Show Navigation
Show Menu

Top 10 Fantasy Football Takeaways from Week 4 Usage

By Jared Smola 10:04am EDT 10/4/23

1. Alvin Kamara Returns as Workhorse

Alvin Kamara
Snap Rate 75.4%
Route Rate 70.2%
Carries 11
Targets14

Kamara turned in one of the funkiest stat lines of the season in his debut: 13 catches for 33 yards.

That's disgusting efficiency. But the 13 catches and 14 targets bode well for his fantasy value going forward.

It's worth noting that QB Derek Carr didn't look right attempting to play through his shoulder injury vs. the Bucs. His unwillingness and/or inability to push the ball downfield likely played a part in Kamara's absurd target volume.

But the 75% snap rate and 70% route rate are elite marks that'll lead to big volume for as long as they hold up.

We'll see how the backfield evolves when RB Jamaal Williams returns from his hamstring injury (in Week 7 at the earliest).

   

2. Jake Ferguson is a TE1

Ranks Among tes
Targets 7th
Target Share 8th
Red-Zone Targets 1st
Route Rate27th

Ferguson almost made it into this article last week. And I wish he had – because he’ll be tougher to acquire after his 7-catch, 77-yard outing in the win over the Patriots.

Ferguson has been getting TE1-level target volume all season. He's seen 19+% of Cowboys targets in three of four games (11% in the other). And a lot of that work has been coming in the red zone.

I hesitated to highlight the strong volume, though, because Ferguson has been underwhelming in route rate.

He did set a season-high there last week at 65%. That's still lower than we usual see from top-12 fantasy TEs. But the targets just keep coming. And the fact that Ferguson is doing this on subpar route participation gives him even more room for upside if the route rate grows.

  

3. De’Von Achane Leads Dolphins Backfield

DE'VON Achaneraheem Mostert
Snap Rate 60.0%43.1%
Route Rate 61.7%40.4%
Carries 87
Targets55

Achane followed his breakout Week 3 by leading Miami's backfield in snaps, routes, and carries in the Week 4 loss to Buffalo.

He also garnered all four of the RB opportunities inside the Bills' 10-yard line. Achane has now tallied 10 of those over the past two weeks to Mostert's two.

This might still be a backfield that morphs on a week-to-week basis. And there's enough production to go around for both Achane and Mostert to be weekly fantasy starters.

We'll see if RB Jeff Wilson makes it back and turns this into a three-RB committee.

  

4. Khalil Herbert Awesome In Positive Game Script

khalil herbertroschon johnson
Snap Rate 77.8%22.2%
Route Rate 59.5%21.4%
Carries 185
Targets51

We saw Chicago in positive game script for the first time this season in Week 4. It was a boon to Herbert's usage and production.

He set season highs in snap rate, route rate, carry share, and target share on his way to 122 total yards and a score.

Unfortunately for Herbert, the Bears probably won't be in positive script much the rest of the season. And they definitely won't get to the play the Broncos again.

That makes Herbert a sell-high candidate this week.

But it was at least nice to see that this big game is in his range of outcomes.

  

5. First Look at Chargers WR Corps Sans Mike Williams

Joshua PalmerQuentin Johnston
Route Rate 97.0%69.7%
Targets 83

This went about how we expected it to.

Palmer stepped into the every-down role that Williams was playing. Johnston played almost exclusively in three-WR sets.

The rookie caught just one of his three targets, but the two misses were an end-zone target and a deep shot.

He'll have some strong outings in this role because his targets will be of the high-value variety. But Johnston's playing time will need to grow if he's going to be a consistent fantasy producer.

Palmer looks like a useable WR3 as long as he's in an every-down role.

  

6. D’Andre Swift Grows Backfield Lead

D'andre swiftkenneth gainwell
Snap Rate 63.4%38.0%
Route Rate 48.9%40.0%
Carries 144
Targets42

Swift just barely edged Gainwell in playing time and opportunities last week -- although we noted in the Week 3 Usage article that a bunch of Gainwell's work came on Philly's final drive.

In the overtime win over the Commanders, Swift controlled backfield work. In fact, his usage wasn't too far off from the Week 2 game that Gainwell missed. Gainwell siphoned work in the two-minute drill vs. Washington, but it was Swift's backfield everywhere else.

He's now turned in RB15 and RB12 PPR finishes the past two weeks (after his RB3 Week 2 finish). Swift looks like at least a high-end RB2 going forward.

  

7. Dalton Kincaid Sets Season Highs

Route rate target share
Week 1 74.5% 9.8%
Week 2 57.1% 16.2%
Week 3 68.4% 6.3%
Week 476.7%20.0%

The rookie registered season highs in route rate and target share in the win over Miami.

