for Gibson himself, the former Commander remains a late option as a low RB3 to RB5.

View all Antonio Gibson Shark Bites »

Commanders RB Brian Robinson (hamstring) is not listed on the final Week 17 injury report. Washington will be back to a Robinson/Antonio Gibson backfield vs. the 49ers on Sunday, with RB Chris Rodriguez (ankle) on IR. Robinson sits in low RB3 range in the Week 17 Rankings with the Commanders 12.5-point underdogs. He's averaged just 10.6 carries per game in losses this season.

View all Brian Robinson Jr. Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Antonio Gibson, RB NE
Dynasty MVP 50.5
Position Rank #99 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
180
261
394
Dynasty Write-up
Gibson just set a personal best with 48 catches and 389 receiving yards. His rushing role hit rock bottom alongside OC Eric Bieniemy, though. Gibson earned a three-year deal in free agency with $5.3 million guaranteed. He'll battle Rhamondre Stevenson for snaps.
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