And it wasn't a case of Buffalo running more two-TE sets. TE Dawson Knox ran a route on a season-low 50.0% of pass plays.

We'll see if this is a one-week blip or the start of a trend for Kincaid. If it's the latter, he'll be a good bet for TE1 production the rest of the way.

   

8. Who’s the No. 1 TE in Atlanta?

last 3 weeks kyle pittsjonnu smith
Route Rate 85.9%67.2%
Targets 17.8%19.8%

I ask that question facetiously. Sort of.

Smith has out-targeted and out-produced Pitts over the past three weeks.

So now Pitts has three problems:

  1. A run-heavy offense
  2. Bad QB play
  3. Competition at his own position

HC Arthur Smith suggested on Tuesday that Pitts still isn't back to 100% after last November's knee injury, which is a reason to still be optimistic about his future fantasy value (if you're looking for a reason).

But, at this point, Pitts simply can't be trusted as a TE1. His 17.6% target share ranks 12th among TEs, which isn't nearly good enough on a Falcons offense that ranks 29th in pass attempts.

   

9. Rashee Rice Trending Up, Skyy Moore Trending Down

route rates Rashee Rice Skyy Moore
Week 1 25.0% 64.6%
Week 2 14.6% 68.8%
Week 3 51.1% 60.5%
Week 443.6%48.7%

The rookie has seen his role expand over the past two weeks -- while Moore's route rate has steadily headed south.

That's exciting for Rice because he's been targeted heavily when on the field. In fact, his 0.32 targets per route ranks fourth among all WRs. (Moore has seen just 0.13 targets per route.)

Rice is a priority stash if he's available in your fantasy league. He'll be an exciting WR3 if he can get up to a 70+% route rate.

  

10. Bijan Robinson: Buy Low(ish)?

Ranks Among RBs
Snap Rate 7th
Route Rate 3rd
Carries 22nd
Targets3rd

Let's end with a positive note on the much-maligned Arthur Smith: He has Robinson in an awesome role.

Yeah, Tyler Allgeier is still a thing. But his share of rushing attempts has sunk each week, while Robinson's has climbed.

More importantly, the rookie is getting elite usage in the passing game. His 71.7% route rate and 18.5% target share both rank third among all RBs.

Robinson has yet to find the end zone through four games but still ranks sixth at his position in PPR points.

Perhaps there's still a buying opportunity available on a guy with a good chance to finish top-3 in fantasy points.

  

Related Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football Sleepers 2024

Fantasy Football Sleepers 2024

3:26pm EST 2/23/24

Want to catapult your fantasy team? You need later-round picks with big upside. These six fantasy football sleepers could make your season.

Read More »
Dynasty Spotlight: Rookie WR Report Card

Dynasty Spotlight: Rookie WR Report Card

10:39am EST 12/8/23

This rookie WR class has delivered some immediate contributors ... and some guys with red flags. Might this group still include some upside buys as well?

Read More »
Top 10 Fantasy Football Takeaways from Week 2 Usage

Top 10 Fantasy Football Takeaways from Week 2 Usage

10:24am EDT 9/20/23

Tony Pollard is a league-winner, Isiah Pacheco is a buy-low, and eight more fantasy football takeaways from Week 2 usage data.

Read More »
Dynasty Player Spotlight: Drake London & Kyle Pitts

Dynasty Player Spotlight: Drake London & Kyle Pitts

2:31pm EDT 9/12/23

Drake London and Kyle Pitts are coming off disappointing openers. What should dynasty owners do with these talented, young Falcons? Let's dig in ...

Read More »
Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers

10:02pm EDT 9/1/23

This article will track the fantasy football risers and fallers in the Draft Sharks rankings throughout the summer. Find out who to target in your draft.

Read More »
Late-Round Fantasy Sleepers - Deep Finds

Late-Round Fantasy Sleepers - Deep Finds

10:02pm EDT 8/30/23

Are you a true fantasy diehard? These seven deep sleepers are for you. We dug deep to find late-round fantasy sleepers that can help you win a championship.

Read More »
Preseason Winners and Losers

Preseason Winners and Losers

11:56am EDT 8/30/23

Let's run through 21 fantasy football preseason winners and losers as we barrel toward Week 1. A must-read before your draft!

Read More »
Other rankings are stale  before the 2nd round.

Draft using the best dynamic tool in the industry. Our fantasy player valuations (DMVP) change during your draft in response to...

  1. Exact league settings - direct sync
  2. Opponent and Team Needs
  3. Positional scarcity & available players
  4. Ceiling, injury risk, ADP, and more!

You need a dynamic cheat sheet that easily live-syncs with your draft board and adapts throughout your draft using 17 crucial indicators.

Get your Draft War Room Today
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?
Check out thisleague-winning info
2023 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2023 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2023 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play